The study measured mainly at the 25% forecast stage: one quarter of the way through each question’s open duration (early, when info is limited). Horizons ranged from hours to years. Calibration held even then, not just near resolution.

Why are we giving AI agents permissions that never expire? An agent authorized to complete a task today shouldn't automatically have the same authority next week. Circumstances change. Budgets change. Risk changes. Delegated authority should have an expiry date, not a lifetime subscription.

Grok Bot can now use Calendar, Reminders, Contacts, and more apps on your phone. Rolling out now on iOS and Android.

Tesla x SpaceX

Everyone needs to stop getting cosmetic surgery to try to look younger. You look absolutely retarded.

It’s time for another leg up. bitcoin:native

If people on the coasts knew how good Braum's is, Oklahoma's population might double.

Jeff Park is reacting to Reuters' exclusive on Anthropic's leaked IPO prospectus (S-1). It shows 2025 revenue of ~$4.6B but a $42B net loss, $8B operating loss, and $518B in planned compute/infrastructure spend, plus extensive warnings on existential AI risks. The scale of losses and commitments surprised many.

What really happened after the State Dinner. The lost Xi camera roll has been found.

Artificial intelligence will now be referred to as “super intelligence,” President Trump said at the U.N. General Assembly. “All ⁠of United ⁠States documents, ​and hopefully the world’s, will ​be ⁠changed to use the much more accurate term ‘super.’” wapo.st/4yKXYHM