https://xitter.cf/t.co/px0Oz4gG15 Basketball enthusiast. Creator of ESPN's Real Plus Minus. Formerly Suns, Mavericks
Joined July 2014
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Jeremias Engelmann retweeted
New from @JerryEngelmann: The NBA metric that rates coaches — how it works, and what it says about current NBA coaches.
open.substack.com/pub/5x5bas…
Jeremias Engelmann retweeted
@JerryEngelmann has called this "high in fiber or high in fluff" for players who sit above or below the trend line, respectively. Got the idea for this chart from his writeup.
The full interactive chart with tooltips is available here:
public.tableau.com/views/202…
Jeremias Engelmann retweeted
Whole thing is here, with my co-panelists Joseph George (@jogeor_ ) and Jeremias Engelmann (@JerryEngelmann).
natesilver.net/p/nba-future-…
Jeremias Engelmann retweeted
From @JerryEngelmann: The Knicks Are Still Underrated — and 11 More Bold NBA Predictions for 2026-27
open.substack.com/pub/5x5bas…
Jeremias Engelmann retweeted
Western Conference forecast: @JerryEngelmann
makes his 15 over/under predictions for the West — and names the two teams Vegas is most wrong about.
open.substack.com/pub/5x5bas…
Jeremias Engelmann retweeted
.@JerryEngelmann makes his 15 over/under predictions for the East — and names the four teams that Vegas is most wrong about.
open.substack.com/pub/5x5bas…
Jeremias Engelmann retweeted
One-year WNBA RAPM is noisy. Can encoding prior information, without using box score inputs, help?
Yes. Prior-Informed RAPM closes about half of the predictive gap with three-year RAPM, while estimates stay rooted in current season play.
Ranks and details below 👇
ALT A visualization showing the top 10 and bottom 10 WNBA players by prior-informed RAPM in 2026. Vernoica Burton, A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young, Natasha Howard and Aliyah Boston rank as the five most impactful players by prior-informed RAPM. Prior-Informed RAPM uses a three-year RAPM prior and trains on a one-season horizon.
Jeremias Engelmann retweeted
New NBA rookie rankings: What @JerryEngelmann learned at Vegas Summer League, and how it changes his projections for this draft class.
open.substack.com/pub/5x5bas…
Jeremias Engelmann retweeted
.@JerryEngelmann evaluates the NBA rookies who played in summer league, from lottery picks to late first-round sleepers.
open.substack.com/pub/5x5bas…
Jeremias Engelmann retweeted
New: @JerryEngelmann ranks the 7 worst NBA deals of the summer — from questionable trades to head-scratching free agency moves.
open.substack.com/pub/5x5bas…
Jeremias Engelmann retweeted
This is a good way to evaluate FA signings IMO
As it relates to LAL:
Kessler = good relative value/team friendly
Reaves = at relative market value
Mamu = good relative value/team friendly
Grimes = slightly below avrg relative value
Sexton = slightly below avrg relative value
Jeremias Engelmann retweeted
Which NBA contenders made the best moves? Who got a steal?
@JerryEngelmann on 13 deals he’s loved this summer.
open.substack.com/pub/5x5bas…
Jeremias Engelmann retweeted
Three reasons the Celtics won the Jaylen Brown trade.
New from @JerryEngelmann.
open.substack.com/pub/5x5bas…
Jeremias Engelmann retweeted
.@JerryEngelmann takes a close look at the actual numbers to answer the question:
Why are advanced stats so hard on Jaylen Brown?
open.substack.com/pub/5x5bas…
Jeremias Engelmann retweeted
New from @JerryEngelmann:
Why the Giannis trade was so bad for the Bucks and good for the Heat.
And the potential Jaylen Brown trades Boston should be looking to make ... right now.
open.substack.com/pub/5x5bas…
Jeremias Engelmann retweeted
.@JerryEngelmann's NBA Draft Night Winners & Losers:
Which 7 teams made the BEST, WORST & MOST CONFUSING picks?
open.substack.com/pub/5x5bas…
Jeremias Engelmann retweeted
Shoutout to the Draft Modelers:
@jessefischer33
@AmericanNumbers
@evidenceforZ @thebigwafe @DKPhiSports @craftedNBA @undraliu @supersayansavin @FPL_Mou @mikegrib8 @_prospecttheory @jogeor_ @JerryEngelmann @DannyDimes1000 @nore4DH xitter.cf/thegrantedwards/status…
