
Writer/Contributor at @ActionNetworkHQ covering the NFL & UFC. 20+ yrs experience. Some say MMA is my best sport, others agree. Poker player.
Kansas City, MO
Joined October 2011
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Jaguars win AFC South ✅
Panthers win NFC South ✅
Lions miss the playoffs ✅
Broncos miss the playoffs 🚫
JohnnyLFootball retweeted
🏈 COWBOYS vs EAGLES MNF BEST BET
📉 UNDER 44.5
👇 Add Directly To Your Betslip
bit.ly/DALPHI1026
🗣️ "The Eagles have averaged 14.5 points per game over their last four contests. Their coaching staff knows with certainty that if they are going to pull off the upset here, it will be in the 20-17 or 17-14 variety. I do not completely rule out such an outcome, given what I’ve seen from Dak Prescott in recent games, and the fact that the Cowboys have covered the number in just three of their last 14 games as a favorite dating back to the start of 2025. The Eagles have to lean on the running game if they are to stay in this game. Don’t expect much success on the ground for a team that ranks 28th in total rushing yards this season, but they simply cannot task McKee with throwing the ball 45 times again without DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks on the outside. This total has dropped down to 43.5 at some books, but shop around diligently for under 44 at -115 or better." - @JohnnyLFootball
Volkov ✅
JohnnyLFootball retweeted
Written content for #UFC333 tomorrow from me and the Action crew (thread).
My personal favorite of my work this week, where I realized something about Lone'er Kavanagh ahead of his fight with "Woah Black Betty" Ramazan Temirov:
actionnetwork.com/mma/loneer…
JohnnyLFootball retweeted
@JohnnyLFootball the heavyweight whisperer:
actionnetwork.com/mma/alexan…
Dak starting to give me late-stage Russell Wilson vibes
Every throw seems like he's making it harder than it should be
JohnnyLFootball retweeted
✅ TITANS +6.5
The Titans come back from 0-13 to defeat the Colts!! @JohnnyLFootball's best bet cashes!!
🏈 TITANS vs COLTS NFL BEST BET
⚔️ TITANS +6.5
👇 Add Directly To Your Betslip
bit.ly/TEN1018
🗣️ "You don’t get many opportunities like this when diving into the ultra-tight market that is the NFL. We are able to back a team with a full touchdown worth of points in a divisional game where they are playing an opponent near the bottom of the league in passing offense, rushing defense, and pass rush production. There are a few books offering the Titans at +7 with added juice of just a few cents. I’d be willing to take the +7 at -120 or better; otherwise, +6.5 at -110 will suffice in getting us to the betting window to cash our ticket." -@JohnnyLFootball
JohnnyLFootball retweeted
🏈 PANTHERS vs EAGLES NFL BEST BET
🦅 EAGLES +3.5
👇 Add Directly To Your Betslip
bit.ly/PHI1018
🗣️ "Had the Eagles finished stronger in each of their last two games by holding on to beat the Rams and earning a hard-fought victory over a top AFC team in the Jaguars, how would oddsmakers have priced this line? Even with Tanner McKee under center, the sentiment would not have been that this is a team deserving of underdog status at Lincoln Financial Field. We are buying low on an Eagles team that many believe is only a loss or two away from a fire sale and giving up on the season. The Panthers are also priced at their absolute peak considering they are riding higher off an island game victory the entire country witnessed. Carolina’s last road game saw them put up 18 points, average fewer than five yards per play and convert just 27% of third downs in a loss to the Browns. The Panthers should not be giving up more than a field goal against a desperate Eagles team on the road. Take the points, but you may not need them — I expect Philly to win outright." - @JohnnyLFootball
JohnnyLFootball retweeted
Thursday night football best bets!! 🏈
Seahawks vs Broncos with bets from @Psychoward586 @gneiffer07 @JohnnyLFootball and me at @ActionNetworkHQ.
I’m liking RJ Harvey receptions tonight!
actionnetwork.com/nfl/seahaw…
Bills +3.5 ✅
Rest of Week 5 results :
Jets -1.5 ✅
Patriots -3.5 ✅
Cowboys -9 🚫
Full season NFL record against the spread at @ActionNetworkHQ :
15-9 (62.5%) ATS
Best bet of Ravens/Falcons under 44 is a miss 🚫
Brings me to 2-1 against the number on Sunday at @ActionNetworkHQ
Patriots -3.5 ✅
Jets -1.5 ✅
Full week 5 recap after my incoming best bet tomorrow night on MNF
Jets -1.5 ✅
🏈 BROWNS vs JETS NFL BEST BET
✈️ JETS -1.5
👇 Add Directly To Your Betslip
bit.ly/NYJ1011
🗣️ "New York is positioned for a bounce-back performance today at home. The Jets should be able to stay ahead of the sticks on early downs by running the football successfully, which will help negate some of the pass rush of Cleveland whenever Geno Smith and company do find themselves in 3rd-and-medium circumstances. The Browns are fortunate to boast a 3-1 record at this point considering they have led for just 27% of their offensive snaps. This game may be close through three quarters, but New York should sustain more drives and have more scoring opportunities in totality. I am backing the Jets as favorites in this favorable spot up to -2.5" - @JohnnyLFootball
Patriots -3.5 ✅
🏈 RAIDERS vs PATRIOTS NFL BEST BET
🛡️ PATRIOTS -3.5
👇 Add Directly To Your Betslip
bit.ly/NE1011
🗣️ "Lastly, this handicap feels even more secure knowing the Patriots will not overlook this Raiders squad. Not only are the Raiders off to a fast start, but they came into Foxboro to open the 2025 season and left with a victory. As the astute Evan Abrams pointed out in his NFL Betting Primer, Mike Vrabel has been an extremely profitable wager when revenge is a motivator. Vrabel-led teams are 11-3 against the number when playing a team they were beaten by in their previous matchup. Keep in mind, we have only seen this Patriots defense in one home game this year — they allowed three points to a Steelers team that has averaged 24.6 PPG in their other three games. I like this number all the way up to -4, as the New England defense should once again prove its merit en route to a win and a cover." - @JohnnyLFootball
Still laughing about the people shocked by 6th price tag on Parker Washington. He was a 3rd round pick.
JohnnyLFootball retweeted
🏈 RAIDERS vs PATRIOTS NFL BEST BET
🛡️ PATRIOTS -3.5
👇 Add Directly To Your Betslip
bit.ly/NE1011
🗣️ "Lastly, this handicap feels even more secure knowing the Patriots will not overlook this Raiders squad. Not only are the Raiders off to a fast start, but they came into Foxboro to open the 2025 season and left with a victory. As the astute Evan Abrams pointed out in his NFL Betting Primer, Mike Vrabel has been an extremely profitable wager when revenge is a motivator. Vrabel-led teams are 11-3 against the number when playing a team they were beaten by in their previous matchup. Keep in mind, we have only seen this Patriots defense in one home game this year — they allowed three points to a Steelers team that has averaged 24.6 PPG in their other three games. I like this number all the way up to -4, as the New England defense should once again prove its merit en route to a win and a cover." - @JohnnyLFootball
JohnnyLFootball retweeted
🏈 BROWNS vs JETS NFL BEST BET
✈️ JETS -1.5
👇 Add Directly To Your Betslip
bit.ly/NYJ1011
🗣️ "New York is positioned for a bounce-back performance today at home. The Jets should be able to stay ahead of the sticks on early downs by running the football successfully, which will help negate some of the pass rush of Cleveland whenever Geno Smith and company do find themselves in 3rd-and-medium circumstances. The Browns are fortunate to boast a 3-1 record at this point considering they have led for just 27% of their offensive snaps. This game may be close through three quarters, but New York should sustain more drives and have more scoring opportunities in totality. I am backing the Jets as favorites in this favorable spot up to -2.5" - @JohnnyLFootball
JohnnyLFootball retweeted
TNF Bucs vs Cowboys best bets from our whole crew at @ActionNetworkHQ! 🏈
Including SEVEN bets from me, a pair of escalators on Jalon Daniels and Jake Ferguson + bets from @JohnnyLFootball @Psychoward586 & @gneiffer07
actionnetwork.com/nfl/buccan…
JohnnyLFootball retweeted
Patrick Mahomes pass yards per attempt this season, per @NextGenStats:
🔸 vs man coverage – 11.1 (1st)
🔸 under pressure – 10.5 (1st)
🔸 vs quick pressure – 11.5 (1st)
🔸 on 3rd down – 11.2 (1st)
🔸 in 4th quarter – 11.2 (1st)
🔸 targeting the slot – 11.3 (2nd)
🔸 targeting RB/TE – 8.4 (2nd)
🔸 vs Cover 0 – 16.9 (1st)
🔸 vs the blitz – 9.8 (3rd)
















