
The Other One. @PodSaveAmerica, @Crookedmedia, terminally online host of Offline, Obama speechwriter
US
Joined April 2010
- Tweets25.2K
- Following1.7K
- Followers1.3M
- Likes16.9K
Jon Favreau retweeted
Credit where credit is due — Christie absolutely unloading on JD standing behind what Vivek did. This feels cathartic.
Jon Favreau retweeted
1) I’m struck by how this election cycle revealed just how many tech leaders/voices have gravely confused force of will with power of persuasion. Their Steve Jobs complexes got the better of them.
Jon Favreau retweeted
Jesse Watters: "The American people, young men, white Americans said screw you to Donald Trump, said screw you to the Republican Party... They voted for Talafreako, man! They voted for Abdul [noise] Muhammad!"
Jon Favreau retweeted
What I mean here is that Fairshake spent +$100 million over two cycles to... get Brown out of his seat for 2 years then not pass the CLARITY Act.
Jon Favreau retweeted
NEW: I just got off a call with DSCC Chair Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand.
We talked about the midterm results, whether DSCC sent enough money to Florida and Mississippi, lessons learned from El-Sayed and Jackson's wins, and the "Decoy" Dan Sullivan drama.
🧵
Jon Favreau retweeted
Elon Musk moving to Texas to get away from Dems, becoming the biggest partisan megadonor in history, then spending around a half-billion dollars to have his own state go blue immediately in the next election — with data centers the top gov issue — is pretty impressive
Wow, so much wisdom here:
“If you think that high prices lost the election for the right, you don't understand marketing.”
We're in a new era of communication, and only one side seems to be living in it. The old guard consultant class is about to be relegated to the dustbin of history.
If you think that high prices lost the election for the right, you don't understand marketing. Humans have no problem paying a premium for a good quality brand. Notice the word "brand", not "product". Are Nikes better than New Balance? Nope. But the brand is better. And notice what happened when they tinkered with the brand and screwed their core narrative? Nike stock fell through the basement. Did the product change? Nope. The brand did.
It's not the product, it's the brand. Results don't sell the product, the storytelling does. Will these newly-elected commies lower prices? Of course not. Are they gonna get you free healthcare? No, your insurance is gonna get even worse, just like it did the last time they tried socialized medicine. They're not going to do anything they've sold you, but...like Saul Goodman said: if you're committed enough, you can make any story work.
The committed storytelling of a couple insane podcasters was enough to fracture an entire political coalition from their own side in less than 2 years...they have zero power, zero credibility, they've never actually governed anything nor produced any results, but...they're good storytellers, and that's all that matters. Are they telling a good story? No, it's atrocious, but they're telling their atrocious story effectively and compellingly.
It is 100% true that everything's too damn expensive, and we all know that inflated prices are always sticky. Does anyone know that it's entirely the result of shutting down the global economy over the flu and (both naive republicans and democrats) printing infinity dollars for several years? Nope...because nobody has effectively told that story, and it's an unsexy story to tell. "Free stuff!" is a VERY easy story to tell, and when everyone's gotta take out a second mortgage just to pay their insurance premiums, "free healthcare" is an unbeatable story. It doesn't matter that "free healthcare" doesn't exist and socialized medicine is a terrible product...it's not the product, it's the brand. And "FREE!" is a great brand.
You can't get mad at people for having the financial literacy of a 9 year old. I mean, you can, but they outnumber you a million to one, so it's not going to be productive. You need to figure out how to make an unsexy story sexy, or else the "free stuff!" crowd is going to eat your lunch every time. If you give people a choice between earning a six pack on a treadmill or taking Ozempic, they're gonna choose Ozempic...they don't care about the side effects. If you give people a choice between fiscal discipline or free stuff...guess what they'll pick? They don't care about the side effects.
With projected growth of 5%, the economy right now is stronger than it's been in generations. Is that the story you hear? Nope. Is that the vibe you feel? Absolutely not, especially when every time you fill up your gas tank, it feels like a diesel enema.
It's not the product, it's the brand. A great product can fall into oblivion with bad messaging...a single bad review from one effective storyteller can tank a restaurant. The "influencer economy" is lucrative for a reason; everybody inherently understands the importance of effective storytelling...except the right. Zohran Mamdani gets it...he has an army of influencers on staff. In a perfect metaphor of this transitional phase of old guard vs new wave political messaging, Zohran nuked the Vice President into oblivion with maybe the biggest ratio in the history of the internet. By simply posting the subway assistant meme, Mamdani got 2 MILLION likes, quoting a post from the VP that had only 10K likes. If you're reading that sentence thinking "this is fucking ridiculous, you're talking about social media likes as political analysis now?"...you are the problem.
Yes, this stuff matters. Rizz matters. The President did a masterful job of this kind of retail politics in his historic 2024 campaign...you can be angry that this is what politics has been reduced to, but you can either adapt or die.
"No the problem is, you didn't deliver enough for the American people!" Are you a moron? Since when does anybody care about that? What have democrats delivered for Californians in the last 20 years? Unmitigated wildfires, homeless drug zombies everywhere, roads that look like Fallujah in 2004...people don't care about results. They think they care about results. That want you to believe they care about results, just as Nike wants you to believe their shoes are better than New Balance...but at the end of the day, all people really care about is the swoosh.
Adapt or die.
Just banger after banger from our would-be mayor:
“You can't get mad at people for having the financial literacy of a 9 year old. I mean, you can, but they outnumber you a million to one, so it's not going to be productive.”
Jon Favreau retweeted
CrookedCon this weekend is gonna be insane 😂🌊 @CrookedMedia
Jon Favreau retweeted
'In 1860, an enslaved man named Sheppard Peek was listed among the possessions of William Peek. His value was placed at $1400.
More than a century and a half later, Sheppard’s great-great-granddaughter, Keisha Lance Bottoms, was elected governor of GA' ajc.com/politics/2026/11/kei…
Jon Favreau retweeted
If you miss the Circus, watch @LongPlaySeries about the South. Here’s our episode on Mississippi Senate race! 🙌
youtu.be/HM8P503WaWg?is=nijT…
Every tech bro rn
🤖 Made with AI
People should always be in control of the future.
OpenAI is against the notion that it would be acceptable for people to be relegated to a role of doing things that “AI systems think makes sense to reward in humans”.
People should not cede control of the future to superintelligence, and that requirement should ultimately constrain AI progress.
Jon Favreau retweeted
Talarico: "I'm not interested in retribution. The people of Texas did not elect me last night for retribution. They elected me to deliver for them to make their lives easier and better and less stressful and that's what I plan to do, and I plan to do it even for the Texans who didn't vote for me."
Weird, I didn’t see @JDVance mention #1 in his post
I wonder why??
National exit (sample: 79,668) -- Importance of issues to your vote:
GOVERNMENT CORRUPTION
Crucial/Major - 90%
Minor/No factor - 10%
COST OF LIVING
Crucial/Major - 89%
Minor/No factor - 11%
IRAN WAR
Crucial/Major - 74%
Minor/No factor - 26%
IMMIGRATION ENFORCEMENT
Crucial/Major - 73%
Minor/No factor - 27%
AI & DATA CENTERS
Crucial/Major - 56%
Minor/No factor - 44%
Jon Favreau retweeted
Vance is one of many R's who thought they could come up with an Ivy League ideological frame for organizing Trumpism, sought out intellectuals and commentators who were doing the same, and ended up nowhere because Trump just does not work that way
Vance’s ideas for the GOP
1. End the war (that his admin started)
2. Focus on cost of living (which he exacerbated with the war and tariffs)
3. Change our relationship to Israel (which has been defined by Trump’s embrace of Bibi, up to and including going to war for him)
4. America First (ok.)
It’s going to be very interesting to see how “We should do the opposite of Trump in every way, and we shall call it …. Trumpism!” will play.
"Our voters showed up"
1. No they didn't
2. They're not your voters, bro. You got a ride on the Trump ticket. Best of luck in '28 pretending you were against all the unpopular stuff all along!
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up.
So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us."
Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026.
There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true.
But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.
Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:
1) End the war
2) Focus on cost of living/inflation
3) Put America First
4) Change our relationship to Israel
Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.)
In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you.
The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night.
If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest.
But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.
I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.























