Oil & Gas Analyst, focused on emerging Europe & MENA, especially downstream and natural gas. Worked for two decades in Turkish downstream sector.

London, England
Joined July 2013
How is it possible to believe numbers like this?
it’s estimated emissions from oil at rosebank will cause 57,000 deaths+£114 billion in damage so of course the bbc has written a light hearted human interest story with barely a mention of the catastrophic impact drilling there would have. utter disgrace. bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cqy8…
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"It Is Difficult to Get a Man to Understand Something When His Salary Depends Upon His Not Understanding It" Presumably this works the other way as well.
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Construction of Cronos, the first ever offshore gas field in Cyprus has begun. First gas 2028. Gas produced from Cronos will be transported to Egypt, processed in existing facilities, liquefied at the Damietta LNG plant for export to international markets, primarily Europe.
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Europe is not completely devoid of gas and not everyone in leaving it in the ground. The Aphrodite field is next. eni.com/en-IT/media/press-re…
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This argument again: Either ignorance of how the market works or willful dishonesty. Jackdaw will replace LNG, not Norwegian gas. In the event we buy less from Norway due to higher domestic production, Norwegian gas will displace LNG somewhere else in Europe.
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In addition, the newly available LNG will probably displace coal in Asia.
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Wow its all solved then. $150m released to invest in refining You might get a small spec related investment for that, and it will take three years to build if you start today. If you generously assume 1 barrel of capacity cost $30k, $150m would get you a 5,000 bpd refinery 🤣
🚨BREAKING NEWS🚨 @POTUS is using the Defense Production Act to increase American refining capacity to produce more diesel and more gasoline.
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How to be technically correct and irrelevant at the same time Our gas displaces LNG, which has a much higher carbon footprint, not Norwegian which has a lower one.
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The single biggest one of these has not produced a drop because it still awaits permission. Restrict licences, conduct lawfare and then point to the small impact of new projects. Set the sector free and we will check back in 10 years.
Replying to @MiriamBrett
Wouldn’t new licences change production trajectory? Hundreds were granted between 2010 and 2024. Research by Uplift and Voar found that as of March, these produced the equivalent of only 36 days of extra gas, and around 64 days of oil - and most UK oil is exported.
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Whilst some uninformed may exaggerate, most of us are simply saying: More oil and gas will improve energy security, employment opportunities & tax revenues. Less oil & gas will make ~zero impact on climate and is therefore illogical.
There is an increasingly disingenuous narrative peddled in Scotland about the impacts of granting new oil and gas licenses on North Sea production levels and job security. Amid this, it’s important to look at evidence 🧵
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Rosebank would also contribute to energy security. As long as we import refined products, access to crude oil supply for our neighbours is important for us.
Every barrel of oil the UK exports to Europe is one less barrel they would buy from Russia. Revenue. Security. Common sense. Approve Rosebank now.
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The very basic answer as to why refined product prices have risen much more than oil. Imagine being a country where 2 refineries have recently closed due to our artificially high cost base.
Globally, refineries are currently processing around 3.3 million barrels per day less than they were at the same time last year. What we lost: (-2.5 mb/d) Disruptions to refineries and difficulties exporting the diesel, gasoline, and jet fuel results in Middle East refinery runs lower. (-1.1 mb/d) Disruptions to Russia's refinery operations as a result of Ukrainian attacks (-1 mb/d) Reduced runs by Chinese refineries On the flip side: (+0.3 mb/d) U.S refiners have increased runs (+1 mb/d) All other refineries in the ROW But this still leaves us, on net, 3.3 million b/d short in terms of refinery runs.
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How can people be this credulous? We have decided to invest in chickens and the fox has kindly offered to look after them. Our politicians regardless of party have never seen a pound they don't want to spend twice.
NEW Britain’s missing sovereign wealth fund… Treasury officials have modelled that had the UK done what Norway did with North Sea revenues, there would be a £1 trillion fund… As Chancellor sets up Energy Wealth Fund, a look at the long historical argument about where the oil windfall went, including from interviews with those who have run Norways $2.4 trillion fund, now the biggest in the world, filled from the proceeds of the same North Sea. bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cm4g…
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Our politicians have the fiscal continence of drunken sailors on shore leave. The idea that we could have at any time set up a fund that nobody would have touched is preposterous. They regularly spend billions that we don't have, how would they not spend wealth fund money?
‘We'd have a British sovereign wealth fund now that will be worth probably a trillion pounds’ Chancellor @JohnHealey_MP suggests what Britain could have gained if it had set up an energy wealth fund like Norway’s back in the 1980s #Peston
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I have just found the most extreme version of the Schrodingers gas field Small enough to create just 27 jobs, big enough to 8,000 people. Do these people live on a diet of just waccy baccy? How can you confidently pronounce such illogical rubbish in public?
Jackdaw will create 27 jobs but will cause 8000 deaths from extreme heat. Jackdaw won’t save you a penny on energy bills but will cause £16 billion of climate damage, like more wildfires and droughts. A great day for fossil fuel bosses, not for anyone else.
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As we all get excited/enraged by the Jackdaw decision, I thought it is worth reiterating a basic truth about commodity markets. Each unit of additional domestic production, replaces the most expensive marginal supply (LNG). So by definition, it will have an impact on prices.
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Excellent news. There was no need to wait this long, but we got there in the end. Now add Rosebank. Bankrupting the country for the sake of virtue signaling was never the responsible option.
Energy Secretary @Miatsf has agreed that the regulator can grant consent for gas to be produced at the licensed Jackdaw field. Gas from Jackdaw is expected to start reaching British homes and businesses as early as the end of this month.
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Domestic Oil & Gas doesn't improve energy security: Today's update "Oil refineries in Europe and Asia could start reducing run rates this q as soaring freight rates.." IEA Having more oil in our corner of the world would mean more refined products, even if the oil is exported
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Schrodingers oil and gas fields again. Too small to move prices, but big enough to end life on earth
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