Seeking groundedness to help others navigate a changing world. Working at the many intersections of civic tech, democracy, religion, & ecology. Distance runner.
DC | Oregon | Chicago
Joined March 2012
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Dems have a clean route to filibuster-proof Senate majority in 2028, needing only 4-6 seats (depending on how AK and MS go). The "Abolish the Filibuster" discourse has always been pragmatic, and advocates should update their priors before renewing the call.
Dropping my vibes-based Senate prediction map here because as serious and consequential as elections are, they are also sportsball and it is okay to have a little fun
(Yes, I realize I’m claiming Maine stays GOP and Kansas goes Dem. The hot take is what makes it fun!)
Kaleb Nyquist retweeted
As President Trump considers resuming attacks on Iran, there are growing fears among U.S. troops in the Middle East and veterans of past wars in the region that escalation would invite retaliation and prolong a monthslong conflict. washingtonsun.com/defense/tr…
Astute observations at how Pope Leo XIV aka Robert Prevost is navigating complexity at the intersection of US midterm elections and college basketball
NEW: Pope Leo XIV suggested on Saturday that he is rooting for Villanova over Notre Dame, but only in his personal capacity as Robert Prevost.
The future pope graduated from Villanova in 1977 with a bachelor’s degree in mathematics.
Throughout his pontificate, the White Sox and Villanova fan has used the line between Leo and Prevost to settle his sports loyalties. This week, it let him vote in the midterms. thelettersfromleo.com/p/pope…
I wonder how much of Osborn being seen as a Democrat shows how much the Democrat party has “changed” this cycle. There are many Osborn-esque candidates (eg. Poindexter, Brooks, Forstag, Mooore) who won Dem primaries this cycle. Osborn paved a way for them. nytimes.com/2026/10/31/us/po…
This article overlooks how Alaska’s Ranked Choice Voting system now actually mitigates against the Dan-Who?-Sullivan problem.
Not sure which Dan is the right one? Just rank both 1 & 2 (or 3 & 4 if you don’t like either) and the math will work itself out. washingtonpost.com/politics/…
Part II of my essay defining "Partisan Confession" now available online. Although written within a specific tradition, I'm curious to see if this resonates with others who are politically engaged but wrestling with the moral ambiguities of partisanship. pietisten.org/xli/1/partisan…
Part I, "Confession and the Virtue of Good Partisanship" was published earlier this year. pietisten.org/xl/2/partisans…
This strikes me as a savvy, ambitious spend from @LCVoters to double down on their "energy bill voter" strategy wapo.st/4yEoFxq
Reality check though, I don't think "lower (gas) prices" can be a talking point for Dems going forward based on their coalition + economic realities. "Stable (gas) prices" might be more realistic, perhaps via a robustly designed 'taxe flottante.' wapo.st/4BlYo9G
I'd be very curious to see "non-white evangelical" polling included in the Pew Research studies, especially in light of @jrichlin's recent piece (quoted in screenshot). washingtonpost.com/ripple/20…
Trump’s approval rating has dropped in every religious group since the beginning of his second term.
Today, White evangelical Protestants are the only religious group in which more people approve than disapprove of Trump’s job performance (58% vs. 40%).
ALT Chart showing Trump’s approval rating from every religious group is lower now than at the beginning of his second term
ALT Chart showing that in nearly all religious groups, more people disapprove than approve of Trump’s job performance
"Some back-of-the-envelope math suggests that these reforms would together raise as much as $2 trillion over 10 years... In most cases, politicians are so afraid of the power of the pass-through industry that they don’t even try to oppose it." theatlantic.com/economy/2026…
“Trump, despite the fact that he has 27 more months in office, is most likely going to attempt to stick the next administration with the unenviable, messy task of resolving this quagmire.” theatlantic.com/internationa…
"In the view of A.I. consciousness skeptics, the fact that these models have begun mimicking deep human ideas…simply reflects how much human researchers and commentators have trained them with language that anthropomorphizes them." nytimes.com/2026/09/21/scien…
"Communities that bore the heaviest burden of storm harm were not necessarily in higher-exposure regions…the gap in storm outcomes is not driven by geography or hazard severity alone. It is driven by social and infrastructural context." @UChiClimate climate.uchicago.edu/news/ne…
“Postal Service analysts must now approve envelope designs. There are just 40 of these analysts nationwide, and election officials and experts warn that they will be unable to meet the demand from thousands of jurisdictions submitting new designs.” nytimes.com/interactive/2026…
