Long Island Oversight (@LIOversight) profile picture

All politics is local. All hypocrisy is visible. Calling balls and strikes for Long Island politics.

Long Island, NY
Joined July 2025
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Long Island doesn’t need more partisans. It needs more accountability. I’ll be calling out hypocrisy, incompetence, and cowardice — on both sides.
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newsday.com/long-island/poli… Nassau Dems vote NO on County Budget due to use of $44M of reserves. "When asked to respond to their concerns, Blakeman said Democrats say they want to reduce spending but "have provided no solutions to the issues that face the taxpayers." "
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I agree these type of things are super gimmicky and voters realize it.
Hochul's rebate checks hit mailboxes across NY with just days until midterms: 'Election-year scam' trib.al/INMyhLn
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Long Island Oversight retweeted
NEW: "What Bruce Blakeman's Private Militia Clusterfuck Says About How He'd Run New York" "A random executive order, suggestive of the threat of violence, that accomplishes nothing beyond sowing anxiety—whose governing style does that sound like?" hellgatenyc.com/bruce-blakem…
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Long Island Oversight retweeted
From North Hempstead to Southampton, town supervisor races highlight local election slates this fall, with incumbents seeking to ward off challengers in five contested heats. In all, voters will head to the polls in seven of the Island's 13 towns to choose who will hold the top job in their respective town. Local budgets and future development are among the prominent issues. Read more here: nwsdy.li/4BPSuOu (Photos: James Escher) . . . #longisland #longislandny #suffolkcounty #nassaucounty #election
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Anyone who says “everyone hates Hochul” needs to make more friends. Anyone who says “I only see Blakeman signs in my neighborhood” is confusing visibility with electability. Anyone who says “we aren’t a blue state we only have blue cities,” needs to realize that land doesn’t vote
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There are 6 NYS senate seats where the R won by 55% or less in 2024. 5 seek re-election 01 Palumbo 52.9% 07 Martins 55.1% (open seat) 17 Chan 54.7% 38 Weber 52.4% 39 Rolison 50.7% 44 Ashby 54.6% Dems would only need to flip one for a supermajority.
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Districts 38 and 39 are indicated below. All or part of Putnam, Dutchess and Orange Counties: lot’s of overlap with Mike Lawler’s district. If Lawler goes down, expect that these two may also.
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Dems are also looking to take advantage of the retirement of State Sen. Jack Martins in SD-07. They are running former Assemblyman and semi-recent Great Neck transplant Rory Lancman. Reps have Assemblyman Jake Blumencranz. Both will need strong coattails to win.
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Blakeman has only ever won in local races that Jay Jacobs was squarely in charge of. When it comes to the statewide, I wouldn’t credit him completely. Hochul is the boss and there’s an entire team of serious people running the operation.
Here's Bruce Blakeman's recent electoral record: ❌ 1998: New York State Comptroller ❌ 1999: Nassau County Legislature ⚪ 2009: NYC Mayor (aborted campaign) ❌ 2010: Senate ❌ 2014: House ✅ 2019: Hempstead Town Council ✅ 2021: Nassau County Exec ✅ 2025: Nassau County Exec
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1999 is an exception, at the height of republicans mismanaging and bankrupting the county under Exec Tom Gulotta. Why we have NIFA still today.
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I revise this statement. I was right from the beginning. Jay didnt become chair until 2001 after backing Suozzi in the primary for county exec against Tom DiNapoli. Worked out well for all involved.
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18 murders in Nassau County in 2025. That’s up from 15 in 2024. Someone should look into the cause of this 20% spike and find the local officials responsible! There’s a mass crimewave going on in Nassau County!!! Where is the NY Post its official newspaper?!!
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My favorite part: “Crime is rampant everywhere!” Mr. Blakeman told a small crowd of supporters outside the diner. “Crime is rampant everywhere?” a television reporter muttered to himself, with citywide trends suggesting just the opposite. “Does he ever read the crime stats?”
NEW: He is good friends with President Trump, an ex-husband to a Beatle’s wife and a Republican power player on Long Island. Now @NassauExec wants to be governor. Can he swim against what appears to be a profoundly blue political tide? w/@mattfleg
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Long Island Oversight retweeted
very cool and timely new tracker of every NYS county legislature, by @BenjySachs on @nysfocus: nysfocus.com/interactives/20…
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Maybe it has something to do with his own lackluster campaign and his constant posting of weird AI shit like this.
Hochul and Mamdani trying to distract you from voting for me.
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Long Island Oversight retweeted
Unofficial early voting numbers continue to be bonkers in NY - 918,342 people have cast a ballot statewide through Day 4 of the early voting period (Tuesday) - That's 429,266 (88%) more than did over the same period in 2022 - NYC up 72%; rest of state up 97% Source: NYS BOE
Through 3 days, early voting totals are up in every single one of New York's 62 counties compared to 2022. % increase from 2022: - Statewide: 90% - NYC: 76% - Outside NYC: 98% (Source: NYS Board of Elections unofficial tally)
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If you’re explaining, you’re losing
Bruce Blakeman's campaign is focusing on a big difference in what the Siena and Marist polls show re: independent voters. Siena has Hochul winning independent voters in a big swing from last month. Marist has Blakeman winning independent voters.
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“High number of murders in the subway” Nassau county: 11 homicides in 2025, 1.4m residents Subway: 4 homicides in 2025, 4m riders daily
"There's no congestion relief here" Blakeman on Upper East Side to criticize congestion "tax," 21 fare hikes under Hochul, "mismanagement" of MTA, high number of murders in subway
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Long Island Oversight retweeted
Through 3 days, early voting totals are up in every single one of New York's 62 counties compared to 2022. % increase from 2022: - Statewide: 90% - NYC: 76% - Outside NYC: 98% (Source: NYS Board of Elections unofficial tally)
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