Sri Lankan Full Stack Developer, Google Certified Mobile Web Specialist, STEM Creator, Commodity Analyst & Author. Opinions are mine! https://teapawt.org/t.co/1lcoLHKO8s
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🌀 Fresh weather system forms near Andaman Islands, set to intensify into Bay of Bengal depression by Oct 31st!
A fresh low pressure area has been developing over the South Andaman Sea recently and is steadily gaining strength.
According to the simulation of the above model, it will intensify into a well-marked low within 24 hours and concentrate into a depression by October 31st.
The system is currently projected to head west-northwestward toward the Andhra Pradesh and North Tamil Nadu coasts by early November. These systems, more often than not, evolve and may change the paths and intensity as move over the warm seas.
Coastal regions should keep a close watch on updates as this secondary system develops.
#BayOfBengal #WeatherUpdate #SriLankaNews
🌀 అండమాన్ దీవుల సమీపంలో కొత్త వాతావరణ వ్యవస్థ ఏర్పడింది, అక్టోబర్ 31 నాటికి బంగాళాఖాతంలో వాయుగుండంగా మారే అవకాశం! ఇటీవల దక్షిణ అండమాన్ సముద్రంలో ఒక కొత్త అల్పపీడన ప్రాంతం ఏర్పడి, క్రమంగా పుంజుకుంటోంది. పైన పేర్కొన్న నమూనా అంచనా ప్రకారం, ఇది 24 గంటల్లో బలమైన అల్పపీడనంగా మారి, అక్టోబర్ 31 నాటికి వాయుగుండంగా బలపడుతుంది. ఈ వ్యవస్థ ప్రస్తుతం నవంబర్ ప్రారంభంలో పశ్చిమ-వాయువ్య దిశగా ఆంధ్రప్రదేశ్ మరియు ఉత్తర తమిళనాడు తీరాల వైపు దూసుకువచ్చే అవకాశం ఉందని అంచనా వేస్తున్నారు. వేడి సముద్రాలపై ప్రయాణించేటప్పుడు ఈ వాతావరణ వ్యవస్థలు తరచుగా తమ మార్గాన్ని, తీవ్రతను మార్చుకునే అవకాశం ఉంటుంది. ఈ ద్వితీయ వ్యవస్థ అభివృద్ధి చెందుతున్నందున తీర ప్రాంతాల ప్రజలు తాజా సమాచారాన్ని నిరంతరం గమనిస్తూ ఉండాలి.
🌀 அந்தமான் தீவுகளுக்கு அருகே புதிய வானிலை அமைப்பு உருவானது, அக் 31க்குள் வங்காள விரிகுடா காற்றழுத்த தாழ்வு மண்டலமாக வலுவடைய வாய்ப்பு! தெற்கு அந்தமான் கடல் பகுதியில் சமீபத்தில் ஒரு புதிய காற்றழுத்த தாழ்வு பகுதி உருவாகி, படிப்படியாக வலுவடைந்து வருகிறது.
மேற்கூறிய மாதிரியின் உருவகப்படுத்துதலின்படி, இது 24 மணி நேரத்திற்குள் நன்கு குறிக்கப்பட்ட காற்றழுத்த தாழ்வு பகுதியாக வலுவடைந்து, அக்டோபர் 31-ஆம் தேதிக்குள் காற்றழுத்த தாழ்வு மண்டலமாக மாறும்.
இந்த அமைப்பு தற்போது நவம்பர் தொடக்கத்தில் மேற்கு-வடமேற்கு திசையில் ஆந்திரப் பிரதேசம் மற்றும் வட தமிழக கடற்கரையை நோக்கி நகரும் என்று கணிக்கப்பட்டுள்ளது. வெப்பமான கடல் பரப்பில் நகரும் போது, இத்தகைய அமைப்புகள் பெரும்பாலும் மாறுதலடைந்து, தங்களின் பாதை மற்றும் தீவிரத்தை மாற்றக்கூடும். இந்த இரண்டாம் நிலை அமைப்பு உருவாகி வருவதால், கடலோரப் பகுதிகள் வானிலை அறிவிப்புகளை உன்னிப்பாகக் கவனிக்க வேண்டும்.
🌀 අන්දමන් දූපත් අසල අලුත් කාලගුණ පද්ධතියක් නිර්මාණය වේ, ඔක්තෝබර් 31 වන විට බෙංගාල බොක්කේ පීඩන අවපාතයක් දක්වා තීව්ර වීමට නියමිතයි!
දකුණු අන්දමන් මුහුද ආශ්රිතව මෑතකදී අලුත් අඩු පීඩන කලාපයක් වර්ධනය වෙමින් පවතින අතර එය ක්රමයෙන් ශක්තිමත් වෙමින් පවතී. ඉහත ආකෘතියේ අනුකරණයට අනුව, එය පැය 24ක් ඇතුළත පැහැදිලි අඩු පීඩන කලාපයක් බවට පත්වන අතර ඔක්තෝබර් 31 වන විට පීඩන අවපාතයක් දක්වා වර්ධනය වනු ඇත.
මෙම පද්ධතිය දැනට නොවැම්බර් මුල වන විට බටහිර-වයඹ දෙසින් ආන්ධ්ර ප්රදේශ් සහ උතුරු තමිල්නාඩු වෙරළ තීරයන් දෙසට ගමන් කරනු ඇතැයි අපේක්ෂා කෙරේ. උණුසුම් මුහුද හරහා ගමන් කරන විට මෙම පද්ධතීන් බොහෝ විට පරිණාමය වන අතර ඒවායේ ගමන් මාර්ග සහ තීව්රතාවය වෙනස් විය හැක.
මෙම ද්විතීයික පද්ධතිය වර්ධනය වන බැවින් වෙරළබඩ ප්රදේශ මේ පිළිබඳව දැඩි අවධානයෙන් සිටිය යුතුය.
Double Trouble in the Bay! Invest 90B is not far away!
First Cyclone Arnab, now this. While all eyes are on Arnab, meteorologists - and this model, of course - are tracking Invest 90B right behind it in the southwest Bay of Bengal.
This secondary system is already well beyond the embryonic stage and is actively interacting with Arnab, slowing it down and shifting its path.
One after the other, this bay is absolutely cooking right now. Check out the latest model animation showing both systems fighting for dominance. The model I use accurately predicted the path and time of landfall of Cyclone Arnab.
Stay tuned, stay safe, folks!
People in the affected coastal areas in Andra Pradesh say the storm is much more intense than what forecasters told them. Perhaps, it may be due to the influence of Invest 90B that is forming in the periphery of the Bay of Bengal.
There are unknown factors at work; that's why real storms always defy the models, especially while making landfall. Cyclone Arnab is a case in point.
#CycloneArnab --
The cyclone is likely to make a landfall between Bapatla and Visakhapatnam, to
the South of Yanam between 2 AM to 4 AM on October 28, at a wind speed of 125-135 kmph gusting
to 150 kmph.
#CycloneArnab moving at a speed of 17 kmph over the west-central Bay of Bengal, was centred 70 km from Kakinada, 60 km from Narsapur, 120 km from Tuni and Machilipatnam, and 190 km from Visakhapatnam as of 10.20 pm on Tuesday.
The cyclone is likely to bring heavy to extremely heavy rainfall to East Godavari, West Godavari, Kakinada, Konaseema and Anakapalli districts during the night.
The storm is expected to trigger severe gale-force winds of 145–155 kmph, with gusty winds reaching up to 170 kmph.
📢 Midterm Mayhem: Geopolitics and Looming Escalation Drive Oil Past $100
The ongoing military conflict involving the United States, Israel, and Iran is the main driver of the 2026 global energy shock. This crisis shows no signs of slowing down, despite intense diplomatic efforts by nations such as Qatar, Pakistan, and Turkey to broker peace.
What started as a localized clash in the Strait of Hormuz has escalated into a widespread campaign directly targeting major energy infrastructure and vital shipping routes throughout the Middle East.
More on this is here:
oilfutures.co.uk/2026/10/vot…
#OOTT
Cyclone Arnab
A "dancing cyclone" has spun up in the Bay of Bengal, but models show Sri Lanka will dodge a direct hit.
Cyclone Arnab is tracking northwest toward India for a Wednesday landfall. While our island is clear of the direct path, significant indirect weather impacts are starting today.
Expect heavy rain exceeding 100mm in the Northern, Western, Southern, and Central provinces alongside gale-force winds and dangerous 4-metre
The animation below to see how the system is drawing moisture across Sri Lanka while choosing its unpredictable path.
🚨 CYCLONE ARNAB UPDATE: The live system model shows the system has now officially intensified into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm over the Bay of Bengal.
Landfall Track: The IMD projects the eye will cross the Andhra Pradesh & Yanam coasts between Bapatla and Visakhapatnam by Wednesday (Oct 28) morning.
Wind Speeds: Destructive gusts are expected to hit 115–125 kmph, peaking up to 140 kmph.
Heavy to extremely heavy downpours are already initiating across the region. Take precautions immediately! Stay tuned to this thread for live track updates.
🚨 CYCLONE ARNAB UPDATE: The live system model shows the system has now officially intensified into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm over the Bay of Bengal.
Landfall Track: The IMD projects the eye will cross the Andhra Pradesh & Yanam coasts between Bapatla and Visakhapatnam by Wednesday (Oct 28) morning.
Wind Speeds: Destructive gusts are expected to hit 115–125 kmph, peaking up to 140 kmph.
Heavy to extremely heavy downpours are already initiating across the region. Take precautions immediately! Stay tuned to this thread for live track updates.
வங்காள விரிகுடாவில் ஒரு "சுழற்காற்று" உருவாகியுள்ளது, ஆனால் இலங்கைக்கு இதனால் நேரடி பாதிப்பு இருக்காது என வானிலை மாதிரிகள் காட்டுகின்றன.
அர்னாப் புயல் புதன்கிழமை அன்று இந்தியாவை நோக்கி கரையை கடக்க வடமேற்கு திசையில் நகர்கிறது. நமது தீவுக்கு நேரடி பாதிப்பு இல்லை என்றாலும், இன்று முதல் மறைமுக வானிலை தாக்கங்கள் ஆரம்பமாகின்றன. வடக்கு, மேல், தெற்கு மற்றும் மத்திய மாகாணங்களில் 100 மில்லிமீட்டருக்கும் அதிகமான பலத்த மழை, பலத்த காற்று மற்றும் 4 மீட்டர் உயரத்திற்கு ஆபத்தான கடல் அலைகளை எதிர்பார்க்கலாம்.
இந்த காற்றழுத்த மண்டலம் இலங்கை முழுவதும் ஈரப்பதத்தை எவ்வாறு ஈர்க்கிறது என்பதைக் காண கீழே உள்ள அனிமேஷனைப் பார்க்கவும்.
බෙංගාල බොක්ක ආශ්රිතව "චණ්ඩ මාරුතයක්" නිර්මාණය වී ඇති මුත්, ශ්රී ලංකාවට ඉන් සෘජු බලපෑමක් එල්ල නොවන බව නවතම කාලගුණ මාදිලි පෙන්වා දෙයි.
අර්නාබ් සුළි කුණාටුව බදාදා දිනයේදී ඉන්දියාව දෙසට ගොඩබිමට ඇතුළු වීමට වයඹ දෙසට ගමන් කරමින් පවතී. අප දිවයිනට ඉන් සෘජු බලපෑමක් නැතත්, අද සිට වක්ර කාලගුණ බලපෑම් ඇති විය හැක. උතුරු, බස්නාහිර, දකුණ සහ මධ්යම පළාත්වලට මිලිමීටර් 100 ඉක්මවූ තද වැසි, තද සුළං සහ මීටර් 4ක් පමණ උසැති රළු මුහුදු රළ අපේක්ෂා කෙරේ.
මෙම පද්ධතිය මගින් ශ්රී ලංකාව හරහා ජල වාෂ්ප ඇද ගන්නා ආකාරය නැරඹීමට ඉහත සජීවීකරණය බලන්න.