Interesting... Niño 3.4 and 1+2 dropping a little, while Niño 3 and 4 are going up...
It looks like we're about to go even more East based, as the new DKW makes itself visible.
#ElNiño
Matheus R retweeted
Se queda corto senador @flavio_figallo.
Con el agravante de que toda la costa está holgadamente más caliente que en similar época del FEN de 1997-98.
Aún cuando no hay una correlación 1 a 1 entre calentamiento del mar e impactos; hay que entender la naturaleza del problema que tenemos los peruanos.
Matheus R retweeted
Balança comercial resiste a choques externos e caminha para 2º maior superávit da história | Exportações para os EUA caem 6,5% em 2026, mas Brasil diversifica mercados na China, Índia e Japão para compensar; guerra no Oriente Médio impulsionou venda de ... ebx.sh/XZDP6y
The entire Pacific coast of South America is warm above normal. In my 32 years alive, I've NEVER seen anything like this. Also, the Atlantic is accumulating fuel for the 2027 hurricane season.
#ElNiño
Matheus R retweeted
🚨 ATENÇÃO l Governo Lula estuda criar "lista suja" e bloquear financiamento a empresas que praticarem assédio eleitoral
Quem coagir o trabalhador vai sentir no bolso e perder crédito público
#LiveDoLulaComSeuExercito
Matheus R retweeted
Una Onda Kelvin está ingresando y rompiendo récords de anomalías de la temperatura del mar para primavera, con 2 estaciones con >+10°C!!!!
Y una amplia franja costera con más de 50 centimetros de elevación del nivel medio del mar.
Información de @DHN_peru
Matheus R retweeted
This El Niño has now set ocean temperature records for 150+ days straight.
Average temperatures in the central equatorial Pacific Ocean have reached 86.4°F (30.2°C), while maximum temperatures have climbed to 88.8°F (31.6°C).
But this El Niño is about more than just numbers 🧵
Ratificado e reconhecido internacionalmente, inclusive por uma organização baseada nos EUA.
It's over.
Matheus R retweeted
🚨URGENTE - Missão Internacional de Observadores da OEA atesta integridade do processo eleitoral brasileiro e congratula Lula pela vitória.
Matheus R retweeted
What really stands out to me here is how shear never got at all favorable, even at peak. 1997 and 2015 both dipped down to near average briefly in September, but this year basically had June-level shear or more for the entire season. Just a complete wipeout over the MDR.
Several factors made this Atlantic hurricane season one of the least active on record but one in particular stands out. Wind shear wasn't just high, it was record-shattering high. Today's newsletter is packed with all the details ⬇️
michaelrlowry.substack.com/p…
"But the El Niño peaked..."
ENSO Regions 3 (+4.3C) and 3.4 (+3.4C) set new all-time weekly records. #ElNiño
SOI is rising... while ALL the Niño regions are rocketing upwards... And there's people saying that it peaked. Cool joke bro. This not only shows an incredible coupled event, but also so East based that the usual measurement can't properly keep up.
#ElNiño
Imagine being this dumb to think this Super El Niño already peaked, when just now we're getting the Bjerknes Feedback Loop... Couldn't be me.
It's all or nothing now for this event, as we approach the usual high end period. The 3 main regions are all spiking up, firing on all cylinders for a historic peak.
#ElNiño
Matheus R retweeted
There’s a debate in the meteorology/ climate community about how to visualize the 2026 El Niño. One method subtracts recent tropical ocean warming mainly due to climate change (relative RONI index) and one that simply visualizes the event with no correction.
So how does 2026’s El Niño compare with 1997 after accounting for warmer tropical oceans? Bottom line: 2026 is still significantly stronger than 1997.
For these October 14–20 maps, a RONI-style adjustment subtracts the tropical-average SST anomaly: 0.29°C in 1997 and 1.14°C in 2026.
Niño 3.4 changes from:
• 1997: +2.13°C → +1.85°C
• 2026: +3.34°C → +2.21°C
2026 remains warmer but its lead shrinks from 1.21°C to 0.36°C after adjusting for tropical-ocean warmth.
ENSO region numbers to follow… 🧵 1/
Matheus R retweeted
Ou seja: comprou no topo indo na onda dos faria limers dizendo que a vitória do Flávio era certa, aí eles venderam enquanto você sentia a mão invisível do mercado sendo enfiada bem no seu cu
It's over for the beta
Trump diz que eleição do Brasil pareceu fraudada, mas que gosta de Lula cnnbr.app/short/c2201952823/
Matheus R retweeted
🌍 LÍDERES MUNDIAIS PARABENIZAM LULA PELA REELEIÇÃO!
🇪🇸 Pedro Sánchez — Espanha
🇪🇺 Ursula von der Leyen — União Europeia
🇨🇦 Mark Carney — Canadá
🇲🇽 Claudia Sheinbaum — México
🇮🇳 Narendra Modi — Índia
🇨🇳 Governo da China
🇺🇾 Yamandú Orsi — Uruguai
🇨🇱 José Antonio Kast — Chile
🇵🇾 Santiago Peña — Paraguai
🇧🇴 Rodrigo Paz — Bolívia
🇵🇦 José Raúl Mulino — Panamá
🇨🇺 Miguel Díaz-Canel — Cuba
🇪🇨 Daniel Noboa — Equador
🇵🇪 Keiko Fujimori — Peru
🇨🇴 Presidência da Colômbia
🇫🇷 Emmanuel Macron — França
🌎 A vitória de Lula repercute pelo mundo!

















































