Charting Promos, with a sprinkle of degen plays DM’s always open 👊 Independent. Not affiliated with or endorsed by Mike Ditka. @DitkaBets on YouTube
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DraftKings King of the Court Bonus Bet Projections 💰
As always, poll results are under representing the favorites (Giannis & SGA) so I am doing some manual edits on these guys. I could see Giannis being a tad higher, but it's hard to say. Luka is almost ALWAYS involved in KOTC, so it's hard to find historical data without him.
There are too many players to plot, so if there are other players you are curious about, let me know 👇
As I mentioned in my last post, Brunson & Booker get you the most bang for your buck out of the top 10.
Let me know who you got 👊
DraftKings King of the Court Win Probabilities 👑 📊
6 Game slate, only $1M Jackpot tonight.
A few guys flagging as overplayed:
🔹 Jaylen Brown, Darius Acuff Jr. & Domantas Sabonis
Underplayed:
🔹 Jalen Brunson & Devin Booker
Posting some bonus bet projections soon & the full value chart.
DraftKings King of the Court is BACK 🚨💰
Who do you have leading the way in PRA tonight? (1/10)
Assuming most Luka bettors will flock to Giannis/SGA, but I’m expecting tonight to be very dispersed across the top 5 👀
19%Giannis
10%SGA
21%Jayson Tatum
49%See results
2,083 votes • Final results 6
13
25,670
DraftKings King of the Court
Who do you have leading the way in PRA tonight? (9/10)
14%Anthony Black
6%Miles Bridges
12%Donovan Clingan
68%See results
380 votes • Final results 1
2,498
This is a good reminder to avoid fighting with strangers at all cost.
The guy with the initial knockout ended up getting sucker punched, which was followed up with about 20 more strikes/kicks while he was already knocked out.
Brutal watch & potential brain damage for both men involved.
Grown men fighting over football is objectively pathetic. Punching/kicking someone who is already knocked out is one of the most cowardly things you can do & deserves prison time.
Gen Z quarterbacks are just ridiculously soft. McCarthy pulled the same shit last year in Minnesota with his hand injury.
1
9
7,485
DraftKings King of the End Zone Bonus Bet RESULT 💰
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is your Week 8 King with a lucky 43 yard TD 👑
Bonus Bet Payout: $34 👍
Model Projection: $46 🎯
Honestly, can’t complain if you had JSN. He was pure chalk and $34 isn’t much, but definitely expected.
Kalif Raymond bettors, how are we feeling?
DraftKings King of the End Zone UPDATE #1 💰🚨
Jaxon Smith Njigba may have just clinched his second KOTE with a 43 yard TD 👀👀
$47 feels high, But JSN did have a $45 payout week 1 against New England (adjusted for $2M pool).
Who’s sweating this one out? 👇
DraftKings King of the End Zone UPDATE #1 💰🚨
Jaxon Smith Njigba may have just clinched his second KOTE with a 43 yard TD 👀👀
$47 feels high, But JSN did have a $45 payout week 1 against New England (adjusted for $2M pool).
Who’s sweating this one out? 👇
DraftKings King of the End Zone Bonus Bet Projections 💰📊
Wide Receiver
JSN and Luther Burden is the obvious chalk, and both are easy avoids for me. I personally don't play this promo for a $50 payout.
If you are hunting value, Cooper Kupp is the easy choice at this position. If you want to play the lottery, Montorie Foster Jr. is your guy.
To be honest, not very excited about these WR options, but there are 2 decent value options listed about. Side note, Jahdae Walker is trending to be a popular choice tonight. The bonus bet should be cut in half.
Running Back
There are some great value options at this position, and I personally think D'Andre Swift is a dark horse for tonight. Projecting as underplayed, despite leading the Bears in games' longest touchdowns since the start of 2024.
Charbonnet, Wilson, and Roschon are also coming in as underplayed and are fine value for whichever level of risk that you would like to take.
It may be X bias, but Zavier Scott is coming in as the most overvalued player from this morning's poll results. Recommend cutting his projection in half.
Tight End
There's definitely some value on AJ Barner tonight and Eric Saubert if you would like a longer shot option. Colston Loveland is fine, but if I decide to go TE, the value on Barner would be too much to pass up.
The longshot historical data point that falls massively short of expectations is Sam Roush. I expect he'll be overplayed again tonight, especially with Cole Kmet out for the season.
D/ST
This position is the hardest to project for bonus bets, which may partially be because it sometimes splits with a positional player.
If I had to guess, I'd go against the model here and project the Seahawks to pay less than $300. Seahawks defense has 10 games with the longest touchdown since the start of 2024, which is only behind Saquon and Jameson.
If you're taking Defense tonight, Bears is the easy choice for value.
Quarterback (top reply) 👇👇👇
Quarterback
Dak had a massive hypothetical of $6,000 last week, which is where I envision Sam Darnold to also land.
Unfortunately, I don't think either of these options makes sense. Neither have a longest TD game since the start of 2024 and I'd be shocked if Darnold accomplished it before then.
Value is definitely on Darnold, but I am not playing it. Regarding Caleb, there are just too many options that will payout similarly and have better slightly better odds at winning the promo.
Best of luck and let me know who you got 👇
6
7,595
DraftKings King of the End Zone is BACK | Poll (1/9)🚨🗳️
Who do you have scoring the longest TD tonight?
Call your shot ‼️👇
25%JSN
22%Luther Burden
5%D’Andre Swift
48%See results
1,881 votes • Final results 4
8
19,866
DraftKings King of the End Zone is BACK | Poll (8/9)🚨🗳️
16%Jahdae Walker
3%Irvin Charles
4%Brady Russell
77%See results
411 votes • Final results 1
2,733