Ave (MentionMetrix)

One of the sharpest traders. I’m glad we got to know each other early this year!

Crazy election night with almost all my positions winning. Nearly flawles. Overall, I'm going to end up with around $80k in profit. I want to thank @bernardbulletin for the advice you gave and I congratulate you on your huge win. Also want to thank my boys in @MentionMetrix community. Without them, I wouldn't be able to make it. I'm also proud of the amount of research I did on Kansas, which built up my confidence to make it my 2nd largest win this election. And I'm happy for all the other people who became much richer today.

1 year of doing (not only) mention markets Overall: +$242464 September: +$12995 August: +$5449 July: +$54258 June: +$22129 May: +$14116 April: +$17182 March: +$29853 February: +$51921 January: +$24204 December: +$7295 November: +$2035 October: +$1027 It's been a transformational year for me. I learned a lot about myself, got to know a lot of great people and earned quite a good amount of money which I'll try to use as a foundation for my future. Somehow, I spent hundreds of hours creating a tool even though I'm a lazy person. Gathered a community of a lot of nice people, even though I'm an introvert. I guess you can do anything when you like what you're doing. It's been mostly fun, especially in December - March period. Then it became routine and grind, but still with some great moments. Can't say that there were a lot of setbacks. But it's an emotional rollercoaster for sure. Probably the last post about my journey. There're still midterms, but then we'll see what lies ahead. I'm grateful for everything that happened this year. And I hope I helped others on their journeys.

10th month of doing (not only) mention markets July: +$54258 June: +$22129 May: +$14116 April: +$17182 March: +$29853 February: +$51921 January: +$24204 December: +$7295 November: +$2035 October: +$1027 Overall: +$224020 (across Kalshi and Poly) My best month yet thanks to the World Cup. I’ll be missing it, but thankfully it brought a lot of new people to the category and politics mentions are back at good volume. So there’s a hope i can keep up with this pace. Also i was able to grab my second 1c play during the Carvana call when they had issues with their webcast while the phone call was working. And need to pay more attention to election markets. Midterms getting closer, ton of volume is going to be there.

9th month of doing (not only) mention markets June: +$22129 May: +$14116 April: +$17182 March: +$29853 February: +$51921 January: +$24204 December: +$7295 November: +$2035 October: +$1027 Overall: +$169762 It's been a good month as we have a lot of action with World Cup mentions. Also, I found some success with some WC sports bets and with elections. Mentions is still a big part of my winnings, but its share is getting lower. Diversification and being able to adapt are key here, so I'm looking forward to developing my edge in those areas further.

8th month of doing mention markets May: +$14116 April: +$17182 March: +$29853 February: +$51921 January: +$24204 December: +$7295 November: +$2035 October: +$1027 Overall: +$147633 Pretty happy with the result I've shown, as I was able to stabilise my profit after it started plummeting. First weeks of the month were pretty slow with only a few good markets, so I started researching other categories like sports, elections, culture, etc. Right now, the share of my mention gains is at 60-70% and I plan to diversify even further. There are opportunities in other categories, just not as interesting as mentions. But profit is profit.

7th month of doing mention markets April: +$17182 March: +$29853 February: +$51921 January: +$24204 December: +$7295 November: +$2035 October: +$1027 Overall: +$133517 Wasn't the best month for me. Usually, my main profit comes from secondary markets (Mamdani, Hochul, other new speakers...). For the past one-two months I've seen some issues with volume in mentions and that's a big hit for my main profit source as I couldn't play the strikes i like more and had to choose those that had some volume. So I'm trying to adjust, to find new tactics and strategies. Trying to look into new categories which i find interesting and liquid. Also been kinda burned out after the previous months. Hopefully, I can rest a bit and come back stronger. Seeing my position on the leaderboard that hasn't changed makes me think that I'm not struggling alone.

Yesterday was one of my best days so far | +$4426 I love the days after big events. Cause for some time you get enough volume to realize all your ideas and plays.

Could've done better considering the volume, but I'm happy that I'm done almost perfectly well in terms of my predictions. My positions were: - Ballroom N - Excursion N - Withdraw N - Uranium N - Ceasefire N - Hottest Y - Stock market Y - Regime change N (on poly) - the only one that I guessed wrong. I wish we had more of such events, but I'm sure this one will bring attention to the category and we'll see good volume in the next couple of weeks.

6th month of doing mention markets March: +$29853 February: +$51921 January: +$24204 December: +$7295 November: +$2035 October: +$1027 Overall: +$116335 March has been a tough month. Everything felt harder. I think the issue is less people were interested in the category in general, but those who stayed became better and competition grew. But anyway, I was able to find enough opportunities and take a spot in the top 20 of the monthly leaderboard and complete my $100k goal for this year. I believe we still should be good throughout 2026 and then we'll see.

I've seen quite some rulescucks on Kalshi. Most often, I've been on the winning side. And I want to share some thoughts on that. Rules are often imperfect. And that's alright, considering how quickly the category grows, new speakers get added. Unexpected situations are inevitable. What worked for me in these chaotic situations? Understanding how Kalshi's staff will act. The easiest way is to remember how they acted in similar situations. It comes with time, but there's also @bernardbulletin, who compiled a Dispute Bible, which includes many of these situations. Often, unclear rules are Kalshi’s fault. Unclear wording, dates, title, sources, or resolution criteria. And in those cases, resolutions tend to follow patterns: – last traded price – one side wins, the other gets refunded - "common sense" outcome They’re actually pretty consistent and I was able to understand which way the market will go logically. I can recall only one case that felt completely unfair. If you’re not confident in the outcome — stay away. If you are, still manage risk. Because sometimes, there’s no logic. Only precedent.

Today I finally hit $100k on @Kalshi When I was setting it as a goal for the whole 2026, I didn't expect to hit it in 3 months. This has been a crazy road, which has brought some insane opportunities. I always say that I'm just lucky, but there are hundreds, maybe even thousands of hours behind it. I'm lucky that I have such nice people in @MentionMetrix community. I think 1/4 of my profit was because of alpha shared by the community. March is much harder, but not every month will be your best month. But with midterms coming up i think we'll see some more great months. My new goal for 2026 is $500k and I hope I'll be lucky enough to reach it.

Been missing here for some time. A lot of grind is happening in the MentionMetrix community. Kinda got burned out after previous months of non-stop grind. But mention markets supercycle is an opportunity of a lifetime, so I still grind, just not being active here. 3k until the $100k all-time profit🚀

5th month of doing mention markets February: +$51921 January: +$24204 December: +$7295 November: +$2035 October: +$1027 Overall: +$86482 Another crazy month when I was able to show significant growth. So many beautiful moments: Super Bowl, Bernie rug, Bernie rally, 1c play, SOTU. Only yesterday's Trump rally was a big loss. But i guess it saved me from being overconfident. Learned a lot of new stuff. Got to know so many good people. Grew MentionMetrix community to 200+ people. Thanks to everyone with whom we spent all this time there. Wonderful place! Shoutout to @radarmentions for launching a great tool. Also helped me make at least $10k this month) $100k goal is close! I'll try to close it next week or two.

My biggest loss ever | -$4756 I guess I was just too tired of winning😅 It disappoints me, but I understand that it still was an incredible month and I'll keep going forward.

Keep grinding | +$4711 Flawless day with many nice wins and as a cherry on top - Mamdani speech with good volume and crazy mispricings. Proper research is a must!

My first SOTU and I did gooood | +$8035 Started with -$2k as Somalian was leaked, but Ballroom N was a saviour. Almost caught Olympic N during the mismog, bought only 200 shares and sold at 35c. Almost did the same with Obama, but it was mogged only to 10c, I expected 5c. Should've acted riskier.