Pinned Tweet
Replying to @waltshaub @Saldino1234
Or... in limerick format...
The POTUS just could not refrain
From putting the screws to Ukraine
He got on the phone
And made it well known
That they’d need to cause Biden some pain
#WhistleblowerGate
#AbuseOfPower
#ImpeachTheMotherfucker
Wrong. Voters were fed up with corruption. That’s the big difference this year. These guys are corrupt as fuck, and practically rubbing it in our faces.
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up.
So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us."
Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026.
There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true.
But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.
Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:
1) End the war
2) Focus on cost of living/inflation
3) Put America First
4) Change our relationship to Israel
Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.)
In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you.
The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night.
If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest.
But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.
I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
The Mick retweeted
Replying to @JDVance
Voters are fed up with corruption.
That’s my take.
And you, habibi, are corrupt as fuck.
Wow. Powerful. I believe every word.
Must watch... she's so brave.
“I was one of the child victims of Donald Trump.” Dr. Larissa Portnoff, a clinical psychologist in her 30s, says it began around age 8 and resumed at 16 and 17. She thought she’d escaped “a pedophile ring,” calls Trump “clearly a pedophile and dangerous,” and says someone made an attempt on her life after her report.
Her message: “We need to get the corruption to stop. We need to use our voices. We need to get Donald Trump out of office.” And to Trump: “If you think you’re going to intimidate me, Donald Trump, it’s not going to work. I'm not afraid of you.” Please share. #press #Trump #Corruption #Justice #Accountability #rape
LOL. Elon is such a fucking dick.
I appear to have outwitted the algorithms at X. Which, frankly, is rather like outsmarting a toaster.
Normally, when I write “Trump is a…” followed by something less than flattering, the post limps along with 4,000 or 5,000 views.
But this time, I announced, with all the ceremony of a royal wedding: “Ladies and gentlemen! The President of the United States 🇺🇸”
And suddenly, the algorithm went absolutely nuts. 1.3 MILLION views.
Presumably, the magnificent machinery at X decided this was a stirring tribute to America’s glorious leader and opened the floodgates.
Unfortunately for them, as anyone who watched the video will appreciate, it was nothing of the sort.
I’ve effectively persuaded Trump’s own cheerleading machine to distribute the joke to an enormous audience.
Rather a splendid catch, if I may say so myself.
I am not opposed to having an earlier deadline, say 1 week, for mail in ballots.
That idea makes total sense to me.
Unpopular view:
I’m glad I had ZERO kids at my door today.
Trick-or-treating is a terrible idea.
Let it forever move to “memory world”.
British monarchy decision to apologize for slavery at this particular moment in history is tactical brilliance, in a profound multigenerational way.
When could this move EVER have been made to a greater effect?
Let the MAGA assholes attack it. Bad look.
The Mick retweeted
Replying to @KimJonTrump3
Def need 52. I agree.
I count MI as the most crucial “must have” of all.
There are so many subplots.
This state will be the new Florida, lol
In the hot weather, I never go below 71.
In the cold weather, I never go above 69.
I submit evidence that 70 is just right.
That’s just about 21.
Dems need 4 seat pickup in the Senate.
Path:
1) Don’t lose anywhere. Michigan is the only worry.
2) NC - nearly certain flip
3) That means minimum 3 of the following:
Alaska, Ohio, Texas, Maine, Iowa, Kansas
That pretty much sums it up. Watch out for shenanigans in Michigan.
Another way of saying it is, 7 states are realistically in play. Dems need to win 4 of them.
Michigan
Alaska
Ohio
Texas
Maine
Iowa
Kansas
All 7 means 54 seats
Only 3/7 means 50/50














