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$NBIS - $100B market cap in the next 12 months.
MarketMaverick retweeted
$NBIS: This hyperscaler sell off has no legs
$MSFT capex was a timing issue saying “ delays in the delivery of some third-party cloud capacity” was the reason.
$GOOG said “our full year 2026 CapEx guidance range of 195 to $205 billion remain unchanged. We continue to expect our CapEx to increase significantly in 2027”
So What’s the problem?
Don’t let price action stop you from seeing the fundamentals right in front of your face.
MarketMaverick retweeted
Replying to @aviancapital
This is what happens when you don't actually listen to a call and just repost sensationalism...
Near zero chance this $GOOG dip doesn't get bought quick... Madness!
MarketMaverick retweeted
$GOOGL CFO:
“Given the supply constraint environment, we started utilizing third-party compute capacity at the end of Q3, and will ramp usage in Q4.”
“Expect margin headwinds in the near term as we utilize this capacity.”
Expect our CapEx to increase significantly in 2027
If $NBIS goes to $200 by Friday, I'll be throwing a party in New Orleans. Drinks on me...
$CRWV will be $100 soon... You don't have to like it.
$NBIS has already completed three reserve auctions.
The fourth is live on eBay 🤣. Let's do some math.
1. $59.7MM or "Best Offer"
2. 9,600 A100s, about $6.2K per GPU
3. About 0.8kW per GPU, or about 7.7MW of IT load
4. At a PUE of about 1.3, that's about 10MW of facility power
Add roughly 20% to raw hardware cost for land, power, and adjacent infra and you're at about $72MM for all-in AI factory build cost.
This comes out to $7.2MM/MW in all-in-costs for 5YR old GPUs.
A100s rent for about $1.86 per GPU-hour on-demand (the median across 37 providers).
At 70% utilization, that's an 8-month payback period, before power and opex.
A 300-rack AI supercomputer powered by 9,600 Nvidia A100 GPUs is listed on eBay for $59.7M.
That’s 1,200 GPU compute servers with 384TB of combined GPU memory and roughly 1.4 petabytes of system RAM.
Each compute server connects eight A100 GPUs through $NVDA's NVSwitch technology.
More than six years after A100 launched, The seller is offering these systems refurbished for new AI training and inference deployments.
🚨 $NBIS first APAC site: Malaysia 🇲🇾
BTW Damac Digital has a 100MW site in Johor, JHB1. It's also a new build, which matches with job.
And we know that Arkady met with Damac Managing Director during Nvidia GTC to talk about collab opportunities.
MarketMaverick retweeted
most of those trillions of tokens on OpenRouter are not fresh work for GPUs, they’re agents repeatedly rereading the same convo
OpenRouter’s daily numbers for the main Deepseek models sit around 10 trillion tokens. On the biggest one (V4.1 Flash), roughly 99% of that is input, and about 95% of the input is a cache hit.
so that leaves something like:
- 114 billion tokens the model actually generates
- 460 billion tokens it has to process from scratch
- 8.9 trillion tokens that are just the model being shown context it already saw earlier
Agents do this constantly. Every turn they resend the entire session so far. The Openrouter counter counts all of it.
-> but the GPU part is surprisingly small
The fresh work (the 460B + 114B) is what actually needs compute. Spread over a full day that works out to a few million tokens per second. A single GB300 rack (so around 72 GPUs, roughly $7 million of hardware) can handle that load. So you could serve nearly all of Openrouter’s Deepseek traffic with one of these racks.
where does the real cost shows up?
Those 8.9 trillion cached tokens don’t rerun the model. They come back from Deepseek’s longer lived cache (something they started talking about in 2024). The model has already squeezed the stored state down to about 7 KB per token, yet the traffic still writes roughly 4 petabytes of new cache data every day. Keep just the last hour and you’re looking at around 165 TB (several times more than the high speed memory sitting inside the entire rack)
In other words, the Openrouter meter is mostly measuring agents rereading their own history. It tells you less about GPU demand than it first appears, and more about the memory and storage sitting next to those GPUs.
If you’re serving agents, the number that is the most important is cache footprint, not tokens per day. GPU compute for the fresh work is real but modest. What scales with agent traffic is the cache tier, the high speed memory plus the storage that feeds it.
What would make this wrong: routing and caching get good enough that almost everything stays inside the GPUs’ own memory and the storage layer becomes a rounding error. But right now, that isn’t the case.
The word is out: over 3 million developers trust Tavily to power agentic web search.
- We hit 1M developers in January.
- Doubled to 2M by June.
- Tripled in just 10 months to 3M (and growing).
Agents are moving fast in the real world, and so are we.
Thank you for making Tavily your go-to for agentic web access. We can’t wait to see what you build next.

















