Not sure why the polls have this race as a single-digit race.

somehow Talarico is outperforming Jackson, still see both as tossups

2026 Predictions

September Predictions ig

does this look good

Senate Predictions (still working on the County Map)

Btw here is the spreadsheet work for the "What If Biden Stayed In The Race" series! There is way more that is not in view but I spent a lot of thought making this. Some county breakdowns are also in this sheet that didn't end up in the final graphics too.

Here is how the Senate, Gubernatorial, and House races would have gone.

🧵What if Biden Stayed in the Race? Full Map 🔴 Donald Trump: 78,685,995 votes (51.48%) (Increase +1,382,427 votes, +1.67%) 🔵 Joe Biden: 70,315,612 votes (46.00%) (Decrease 4,703,618 votes, -2.34%) This took way too long to make

Fair Florida map 19R-9D in 2024, 9th likely goes D in House in 2024

Here is how Klobuchar did in 2024

ok cool I guess

I am working on a Senate County Prediction, this is what I have so far Rough Estimates: NC: D+6 MN: D+12 TX: R+3 NE: R+2 IA: R+5 OH: R+3 MI: D+1 ME: Tossup NH: D+4

Stevens seems to be doing quite well in the rural areas, but only has a 2-3% lead in Oakland

2026 House Prediction (August 2026)