A decade lost in the stock market. Quantitative developer at BNY, ex-CRISIL, ex-Edelweiss
Pune, Maharashtra
Joined March 2014
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Deepak Nitrite showing evidence.
Banger result in all front.
Revenue +61.7% YOY
PAT +234.9% YOY
Portfolio update:
Sold half of Aimtron holding at 3X
Reason: man ki shanti, i think valuations is streched and it is out of comfort for me to hold a large position here.
But who knows how much valuations can be stretched given the company is doing really great. Let the other half ride if there is more in the pocket.
Most of the good companies are now trading at higher valuations.
Reading companies which are out of favour but management is still kicking behind the numbers.
In radar:
1. Deepak Nitrite
2. S&S switchgear
3. Samaan capital
4. Praj industry
Read the comments on this post. What kind of PR campaign is being run against India that is making Americans think of India as an enemy?
Portfolio Update:
♻️ Added Ganesh Ecosphere - Recycling play
FY27 Management Targets:
Consolidated EBITDA guided at 225 Cr – 250 Cr.
FY27 PAT should be at least 3x of FY26
Caught your attention? Let's read the thesis.
India’s PET recycling industry is seeing a shift towards higher-value, food-grade rPET granules, driven by rising demand and stricter recycled-content regulations.
🏭 A major business transformation [capacity and capability]
• VAP revenue share targeted to rise from ~40% to ~65%
• Totak capacity: 218,940 MTPA
• Warangal capacity: 100,140 MTPA [Margin accertive]
• Utilisation guided to increase from 72% in Q1 FY27 to ~85% by year-end
🛡️ Competitive advantage
300+ suppliers collecting ~450 tonnes of PET bottles daily, backed by a 49:51 JV with Race Eco Chain.
USFDA, EFSA and FSSAI approvals strengthen its position in food-contact packaging.
🚀 Regulatory tailwinds
Mandatory recycled content in rigid plastic packaging is moving from 30% in FY26 to 40% in FY27.
Meanwhile, India’s PET bottle production is projected to grow from 1.3M MT in CY24 to 2.3M MT by CY29.
This story is going to be interesting to unfold.
Not an investment advisor, DYOR!!
Shera Energy - Best ever H1, Crossed 1000 Cr Revenue
Margin expansion will be key to watch.
DYOR!!
I am back.
Portfolio update:
1. Bought Shera Energy
-Copper, Aluminium and Brass recycling
- Zambia Copper cathode plant is about to commission ( Major margin expansion trigger)
- Entry into CTC (continuously transposed conductor) for EHV/765kV transformers - import substitute (only handfull of companies make it in india)
- Nickel Iron Alloy - will be very interesting if they able to make aerospace level grade alloy
I can see lot of triggers for re-rating.
Most important: Company is very much focused on cash generation from business.
Where i am bit cautious: Debt to equity ratio is high and company will increase the ratio to expand the copper cathode plant once the first phase is successful.
Keeping an eye if margins are increasing to accommodate interest and depreciation cost.
2. Trimmed/Sold
BHEL - Sold
Skygold - Trimmed 25%
Fedfina - Trimmed 40%
Frontier spring - Exited remaining quantities
Websolar - Exited remaining quantities
Shree pushkar - Sold
V2 Retail - Sold
I had to sell these to buy Shera not because i dont like these business.
Do your own analysis. Not a recommendation!!
Bookmark it and keep feeding these points to your brain if you want to be long term investor.
I think the third point mental model is most important and difficult.
#LongTermInvestorMentalModel
People acquiring Shanti Gold shares and ...
#RatnaveerPrecision
Ratnaveer Precision is well placed for re-rating.
Will add it in portfolio for sure.
#CCL
DYOR
The best compounder is often the one you bought at a cheap valuation, with a solid business and decent growth, and then, by luck, the tailwinds hit.
#ManIndustries
Engineer India got order from the same Dangote group.
#EngineersIndia
#PatelsAirtemp
Portfolio Update:
Added Patels Airtemp
What's interesting:
“Small company, outsized order” market story
1. A 200 Cr market-cap company booked a 226 Cr order (execution in the next 12 months) from Dangote’s Nigeria refinery, on top of a 295 Cr book.
2. Expansion going on: Target capacity for vessels and heat exchangers: 200 MT → 350 MT
Products:
✨Air-cooled heat exchangers / Air-fin coolers
✨Shell & tube heat exchangers
✨Shell & fin-tube heat exchangers
✨Pressure vessels and columns
✨Ambient air heaters (LNG / cryogen heating)
✨Air-cooled condensers
✨AC & refrigeration equipment; some turnkey HVAC
Industry serving: Oil & gas, refineries, pharma, and thermal & nuclear power.
Portfolio Update:
Added Patels Airtemp
What's interesting:
“Small company, outsized order” market story
1. A 200 Cr market-cap company booked a 226 Cr order (execution in the next 12 months) from Dangote’s Nigeria refinery, on top of a 295 Cr book.
2. Expansion going on: Target capacity for vessels and heat exchangers: 200 MT → 350 MT
Products:
✨Air-cooled heat exchangers / Air-fin coolers
✨Shell & tube heat exchangers
✨Shell & fin-tube heat exchangers
✨Pressure vessels and columns
✨Ambient air heaters (LNG / cryogen heating)
✨Air-cooled condensers
✨AC & refrigeration equipment; some turnkey HVAC
Industry serving: Oil & gas, refineries, pharma, and thermal & nuclear power.
Mimicking the herd invites regression to the mean - Charlie Munger
Simply means - if you copy what everyone else is doing, you are guaranteed to get average results.
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AI summary feature for the annual report!!!
Great helping hand to analyze companies that don't post PPT and concall.
Thanks - @screener_in
