SheepEO of Woolos Research. FadeKing of FinTwit. Equities, GDP, Momentum, & Options Swing Trader. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Philadelphia, PA
Joined June 2020
From this day forth, I will be a perma bear.
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🤖 Made with AI
This is a perfect setup for a Black Monday. $SPY
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Looks like red monday 🤣
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Cem talked about this scenario, as a scenario; a decline starting September or January of this year if the Fed remained accommodative, a year and a half ago.. Now we are here. Let’s see 🔥🔥
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De Ja Vu ~ 2.0 ~ October edition.
Still none of you believe they will hike
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Translation: We have to nuke them before they nuke us. 🫠
BREAKING: Netanyahu says Iran has now restarted its nuclear program and intends to destroy Israel within a short time. "Iran has restarted its nuclear program, and it wants to destroy us within a short time," Netanyahu said an hour ago. IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir has warned that resuming the war this close to Tuesday's election will force the vote to be postponed indefinitely. Netanyahu said on Wednesday that toppling the Iranian regime is now his directive to the IDF and Mossad.
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Next week’s data worth watching: • Tuesday - GDP Now • Wednesday - FOMC (likely a hike) • Thursday - BLS Q3 GDP
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Ironically, with max dispersion we could see QQQ rally (dead cat) & the DIA sell off; that keeps the S&P flat-ish yet again. Nothing happens Friday’s & Monday’s. So we have Tuesday - Thursday to trade moves at this rate. Depending on how we open, i’ll be 👀 XLF & HD for a 🩳
Yea… Tell me this looks bullish to you…
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Markets are moving so slow that we need to get rid of daily candles and get Deuces
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Wake up. Every profession deemed white-collar, the middle class dream, is about to be decimated by AI, at a much faster pace than anticipated, with monstrous social consequences.
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Nick Woolos retweeted
Comcast is planning a significant number of job cuts as part of an overall restructuring of its cable-TV, broadband and wireless businesses, according to people familiar with the company’s thinking bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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stock market won’t like 3.2%
Looks like we'll see very strong growth for Q3 GDP, data out on Thursday. Econvitals Composite tracking is for GDP growth of 3.2% in Q3. The composite tracker is a weighted average of several other measures--including Econvitals own estimate (2.4%). Private demand *much* stronger.
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Nick Woolos retweeted
This increase in credit spreads is consistent directionally with what is predicted to happen to credit spreads based on Kim and Wright’s model estimates (half of the 10 year ust increase was term premium) Of course if you zoom out from this picture, the latest increase is but a blip. At the same time, my back of envelope estimation using the KM term premium estimates would say HY OAS can go up by another 100-140 bps soon.
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Nick Woolos retweeted
Replying to @NickWoolos
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Nick Woolos retweeted
Two more weeks of weakness if you subscribe to this window stuff.
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Nick Woolos retweeted
Market Makers every Friday
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Yea… Tell me this looks bullish to you…
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Nick Woolos retweeted
Too balanced to be considered extreme for a true bottom imo. Sentiment is leaning slightly bearish Q’s but bullish Spy. Let’s see how this FinX sentiment plays out tomorrow.
Here it is. Zuck is going to blow this market lower on Wednesday.
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Sold my bonds 🫡
The growth scare should be faded. The big move in rates this week was term premium bleed out. Real risk free neutral is flat.
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