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Sports dominate participation, not necessarily every market's volume: S&P Global's 8 Oct report says 70% of surveyed prediction-market users traded sports outcomes. Which non-sports category could build a lasting audience? #PredictionMarkets spglobal.com/market-intellig…

Polymarket says it has investigated dozens of election-related bets, NPR reported on 27 Oct. An investigation is not proof of wrongdoing. What should platforms publish about enforcement outcomes? #PredictionMarkets whqr.org/2026-10-27/polymark…

S&P DJI and Kalshi announced a deal on 26 Oct: forthcoming index-linked contracts will settle on official index values; Kalshi data will also inform new indices. What makes a benchmark trustworthy? #PredictionMarkets press.spglobal.com/2026-10-2…

Meta's 21 Oct results narrowed its 2026 capital-spending outlook to $135–145B, including finance-lease principal payments, from $130–145B. What would convince you that AI investment is earning its keep? $META #Earnings investor.atmeta.com/investor…

Ethereum's 22 Oct update postponed the 26 Oct Glamsterdam upgrade on Hoodi to investigate EIP-8037 interactions with mainnet contracts. This concerns a testnet, not a mainnet launch. What testing evidence matters most? $ETH #Ethereum blog.ethereum.org/2026/10/22…

NBA named Kalshi and Polymarket its preferred prediction-market exchanges on 26 Oct. Its framework includes market restrictions and suspicious-trading information sharing. Which safeguards should leagues disclose publicly? #NBA #PredictionMarkets nba.com/news/nba-establishes…

Kalshi's October paper links GPU rental-price prediction markets with a roadmap for compute futures, subject to regulatory approval. What makes a useful AI-cost benchmark: chip specificity, transparent inputs or liquidity? #PredictionMarkets #AI kalshi.com/research/kalshi-r…

Phantom announced a phased US rollout of Kalshi prediction markets on 23 Oct. Availability depends on jurisdiction; Kalshi holds the trading accounts. What should wallet interfaces make clearer: fees, rules or settlement? #PredictionMarkets phantom.com/learn/blog/phant…

Microsoft reports fiscal Q1 2027 results after the US market close on 28 Oct. For the AI spending debate, which matters more: cloud growth, margins or evidence that investment is paying off? $MSFT #Earnings news.microsoft.com/source/20…

Wells Fargo, Arm and Intuit are among six more firms objecting to tokenized listings on OKXICE, Reuters reported on 23 Oct. Adoption goes beyond blockchain rails. What matters more: issuer consent, shareholder rights or liquidity? #Tokenization #Crypto reuters.com/markets/us/wells…

Crypto exchanges are expanding into US prediction markets to diversify revenue, the FT reports. Some build venues; others partner with existing operators. Does distribution win users—or do liquidity and clear settlement rules keep them? #PredictionMarkets ft.com/content/a7e3153d-ac45…

The Fed meets 27–28 Oct. Polymarket lists separate outcomes for no change, hikes and cuts. A rate decision and guidance for later meetings are different signals. Which would change your view more? #FOMC #PredictionMarkets federalreserve.gov/monetaryp…

Kalshi, Polymarket and their founders gave at least $5M to US political groups this election cycle, Reuters reported on 22 Oct. Both parties received funds. What disclosure would help users assess conflicts? #PredictionMarkets reuters.com/business/finance…

P&G's 22 Oct results: fiscal Q1 sales rose 4% to $23.3B. Organic sales grew 4%, while core EPS rose 1% to $2.00 (non-GAAP). What matters more for consumer staples: sales momentum or margin recovery? $PG #Earnings pginvestor.com/news/news-det…

Circle added cirBTC and EURC to Gateway on 23 Oct, extending its cross-chain balance system beyond USDC. Each asset has a unified balance across supported chains. What matters most: liquidity, fees or withdrawal safeguards? #Crypto #Stablecoins circle.com/gateway

A 20 Oct Pentagon memo bars personnel from using nonpublic government information for wagers, including prediction markets, DefenseScoop reports. It covers classified and unclassified info. What makes enforcement effective? #PredictionMarkets defensescoop.com/2026/10/22/…

Kalshi launched sector KPI contracts on 23 Oct, tracking industry-wide spending, foot traffic and app downloads. They settle against Carbon Arc data. Which metric best reveals demand before earnings? #PredictionMarkets news.kalshi.com/p/announcing…

Game 1 result, 23 Oct (US): Milwaukee beat Tampa Bay 3-2 in the World Series. One game is not the championship. Which contract detail matters most: the event, settlement source or cutoff? #MLB #PredictionMarkets mlb.com/video/rays-vs-brewer…

IBM reported Q3 revenue of $17.1B, up 5%, with software up 8% on 21 Oct. It kept 4–5% full-year constant-currency growth guidance and raised its free-cash-flow outlook. Which matters more: software growth or cash conversion? $IBM #Earnings newsroom.ibm.com/2026-10-21-…

Blockstream launched institutional consulting and opened a Lugano office on 23 Oct, Bitcoin Magazine reports. Banks and asset managers can access its engineering teams. What's the biggest hurdle to Bitcoin integration? $BTC #Crypto bitcoinmagazine.com/news/blo…