BIJAN BREAKS LOOSE 💨 🏈 NFL Dish #4 (10/25) 🍽️ 𝐁𝐢𝐣𝐚𝐧 𝐑𝐨𝐛𝐢𝐧𝐬𝐨𝐧 𝐎𝐕𝐄𝐑 𝟏𝟔.𝟓 𝐋𝐨𝐧𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐑𝐮𝐬𝐡 Cooked w/ @AltLineDemon 🤝 @SC_FFB LIKE IF TAILING ❤️ - Robinson has been one of the most explosive running backs in football this season, leading the NFL in rushing grade (90.9) while averaging 5.8 yards per carry. He’s cleared this line in 5/6 games this season, including 4 straight, with an average longest rush of 34.3 yards per game. He only needs one run of 17+ yards, something he’s consistently been able to produce regardless of his overall rushing workload. - Robinson’s advanced rushing numbers have been outstanding. He ranks 4th among RBs with 15 runs of 10+ yards, has forced 24 missed tackles and is averaging 4.7 yards after contact per attempt. His 13.5% explosive run rate ranks in the 84th percentile, while his 2.9 yards before contact per carry ranks in the 88th percentile. He’s already recorded seven runs of 20+ yards this season, tied for the most in the NFL. - San Francisco has struggled in several areas that directly benefit Bijan’s running style. The 49ers have allowed the 5th-most yards before contact per carry to opposing RBs (1.5), rank 5th-worst in stuff rate (16.9%) and 25th in run-game missed tackle rate. Those weaknesses give Bijan opportunities to reach the second level, where his speed, vision and ability to break tackles make him especially dangerous. Even 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan acknowledged the threat this week, saying that if Bijan gets a lane, “he’s gone.” - Brian Robinson has officially been ruled out with a hamstring injury, removing Atlanta’s primary backup RB and creating an opportunity for Bijan to handle additional carries. The Falcons have been one of the most committed rushing offenses in football, running on 49.2% of their offensive plays, the 4th-highest rate in the NFL. In games with 55%+ of offensive snaps, Bijan is over this line in 5/5 games this season. With Brian out, he should see north of 75% of the snaps regardless of the score. - Atlanta enters as roughly a 2.5-point underdog, giving them a realistic path to maintaining their rushing attack throughout the game rather than being forced to abandon it. - Bijan has already shown he can break explosive runs against quality defenses, and San Francisco’s issues with missed tackles and allowing runners into the second level fit his strengths perfectly. With how explosive he’s been this season and Brian Robinson out, we like Bijan to break another 17+ yard run against the 49ers. 📊 Data via @PropsMadness Use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase! 📣 Turn notifications on for daily prop bets! #NFL #NFLPicks #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #GamblingX

LOVE LIGHTS IT UP 🔥 🏈 NFL Prop #1 (10/24) 🍽️ 𝐉𝐨𝐫𝐝𝐚𝐧 𝐋𝐨𝐯𝐞 𝐎𝐕𝐄𝐑 𝟐𝟕𝟒.𝟓 𝐏𝐚𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐘𝐚𝐫𝐝𝐬 Cooked w/ @TheGr8Picks 🤝 LIKE IF TAILING ❤️ - Love has been one of the most explosive quarterbacks in football this season, and Green Bay has relied heavily on his arm with the running game struggling. Through 6 games, Love is averaging 280.7 passing yards while clearing this line in 4/6 games. - His pass attempts line is set at 38.5, which is the highest it’s been this season. When attempting 31+ passes, he has hit 275+ yards in 4/4 games, averaging 335.5 passing yards with three performances of 300+ yards. This game is also at Ford Field, and the Lions are 3-point home favorites. In his last 5 away games with 32+ pass attempts, Love has cleared this line 5/5 times while averaging 336.6 passing yards. - Green Bay has passed on 64.4% of its offensive plays this season, ranking 4th in pass rate over expected at +4.6%. The Packers lead the NFL with 14 passing plays of 30+ yards, and Love has developed an excellent connection with Christian Watson and Matthew Golden. Both receivers rank inside the top 21 in air yard share, combining for nearly 75% of Love’s intended air yards. - Detroit has been one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL, allowing a league-high 297.4 passing yards per game and 14 passing TDs through just 5 games. The Lions have struggled across several important passing categories: 📉 32nd in Passing Yards Allowed 📉 32nd in Opponent Pass Attempts 📉 32nd in Opponent Dropbacks 📉 31st in Opponent PROE 📉 29th in Completion Percentage Allowed 📉 28th Against Man Coverage - Love has been particularly effective off play action, averaging 9.6 yards per attempt, ranking 4th in the NFL. Detroit has allowed a 72.4% completion rate and 8.7 yards per attempt against play action, giving Matt LaFleur a great opportunity to attack this secondary. Love is averaging another 9.6 yards per attempt with multiple tight ends on the field, while Detroit has surrendered 8.2 yards per attempt against those formations. Brian Branch is expected to return for Detroit, which should help their secondary, but one player isn’t going to completely fix a defense that has struggled this badly against the pass. - This game has the highest total on Sunday’s slate at 53.5. The Lions are averaging 32.8 points per game, and their opponents have run a league-high 71.8 offensive plays per game, creating an excellent environment for sustained passing volume inside the dome. It’s worth noting that Josh Jacobs is returning for Green Bay, but after missing the first six games, I wouldn’t automatically expect him to handle a full workload. - With Detroit’s explosive offense capable of forcing the Packers to keep throwing and ideal passing conditions inside Ford Field, this should be a positive game script for Love. We like him to go over this line against one of the league’s most vulnerable secondaries in a crucial divisional game and wouldn’t be surprised if he has another 300+ passing-yard performance here. Best Odds: -115 Underdog Playable up to: 282.5 Passing Yards 📊 Data via @PropsMadness Use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase! 📣 Turn notifications on for daily prop bets! #NFL #NFLPicks #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #GamblingX

HE WILL COOK 🧑‍🍳 🏀 PK Dish #2 (10/23) 🍽️ 𝐉𝐚𝐢𝐦𝐞 𝐉𝐚𝐪𝐮𝐞𝐳 𝐉𝐫. 𝐎𝐕𝐄𝐑 𝟐𝟒.𝟓 𝐏𝐑𝐀 Cooked w/ @TheGr8Picks, @DDOGGSTACKS & @ChronicBets 🤝 LIKE IF TAILING ❤️ - Triple J has never lacked the talent, but the opportunity to be a key player. With the Bucks lacking depth, Jaime will find himself as a constant starter with plenty of chances. - Jaime Jaquez Jr. has a new role in Milwaukee with increased minutes, touches and offensive responsibility. The biggest reason to like the over is his ability to contribute across all three categories rather than relying solely on scoring. Jaquez can attack the basket, grab rebounds in traffic and create opportunities for teammates. - Life in Milwaukee started quite well for Jaime. He played 31 minutes and racked up 22 points on 67% shooting, 2 assists on 8 potential assists and 7 rebounds on 10 rebound chances. - Over his last 20 games when Jaquez has been given the minutes, he’s absolutely thrived. He’s over this line in 18 of his last 20 games while averaging 28.6 PRA per game when playing 30+ minutes. - Historically, his numbers against the Bulls are impressive as well. He’s over this line in 5/5 games while averaging 30.2 PRA when playing 30+ minutes. Played: -139 DraftKings | 1.3u 📊 Data via @PropsMadness Use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase! 📣 Turn notifications on for daily prop bets! #NBA #NBAPicks #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #GamblingX