Asymmetric bets, mom & value, preferably uncorrelated to the major markets, mostly small cap or even smaller
Joined May 2022
- Tweets4.6K
- Following666
- Followers505
- Likes3.2K
Pinned Tweet
Current allocation:
30% gold via miners and tiny bit of silver
15% long volatility via market makers $FLOW, $virt and $abca.pa
55% global diversified microcaps
>30% short cash
Rules of thumb so far meaning sometimes I wait to rebalance when I want to be overweight certain assets.
Litigation finance didn't provide any diversification benefit. Still holding $BCHT and $BUR but it doesn't get its own fixed allocation bucket no more.
So much focus, time and resources are directed towards Iran.
Al Qaeda and Isis were ideological descendants of wahhabism and the muslim brotherhood. They committed atrocities in the middle east as well as against the west. It's dangerous to ignore those kind of people. They might be plotting right now...
Some people are too old and demented to remember that all of the 9/11 attackers were from Saudi Arabia.
If someone took a shit in the White House it would be a better president than Trump. If he is not gone by the end of 2026, there will be nothing left to save.
MAGA people, for once in your lives, you better do the right thing.
87
Some incredibly cheap stocks out there with magnificent growth prospects in the software, space, robotics and defense sector.
These are my top 3 picks:
Metacortex: virtual reality powerhouse, once you are in you will never want to leave
Weyland Industries:
family backed innovater of game changing weapons, the conglomerate structure is the reason for the current discount but that won't last forever because space will push sales to another galaxy
Cyberdyne Systems:
next generation AI and robotics development, derisking war for our soldiers by letting machines do the fighting
4
244
Any of you making less than $450k a day? Easy as pie!
Still keeping my day job bc I don't want to get bored. That's the only reason.
Claude Fable 5.... just destroyed trading as a profession
New open-source Claude Fable 5.1 Indicator for TradingView made $450,207 in a single day of live trading
The indicator constantly analyzes charts in real time, draws predictions, and highlights potentially good entries. You then decide whether to open a trade or not
The indicator is open-source, and you can try it in the Scripts section of the reverse-engineered TradingView Premium app for Windows and Mac
How can manual traders compete with that?
Want to explore how this AI trading setup works?
1️⃣ Comment.... CLAUDE FABLE 5....
2️⃣ Like and repost
3️⃣ Follow @Nexa_Tech_Ai
I'll send you the setup via DM.
2
178
Essentially $1 trillion lost bc hype is over and they are still eager to go through with it as nobody knows how far down the market could go.
1
531
Can somebody come up with an app that allows you to ask traders why they selling?
I'd pay for that. Proof of sale and volume could be done via connection to a broker account and should obviously be anonymous. I mean how often are we puzzled on X or stocktwits or wherever not understanding what the market thinks.
I expected more from this quarter but $60 -> 30$ is a mystery to me. $CLMT
3
10
1,288
#gkp crazy thought - haven't done the math yet:
An oil stock as a bet on peace with Iran.
Now you might say oil stocks will fall with the oil price if we get peace.
Well #gkp value depends more on political stability and reliability in Iraq than on the oil price.
A resumption of the war with Iran could lead to attacks on the Kurdish region where gkp is producing. Peace on the other hand could lead to unlocking of value namely payments that Iraq owes gkp. Increased production also depends on a stable environment.
I think this stock could go up when oil goes down due to peace.
ShaMaran Petroleum reported its Q3 2026 results yesterday: $63.4m in net income in a single quarter, despite not even operating for the full quarter, with production shut in for 28 days.
ShaMaran has a market cap of approximately $520m. Net debt stands at $130m, broadly in line with the $124.8m in unpaid PSC entitlements relating to 2025–26 exports.
Even assuming Brent normalizes at lower levels, the company is trading at around 2.5x earnings, before accounting for any potential growth from Sarsang and Hamrin.
From a #GKP shareholder's perspective, these results also highlight how cheaply the company is valued relative to its earnings power. ShaMaran's earnings should help fund the planned production expansion at Shaikan, creating further value for the combined business.
Once again, I feel the market is overlooking what the shift from heavily discounted local sales to international pipeline exports at market prices means for both companies' earnings and cash flow generation.
1
6
870
$ttf might this be the main reason why ttf dropped in Nov?
Qatar's LNG loadings pick up to around half of the pre-war levels 🇶🇦📈
The number of LNG cargoes departing Qatar’s Ras Laffan plant has ranged from 13 to 15 on a 10-day moving avg basis so far in November
Thats a steady rise from September and October
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
1
2
492
Ngl but this alphabet feels like somebody was intentionally trying to f... with your brain...
This is how the inventor Boris explains it:
"Let’s take B and pronounce it v.
We'll take the P and pronounce it like r. Americans will never be able to decipher this. (insert evil Russian laugh) Then we'll do H like n, C like s, x like kh and h upside down is ch. A € backwards is an e and a backwards r is ya. Now tell me comrades did I just invent the most cryptographic language ever?"
$CLMT Keeping it as my largest position. Earnings were a little lower than what OSG predicted but much higher than market estimates. Correlation with $CRAK should be decrasing as MRL scales further up.
Here's what's also going to help us:
PEAD: the post earnings announcement drift discovered in the 60s and still significant nowadays. An earnings surprise tends to lift up the stock price over weeks or even months. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Post%E…
1
6
433
$spcb sells ankle monitors that are not available online. Maybe something to think about.
AI chips loose like 90% of value a year and a plane about 5%.
My guess is that low short term demand is an existential threat to neos while long term contracts make aircraft leasing a more stable business. Any other takes on this? teapawt.org/blondesnmoney/status/2…
1
2
264
No shame in stepping aside and waiting until the air clears unless you you want to end up like this 👇
1
3
147
$clmt Me looking at the numbers and at the stock price being flat.
News are getting weirder and weirder these days...
Creators in their sixties, seventies, and eighties have flooded adult platforms as the demand for mature content has skyrocketed, with some turning to online sex work as a retirement lifeline. buff.ly/xr0Wcrd
1
141
