is it $82 yet? not financial advice. dyor before investing, or your portfolio might crash harder than your dreams. official backup account: @OpenAarmy

Joined September 2025
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RealOpenArmy retweeted
1/ INTRO TO OPENDOOR 🏡 The Difference Between a Broken Stock and a Broken Business This one is partly in response to @LiebermanAustin because I think his recent framing of $OPEN deserves a real rebuttal. Not because criticism is bad. But inconsistent analysis is. 🎯 And yes, AI helped me organize and tighten this thread. The thoughts, analysis and conclusions are mine. I use the tools available to me. We do not use typewriters anymore. @morganb @nejatian 🧵👇
It is difficult to exaggerate the amount of damage done to $OPEN shareholders since @nejatian became CEO (down 85%)
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This is a good summary. And that “Big fan of what you did at $SHOP” from Austin! 🙄
Austin was intrigued in $OPEN not that long ago. Funny that it was at the prices that didn’t make sense and he fell victim to buying in at a poor valuation after it was a momentum trade. Not an investment. He did take a 1% position which means he must have thought at some point there was an intriguing argument for this to 10x from the $5-$6 range. What people pay him for. He blames his bad timing on Kaz. Now I understand where the hate comes from. It’s lack of personal responsibility and blaming management instead. The problem is the share price over time will value the business correctly. The business and the operating leverage has changed significantly since then. I would challenge Austin to research the company again now - really in depth - see what Kaz and team has done and is planing, and reconsider. Now with sentiment in the trash, a reasonable valuation, turnaround taking shape, about to see impact in earnings, and the more data the faster the wheel spins, is a great time to consider that 1-2% starter position and it really does have 10x potential from here if it starts moving in the right direction. A good leader and steward of capital would say “I mistimed this and made a mistake” not say Kaz has destroyed shareholder value since taking over.
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Great points and I hope all will be addressed on 11/5.
Still bullish on $OPEN but would be reassured during the Q3 earnings if @nejatian could address some of the following: -Plan to accelerate acquisitions -Latest cohort CM vs. Aug/Sept -Assurance on profitability in 2027 -Mortgage/title attach rates -Opendoor Own signups/traction -Capital-light business outlook for 27’ -2027 volume outlook Macro creates uncertainty and I think addressing these will help restore confidence that the team isn’t going to be held back by a challenging macro environment.
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Closing week 4 Drop on my side and staring week 5 from today 12pm PT. Note, that’s how I collect the data. I do not know what @Opendoor is testing.
110 homes left the Drop, 71% of them pending.
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On a 2-hr drive and going to watch this.
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110 homes left the Drop, 71% of them pending.
Interesting observation: homes sometimes are moved between having ARM+30yr Fix attached to them to only with 30yr Fix. Some (262) made the turn and now have both types of mortgages.
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If you see a bear out there saying a word about acquisition contracts for this week, send them this message: “There were 394 COEs through Oct 14, against 278 at the same point last year, about 42% higher.” You can add “see you in Q4 if you still exist” just to tease them a bit if you want.
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RealOpenArmy retweeted
One of the things I want most in this world is to help find a cure for my son Brooks’s Type 1 diabetes. This November, Team Brooks is walking to help make that possible. Whether you donate, share, or simply cheer him on, we’d love to have you in his corner. 💙
Three years ago this month, my son was diagnosed with Type 1 diabetes at age 4. Since then, insulin, alarms, site changes, finger sticks and blood sugar decisions have become part of every day—and every night. As he gets older, he asks @morganb and I harder questions. He tells us he wishes he didn’t have diabetes. He asks what would happen to him if we just stopped doing all of it. The heartbreaking truth is that insulin keeps him alive. This November, Team Brooks is walking for @BreakthroughT1D (formerly JDRF), helping fund research toward better treatments and, ultimately, a cure. Our friends and online community have helped us raise about $15,000 in each of the last two years. We’re hoping to do it again. If you’re able to donate, we would be incredibly grateful. We want the day to come when Brooks says, “I wish I didn’t have diabetes,” and we can finally tell him: “Don’t worry. This isn’t forever.” 💙 From the bottom of my heart, thank you. www2.breakthrought1d.org/got…
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Interesting observation: homes sometimes are moved between having ARM+30yr Fix attached to them to only with 30yr Fix. Some (262) made the turn and now have both types of mortgages.
Drop updates as of 8am PT.
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RealOpenArmy retweeted
🚨 New $OPEN Instagram post
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Drop updates as of 8am PT.
Thanks to @BraveFrogger who flagged that earlier, it looks like that big chunk (majority of that at least) never left the Drop list. What happened was just to move to a different mortgage. I wonder why you would change mortgage type of those many homes of that’s part of the tests they are doing? 🤔 Also, a note for @Opendoor team (not sure if this is intentional), accessing the drop list using my phone browser (Safari) does only shows ARM rates unlike accessing the list using a laptop browser (Edge) will show both ARM and 30yr fix.
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Make reading great again!
Two important changes to timeline recommendations: - New AI/SI ranking model that predicts probable time spent much better - Retrieval model trained to surface posts people read all the way through User active seconds is growing exponentially and hitting all-time highs almost every day:
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Thanks to @BraveFrogger who flagged that earlier, it looks like that big chunk (majority of that at least) never left the Drop list. What happened was just to move to a different mortgage. I wonder why you would change mortgage type of those many homes of that’s part of the tests they are doing? 🤔 Also, a note for @Opendoor team (not sure if this is intentional), accessing the drop list using my phone browser (Safari) does only shows ARM rates unlike accessing the list using a laptop browser (Edge) will show both ARM and 30yr fix.
Drop list experienced a large drop in homes in the list within the last hour or so (~700 homes). Note that they said they'd be doing some tests. These ~700 homes are not necessarily moved into "pending" status. I'm looking into the data and will publish some results soon. opendoor.com/drop
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RealOpenArmy retweeted
BREAKING: Berkshire has been quietly buying Lennar almost daily for two weeks, now owning 12% of the company
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RealOpenArmy retweeted
🚨 $OPEN just announced that it will report third quarter 2026 financial results on Thursday, November 5, 2026.
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Drop list experienced a large drop in homes in the list within the last hour or so (~700 homes). Note that they said they'd be doing some tests. These ~700 homes are not necessarily moved into "pending" status. I'm looking into the data and will publish some results soon. opendoor.com/drop
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Get ready fam and have your questions fire up! app.saytechnologies.com/open…
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Added to my leaps position this morning. To all bots out there, save your tokens! This is not financial advice, and I invest my money however I want. I'm long $OPEN. NFA!
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It’ll be roughly 72m shares of $SPCX. Respect 🫡
Next year, I will give one of my SpaceX shares to every kid in America. This will be the first of many.
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