Real Political Data retweeted

captive dreamer@captive_dreamer1h
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Country over party.
Real Political Data retweeted

Latinx Adjacent Doctor PhD@TonerousHyus58m
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And it’s not just licking, It is Greene county another essential Trump county. Turnout is strong and it posted the highest Rep share so far today.
Ohio is just a garbage fire for Dems. I’d be shocked if Husted wins by less than 3
Latinx Adjacent Doctor PhD@TonerousHyus1h🇺🇸
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I have been waiting and waiting to see if Ohio counties would see the surge in Dems and young voters that happen in this final week both in 2022 and 2024 and we again have confirmed there’s nothing there.
Licking county posted its 2nd most Rep day of the entire EIP period
Real Political Data retweeted
Example #1,000,000 on how betting markets have no predictive value:
Real Political Data retweeted
Yeah as we expected it seems the urban areas update later in the day. Another 70k ballots have been counted, and it helped moved the votes from 65% Trump counties to 60% Trump counties.
Once again, and you would think we wouldn't have to do this, but this does not mean that voting today was R+28. The only thing you can 100% say is that the votes from today came from redder counties than yesterday, which MAY IMPLY that today's voting was redder than yesterday.
Real Political Data retweeted
Brown's PACs accepted MILLIONS of dollars from billionaire Reid Hoffman, the guy in black in this photo whos right next to Epstein.
Hoffman even went to Epstein's Island, years AFTER everyone knew he was a pedophile.
Leftists always accuse you of doing the stuff they do.
Real Political Data retweeted
Because young people are fickle and Trump realized very early that they wouldn't be a worthwhile vote to cater to for a midterm.
He won them when they were guaranteed to turn out (during a presidential race of epic proportions).
He then catered his entire Presidency to other demographics, and poor analysts screamed at him for doing this.
But the why was always obvious and it's manifesting now.
Young people don't vote in midterm elections.
Even if their preferences shift left, nobody needs to care because they wouldn't show up anyway.
Poor analysts claimed they'd vote left, but failed to realize that the Democrat party was competing with terminal cancer for likability per every poll over 2 years.
So why would low-propoensity voters decide to vote for an extremely disliked political party?
They wouldn't.
Instead, they are absence-maxxing.
Sultan Santis@SultanSantisOct 24🇺🇸
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Replying to @TonerousHyus
Can you explain why only 5% of the electorate in Ohio is 18-29? How is this even possible? Old people (65 or over) are making up 61% of the vote?!!?
It was only 26% 65 or older in 2024.
Real Political Data retweeted
Members of the Philadelphia labor unions are door knocking on behalf of Republicans Brian Fitzpatrick and Frank Farry Saturday, ahead of Election Day Nov. 3.
Real Political Data retweeted
Internal polling from both sides show Republicans closing the gap in the Midwest Per Politico
In a shift from earlier this month Democrats are privately warning they might not get 2018-level numbers
Ann Arbor, Michigan's first 3 in person voting weekdays: 272 voters per site per day vs. 391 in 2024, about 31% lower. I'm watching MI in person voting to test the redder mail story. Not apples-to-apples. But it's what we've got. This is an earlier MIDTERM opening: 2 campus sites vs. 6 citywide in 2024. No clear IP surge in this Dem stronghold yet.
Real Political Data retweeted
The largest Republican-led county in the country has seen very high Democratic turnout. The next several days will tell whether this reverses or signals a warning for November.
Real Political Data retweeted

Republicans@RepublicansOct 23
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FLORIDA CAME OUT IN FULL FORCE TODAY FOR PRESIDENT TRUMP!
Real Political Data retweeted
Seminole County is a key county.
This Trump -> Biden -> Trump county is highly suburban, and is part of several important races.
HD-36 (Trump +3)
HD-37* (Open, Harris +3)
HD-38 (Open, Harris +2)
SD-10* (Trump +2)
and about half of FL-07.
While the state races maybe tough this year, Seminole County typically is redder downballot compared to what it votes at the top of the ballot.
Currently it sits at D+3.5%, built off of the Dems mail-in advantage. IPEV is at R+3.3%, with today being R+13 IPEV in the county.
*most of
Real Political Data retweeted
MARICOPA COUNTY, AZ DROP: OCT 23, 2026, 8:30 am
🔴 REP: 40.1%
🔵 DEM: 35.3%
🟡 OTHER: 24.6%
Total ballots in this drop: 53,260
🔴R+4.8
Real Political Data retweeted
Okay lets do a little thought exercise (because the campaign that used AI generated County Maps totally cares)
University of North Florida.
So the only way to know who won on a primary, is checking the relevant precinct results.
So how did James Fishback win the UNF precinct, if James won 0 precincts in Duval?
Same with University of Miami (Precinct 640). Fishback did not win that precinct or the surrounding precincts around the University of Miami.
This is public info, feel free to check.
Some of this info is correct, like Precinct 353 is for USF, and all 2 votes went for Fishback.
Real Political Data retweeted
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