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Getting a few Qs on the ethereum:0x57e114b691db790c35207b2e685d4a43181e6061 thesis - rehashing the below but adding:
-I’m bullish stablecoins of all kinds - GENIUS-compliant or not. It’s a superior product than paper fiat and bank deposits in many use cases. It only accounts for $5-16T of adjusted transactions today. Credit cards are $35-40T, ACH is $100T. A lot more room to grow.
- $USDe is a superior product than many peers. It’s not GENIUS-compliant and that’s ok. It was never a competitor to $USDC. But for a meaningful amount of low-velocity users on @trondao it is superior to ethereum:0xdac17f958d2ee523a2206206994597c13d831ec7 and it just got added to the network. Multi-billion opportunity.
-@gdog97_ was always a Mt Rushmore figure in the current iteration of crypto next to @chameleon_jeff @PaulFrambot etc. but he didn’t really embrace the right tokenomics until the 90% sell-off post-10/10. The recent restructurings indicate he gets it. So now the product AND the token are both excellent.
-people underestimate exponential call options like Ethena pay, Robinhood chain, Tron, etc. you just need one to hit. P(hit) = 1 - (1-C1) * (1-C2)… * (1-Cn). Again we just need one.
Overall the story of $ENA is one of humans under appreciating the integral of exponential functions and the structural discount in “phoenix” comeback stories. This is it.
Let's spell out the ethereum:0x57e114b691db790c35207b2e685d4a43181e6061 and $USDE thesis very simply
Following the fee switch vote, the only thing that matters for ethereum:0x57e114b691db790c35207b2e685d4a43181e6061 economics is USDE circulation, which is a function of distribution and adoption
Market cap has gone up $500M in a month and has been adding $20-$40M daily through the weekends
Underlying yield is boosted by greater funding rate arb in crypto and soon to take a stepwise jump when the rumored @tradexyz equity perp funding rate arb partnership kicks in
@RobinhoodCrypto Chain added $320M in 2 months. Just getting started.
Haven't seen any uplift yet from @EthenaPay but of course that's forthcoming too
Every trend says $7.5B is much, much closer than market gives credit for, and of course current valuations give zero value for any of the $10B+ ratchet-ups
And you get all this at a 40%+ effective discount by owning the DAT $USDC which most people don't even know is in existence
Yeah, we're running $PURR back all over again
CC: @tedchenCPC @gdog97_
Not done deal and a lot can still go wrong
But you don’t fade the first US-Russia-China trilateral in history
This will be my macro frame for the next 5 years
BREAKING: A breakthrough has been reached between the United States and Iran, both sides have agreed to preliminary measures concerning Iran’s nuclear program, navigation through the Strait of Hormuz and financial incentives for Tehran.
China and Russia are set to be guarantors of the agreement, the Iranian delegation has flown to Doha alongside the Qatari mediators to continue negotiations later today, according to Qatari Al Araby Al Jadeed.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
The report of a confirmed US-Iran breakthrough and agreed measures relies on unverified claims from anonymous sources in one Qatari outlet; Axios and other diplomatic reporting describe ongoing mediation with positive progress but no confirmed agreement or direct talks.
alaraby.co.uk/politics/%D8%A…
axios.com/2026/10/31/qat…
israel.com/news/qatari-pa…
This is funny because DRW is literally 25% of @HyperliquidX volumes and you never hear about that
Clearly they know how to obfuscate activity via multi wallets, order segregation, sprinkle in two-sided market maker flows etc.
hyperliquid:native
Further to my post about @NYSE working to bring @HyperliquidX onshore, major credit to @ChairmanSelig and the Trump administration for making all of this experimentation possible.
There’s only one way of finding out if something is useful to the marketplace and I’m excited for us to find out. I do have some questions:
1. What is the benefit of trading perps on-chain on a regulated exchange? Isn’t the main benefit of trading on-chain to operate in a trustless (aka non-kyc’d) environment in order to minimize friction, and/or to be able to enter into atomic transactions in order to receive what you are buying in realtime? Since a perp is not an asset, that obviously isn’t helpful.
2. @standuquesne - are you aware that if you trade on Hyperliquid, the world will be able to track your positions and trades in real time? Do you see that as a benefit?
3. Hyperliquid has priority fees - a mechanism that enables market participants to pay to see information first, or even prioritize orders in front of the queue. Is this consistent with CFTC core principles?
4. Will it be possible to combine the liquidity of the offshore order-book with the onshore order-book?
5. If not, wouldn’t it be better to list perps in a traditional (centralized) order-book on a regulated exchange and not have the inefficiencies that on-chain matching introduces?
Iono man
It sure feels like we get an Iran deal, rate cut, and massive AI rip back
Otherwise it’s just too easy
The market is not there to be fair, it’s there to fuck you up the butt
The unwind in Hedge Fund equity exposures this year has been the biggest since at least 2017.
Active de-grossing (reduction in long + short positions) by global hedge funds has now hit over 8% of total gross exposure since June, according to the Morgan Stanley Prime Brokerage Content team.
This has taken gross leverage for US long/short funds down to the 10th percentile versus the last year.
Incredibly retarded take that shows an elementary lack of knowledge on custody vs. exchange models
We might not bottom until retards like this are shamed into absolute oblivion for having the IQ of a potato with lupus
I suspect IBIT is already on North Korea’s shortlist.
In February 2025, the attackers behind the Bybit hack compromised a Safe{Wallet} developer’s Mac through a malicious project disguised as legitimate Docker-related tooling. They had access for 17 days before the theft, giving them enough time to manipulate the transaction interface used by Bybit’s signers. The signers believed they were approving a legitimate transaction. Instead, they unknowingly authorized the theft of $1.5 billion from a cold wallet.
The keys could stay offline while the signers approved a theft through a compromised interface.
TRM Labs attributes the recent Binance incident with high confidence to TraderTraitor, the North Korean group also linked to Bybit and the theft of 4,502.9 BTC from DMM Bitcoin. Binance’s preliminary investigation points to a compromised DevOps engineer’s laptop as the entry point. Binance says there’s no evidence that private keys were leaked, while TRM’s analysis suggests the attackers may have gained control of the signing infrastructure. If confirmed, the attackers could have moved funds through a compromised approval process without extracting the keys.
Now imagine the same thing happening to IBIT.
BlackRock’s IBIT is the world’s largest Bitcoin ETF, holding roughly 815,000 BTC worth around $63 billion. Coinbase remains its active Bitcoin custodian. Although Anchorage Digital has been appointed as an additional custodian, the fund’s latest quarterly filing says there are currently no plans to transfer any Bitcoin there.
That’s an extraordinary concentration of Bitcoin under one custodian. Regardless of how large or well-funded that provider is, a critical failure in its security infrastructure could put the entire fund at risk.
A $6 billion theft would wipe out roughly 9.5% of IBIT’s assets, equivalent to around $4 per share at current valuations.
Binance managed to freeze some stolen stablecoins. Bitcoin has no such mechanism, making stolen BTC far harder to recover.
BlackRock doesn’t separately insure the Bitcoin held by the fund. Coinbase has disclosed $320 million in commercial crime insurance coverage, shared across its customers. Its custody agreement also limits liability to $100 million per cold storage address, with any recovery subject to contractual terms, liability determinations, and other conditions.
If a major theft occurred and the fund couldn’t recover the Bitcoin or obtain sufficient compensation, the remaining losses would ultimately be borne by IBIT shareholders.
Bitcoin ETFs have made owning Bitcoin much more accessible, and there’s real value in that convenience. But as more capital flows into these products, enormous amounts of Bitcoin are also being concentrated among a handful of custodians and the infrastructure they depend on.
The larger these pools become, the more attractive they are to attackers. A compromise at any critical point could have consequences far beyond a single institution.
And that’s why security has no finish line.
Even the most sophisticated cold storage setup still depends on hardware, software, supply chains, signing workflows, and the people operating them. Keeping private keys offline is essential, but it doesn’t eliminate the risks surrounding the transaction approval process.
Spread your assets across independent custody setups. Keep your private keys offline. Verify transaction details on a trusted device screen, independently of the computer initiating the transaction. Continuously review your security architecture, and build it around the assumption that some part of your infrastructure will eventually be compromised.
There are no silver bullets in security, and no permanent guarantees. Stay vigilant, keep verifying, and never mistake a clean track record for proof that you’re safe.
Bunker mode.
Somehow we all missed this: SEC Director basically said equity perps will start trading by year-end and explicitly named both Bitnomial and ICE Futures as DCMs.
Hyperliquid
hyperliquid:native
"In September, the Commission received Form 1-Ns from five CFTC-registered DCMs – Coinbase, Kalshi, Bitnomial, NADEX, and ICE Futures – to notice register security futures exchanges. I expect at least four to begin to trade perpetual futures on securities sometime this quarter."
sec.gov/newsroom/speeches-st…
Extremely sophisticated. This doesn’t feel like North Korean signature. Disgruntled/deep agent ex-Binance employee?
So they confirmed they are buying back ethereum:0x57e114b691db790c35207b2e685d4a43181e6061 open market and paying back the bitcoin:native and ethereum:native from corporate treasury
teapawt.org/heyibinance/status/211…
Damn it was the NKs again. teapawt.org/chainalysis/status/211…
1. I hope everyone makes it out of this OK. Binance has deep pockets and I think users should be fine. Know it's still stressful, all will be healed.
2. This is now very clearly due to Binance's inadequate and outdated infrastructure. Allowing EIP-7702 to still interoperate with an exchange hot wallet in 2026 is crazy.
3. hyperliquid:native wins from this. Big time. Funds will flow out. They aren't going to Bitget or Bybit. They will end up in self-custody wallets and trade off @HyperliquidX infrastructure.
4. I scooped a number of the sold off tokens like ethereum:0x57e114b691db790c35207b2e685d4a43181e6061 (I can't look myself in the mirror if I ever touched ethereum:0x6982508145454ce325ddbe47a25d4ec3d2311933 but even garbage like that might bubble back). Binance will have to make users whole. They can pay cash, or they can buy the tokens back on the open market. Users who receive cash may or may not re-purchase their positions at a discount. Either way, the selling is 95% done and there can only be buying pressure.
5. bitcoin:native will be fine. Everyone's got eyes on these wallets now. This will take years to successfully work off via shady OTC desks and no-name exchanges. I doubt there will be any major selling pressure here.
TL;DR: no blockchain broke, Binance broke because it was outdated and insecure. They are well-resourced and will live. Funds will flee and go to Hyperliquid. Buy the coins the hacker already dumped.
Binance hack recap for those just waking up 👇
Starting at 4:05 PM EST on Oct 29, an attacker with access to Binance's wallet-signing systems drained more than $6B from Binance hot wallets across Ethereum, Bitcoin, Tron, XRP, Polygon and Avalanche.
The main tool was an EIP-7702 authorization signed by Binance Hot Wallet 14, which installed the attacker's code on that wallet and let them sweep dozens of tokens per transaction, plus pull 823M USDC from Hot Wallet 34 using Hot Wallet 14's operator rights, while other Binance wallets signed ordinary transfers straight to the attacker.
Binance removed the delegation at 8:10 PM EST, almost four hours after the first sweep. About $2.6B has been frozen: Tether ($1.76B USDT, including inside Binance 14 itself), Circle ($823M USDC), Ripple ($40.5M RLUSD) and Paxos (1,907 PAXG), and token teams clawed back SNX, SAND and BEAM.
The rest is moving: the attacker has sold all of its UNI, PEPE, LINK and AAVE and ENA for ETH, swapped 234M USDT into TRX on Tron, and put 60M USDT into Aave to borrow $44M of ETH before Tether's freeze. It still holds about 475K ETH, all 18,270 BTC (split into 1,000 BTC wallets) and 233M XRP.
I loaded up on ethereum:0x57e114b691db790c35207b2e685d4a43181e6061 at $0.17
CZ has to buy all of this shit back on the open market
The Binance hacker has sold 95% of their ethereum:0x57e114b691db790c35207b2e685d4a43181e6061.
205.5M ENA sold in 17 sales between 6:51 and 8:35 PM EST for 14,424 ETH ($32.1M), an average price of $0.1562.
The latest sale was 43.93M ENA at 8:35 PM. 12.0M ENA ($2.0M) is still held.
etherscan.io/address/0x7f9dc…
Damn so many prescient calls on this
Replying to @BitPaine @LynAldenContact
It’ll be Binance. They use one single Sig cold wallet for their bitcoin ffs. According to Grok or Google’s LLM
Where were the signs
I’ve hacked every major crypto exchange. Reported critical vulnerabilities that would make the news if we disclosed.
If you are scared of holding your crypto in cold storage because of the Coldcard hack and is thinking you are better off holding in an exchange, I can tell you one thing with certainty.
Do not trust Binance. You WILL lose your funds.



















