no ego. no bias. just the tape. 20+ years watching this stuff.

Joined August 2026
what this account actually does. 📊 tracking S&P, Nasdaq, and Dow. short-term levels, simple setups, day and swing trades. no predictions, no "buy this now" calls, just the spots where things look stretched and might turn. less noise, more levels. less opinion, more setups. we want to play both sides here, bulls and bears. 🐂🐻 the tape doesn't care which one you are, so neither do we. we'll sometimes look over the edge too, other stretched charts worth a glance even outside the usual names. always monitoring the bigger picture in the background too, yields, oil, crypto, VIX, whatever event is moving the tape. 👀 20+ years watching this stuff, but that means nothing if you're not reading the tape fresh every single day. charts drop 2-3x/day with clear levels you can hold us to later. some original TradingView setups, some quick reads when something breaks. sometimes trading psychology too, 20+ years of collected scars and anecdotal evidence, take it or leave it. charts and opinions welcome in the replies, just no bullies. 🚫 no bias, no ego. just the tape. $SPX $SPY $QQQ $DJI $BTC $VIX #fintwit #trading
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$QQQ follow-up. good start to the week for the bulls, with a relief jump especially in the AI/semi cluster - after Anthropic’s IPO filing sparked a rally in chips bullish divergences on the 1h are resolving quite nicely, with EMA10 crossing SMA20 from below. 700 support level now confirmed. small bull flag building this afternoon. elections in Israel tomorrow, and more earnings plus the Fed coming up. can bulls push into the gap and attack the 720 area, or is this just another bounce?
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$CRWV. lots of talk about $CRWV lately. over 70% off the all-time high, and down 37% in October alone. its bonds aren’t helping: the 9.75% 2031 notes, issued at par, now yield around 15%, more than 1,000 bps over Treasuries. RSI nearly as oversold as in Dec 2025. daily looking for support in the $50 range, with no reversion signals yet. on the smaller timeframes like the 1h, first divergences are showing up, but there is no real capitulation candle to observe. when can $CRWV catch a bid?
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$QQQ. looking ahead to the week after two brutal weeks for tech. the Qs are roughly 8% off the ATH. oil and AI debt still the main topics, with Brent settling close to $120 on Friday. even a sharp drop in yields didn’t help. is there fear of a recession? however, building some bullish divergences in the RSI on the 1h chart. the area around 700 is a nice support. lots of earnings this week, with Microsoft and Alphabet on Wednesday and Amazon on Thursday, plus the Fed decision. can bulls push the index back to the 720/725 area for some relief?
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French Yield with new decade highs surpassing 5.0% This reflects an approximately 160bps premium to German Bund Futures. France is sliding into a sovereign wealth crisis.
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markets update. Brent dipped after Trump floated progress on Ukraine and eased Russia sanctions, but is already recovering part of those losses intraday. Friday's settle at $109.86 was the highest since May. France 10-year back up to ~4.9%, close to its highest level since 2002, with riots in Paris adding to budget worries. US 10-year found support just above 5% last week. $QQQ bouncing about 1% after the Nasdaq's worst week since spring. $SPX still within 2% of the ATH. bulls need oil and yields to stay contained, bears need France and Brent to push again. can the bounce hold into a heavy earnings week?
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lots of divergences building on the lower timeframes of the $QQQ Move down still relatively isolated in the AI/Semi complex.
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$CRWV technically excellent. grabbed liquidity right below the July lows anf bounced hard - over 10% already from the lows. now we watch the structure evolve.
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$CRWV and fellows imploding due to unsecured bonds sitting at over 15% $QQQ dropping over 1,5% $VIX carrying a 16 handle. interesting. and not considering the macro set-up at all in this observation. be safe.
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CPI day. September CPI is due today, with headline expected around 3.7% YoY (prior 3.4%) and core at 2.5%. $SPY volume hit its lowest level in over 20 years on Friday, and Monday was even quieter: the slowest trading day of 2026. earnings season is now underway, with the banks reporting first. futures are up overnight, with $SPX again right at the ATH. thin liquidity into a big data point can mean sharp moves in either direction. soft core print: the quiet grind higher could continue. hot core print: bears get their reason, and volume probably comes back. will CPI and earnings finally wake the market up?
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$QQQ. weakness in the AI/semi universe, with KOSPI down for the 5th straight session (-5.5% today, Samsung and SK hynix leading) and $NVDA slowly deteriorating on the daily. rest of Mag7 holding up though, with $MSFT making a new ATH and $META up 3%. $QQQ meanwhile lost the 750 area. pricing of bonds in the AI sector is worrisome too: $CRWV unsecured notes reportedly yielding 15%+, a 1,000 bps spread. rotation, or slowly a move towards risk off?
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$SPX intraday. $SPX showing relative strength vs. $QQQ and the Dow. hovering just below the current ATH in the 7,845 area. after the OpenAI revenue dip, $SPX recovered and almost closed the gap on Friday at 7,815ish. as long as bulls can keep the index above the 7,740/50 area, more upside can be expected. however, multiple divergences looming on the higher timeframes. futures slightly green, but still below ATH. can bulls keep up the momentum?
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tons of bad news over the weekend. Houthis attacked Saudi airports again, with Riyadh's King Khalid airport hit multiple times, 12 killed on Saturday alone. oil tankers burning in the Strait of Hormuz after another mine strike. Trump announced an "energy ceasefire" between Russia and Ukraine, immediately disrupted by Russian strikes on Ukrainian power plants. all of this accompanied by renewed doubts on AI revenue and potential overspending on CapEx. and yields still sitting near multi-decade highs while US futures are about to open. will the resilience of especially the Qs and $SPX remain? focus on the tape in less then 2h
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$QQQ. looking back at what happened this week. the Qs made a new ATH on Tuesday the 6th at c. 763 but reversed with a doji. despite not happening at the Bollinger Bands, it was confirmed with a down gap the next day, forming a reversion pattern. followed by more downside on Thursday with news of a $20B shortfall in OpenAI’s revenue, and a boring inside day on Friday. bulls saved a weekly close above the last ATH and important support zone of 750. way more dangerous looks the weekly though, with a shooting star closing in the BBs after trading outside during the week. will the next week bring more downside, or can the bulls defend the 750 support level?
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Attention. Equities and Yields descending in parallel. Taco 🌮 regarding 🇮🇷 didn’t work, though Trump floating the idea of not attacking prior midterms. Change in market structure? $QQQ underperforming.
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Proper risk-off move today? $QQQ bitcoin:native $vix
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$SPX. resolved the bull flag last week and made a new ATH yesterday, finally taking out 7,800. left a doji on the daily right outside the Bollinger Bands. we have a potential reversion! $SPX needs to hold and stay above the old ATH at 7,818ish, and especially the 7,800 level. bears looking for confirmation of the topping pattern with a big red candle today. bonds further deteriorating, playing into the hands of the bears.
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back to yields. the breakout is accelerating. new highs again this week. bonds sitting at the same level as right before the GFC. some historical context across the curve: • 2-year: highest since 2007 • 5-year: highest since 2007 • 10-year: highest since 2002 • 30-year: highest since 2002 equity futures coming off the new ATHs from yesterday. the tape indicates a red day for US equities after doji candles on the daily on both $QQQ and $SPX. can bears deliver a comeback today?
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$NVDA . picking up on Nvidia. bulls delivered a new ATH on Friday. faded most of the gains and closed below the old ATH of $236. risk of forming a double top is increasing. additionally, a shooting star candle closing back inside the Bollinger Bands. a potential REVERSION! bears need a solid red candle on Monday as confirmation. below $215, things can get ugly quickly. can bulls push and initiate a breakout instead?
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