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Bitcoin & alt setups without the hype. Key levels, catalysts, and what would prove me wrong.

Dubai
Joined October 2026
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Yesterday I met a beautiful Chinese girl. It was right outside my office! She herself came up to me and offered to go for spontaneous drinks. She was so interested in what I do and how LLMs work. She asked a lot of technical questions. She's so smart. I think I've fallen in love.
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🟠Exactly 5 years ago, the leading cryptocurrency hit the $69,000 mark for the first time That was the all-time high of the previous bull cycle. The five-year return for holders was a net gain of just 5% 🇺🇸U.S. inflation rose by 21.5%, and the dollar’s purchasing power fell by 17.5% 😁 $69,000 in November 2021 is equivalent to $56,925 today in terms of purchasing power, representing a net loss of 12.5%
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✔️CME FedWatch: Following the inflation report, the probability of a 0.5% rate hike by the Federal Reserve in December has begun to rise. ✔️WSJ: The Federal Reserve will weigh a 0.5% hike against a 0.25% hike in December. ✔️Goldman: The Federal Reserve may continue raising interest rates into 2027. ❗️A hawkish policy stance is already priced in.
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🇺🇸 US inflation slows less than expected 🚨 Consumer prices (CPI) rose by 0.4% in October. The market had anticipated an increase of 0.3%, following a 0.6% rise in September. ⏺ Core inflation excluding food and energy came in at +0.3%, against a forecast of +0.2%. This pace has persisted for the third consecutive month. 🏠 Housing costs accounted for more than 30% of the October increase in the CPI. Meanwhile, the rise in energy prices slowed sharply from +5.2% in September to +0.7% in October. ❗️ Why are there no year-over-year figures? Due to a government shutdown in October 2025, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics was unable to collect price data. Consequently, this report lacks the necessary basis to calculate either headline or core annual inflation. 🔽 Assessment: Negative
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This week boils down to two questions: 1. How fast are US prices still rising? 2. Does AI demand actually justify the billions going into data centers? All times ET (UTC-5) Tue: CPI 8:30am, then $CRWV after the close Wed: quiet Thu: $NBIS before the open, $AMAT after the close Fri: PPI 8:30am
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October CPI prints today at 8:30 AM ET (13:30 UTC). Dow Jones / Reuters: Headline 0.3% MoM (Sep: 0.6%) Core 0.2% MoM (Sep: 0.3%) The twist: BLS will not publish official YoY. Last year's shutdown left October 2025 with no data, so there's no comparison base. Last official YoY (September): 3.7% headline, 2.6% core.
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🐋 Large wallets are opening long positions in $BTC right before the CPI release (4:30 p.m. UTC+3) We'll soon find out if they're right
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🇺🇸A class-action lawsuit has been filed against Nvidia and its CEO, Jensen Huang, by shareholders over his relationship with a woman suspected of spying for China. The plaintiffs accuse the company and Huang of concealing potential national security risks from investors and are seeking damages, the amount of which has not yet been determined.
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🚨 Binance just cut off MEXC After FinCEN flagged MEXC as a "primary money laundering concern" (alleged ~$16B tied to Iran, North Korea, Russia), Binance now: * declines all withdrawals to MEXC * freezes incoming MEXC deposits for compliance review * may restrict or offboard accounts involved what i expect next👇👇👇
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1. Other big CEXs follow 2. More withdrawals out of MEXC 3. Alts that trade mostly on MEXC lose liquidity fast 4. Arb between MEXC and other venues breaks, so prices can drift apart 5. Users routing funds via MEXC risk frozen account elsewhere Are you guys pulling funds from MEXC?
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Hmmm, what if...
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🐸 Over the past 12 months, foreign investors have poured nearly $1.5 trillion into U.S. stocks the largest amount in history
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😁 Pictured: the CEOs of Coinbase, NVIDIA, Ethereum, Meta, Oracle, and NEAR
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👀Rough week for Bitcoin ETFs Investors pulled a net $1.28B from US spot funds. BlackRock's IBIT made up $1.21B of that Wednesday's $74.6M inflow barely helped. Another $842M went out over the next two days
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🇵🇸 Three activists reportedly raised a Palestinian flag outside the Bundestag in Berlin, taking down the German flag in the process. Genuine question: am I the only one who thinks accepting everyone without proper vetting is a terrible idea?
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👀 BTC is still waiting for a real breakout. Weekend range so far: roughly $75.5–76.2K. Above: watching $76.4K, then the 100D MA near $77.2K. Below: the sweep low near $74.7K. A bounce inside the range isn't a breakout. Lose $74.7K on a daily close and the recovery setup weakens.
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🍩 Donuts outperformed AI chips. Nvidia ($NVDA): nearly -10% Krispy Kreme ($DNUT): +22% The donut maker raised its full-year revenue outlook and improved profitability while tech got hammered. Turns out the market still likes things humans actually eat.
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DON’T SAY I DIDN’T TELL YOU 👀💸 BTC, ETH, SOL + altcoin setups are in my Telegram. Key levels, chart breakdowns and updates, all in one place. The next breakdown drops there first. Join the channel 👇 t.me/RookOnCrypto
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👀 Everyone's watching Bitcoin dump. Watch this instead. The Labor Department's final rule covering alternative assets, including crypto, in 401(k) plans is now under White House review. Not approved yet. No guaranteed inflows. But retirement access matters beyond the next candle.
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I marked $BTC resistance at 79.7–81.5K yesterday Today sellers answered. Hard. Smoked straight through it to ~76K Crypto map from that call still stands. Full levels 🧵
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Meanwhile equities: $AMD $NVDA $MU $MRVL ripping through July 2026 lows Panic. Tears. Liquidations. Scariest tape = usually the most interesting one.
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3 rules for this flush: 1. No liquidation price. Market will do what it does. 2. Don't trade the news AFTER the move. I said a narrative would show up to "explain" the dump — here it is: Democrats talking about blocking AI development. 3. One bad trade can't wipe the book. Survive the flush. Get paid on the bounce.
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