News surveys @nytimes. Formerly @pewresearch. Mostly tweet about polls, politics and data. Married to @benbwieder.

Washington DC
Joined June 2008
Our Time/Siena poll shows Talarico with a 6-pt lead in Texas. Notably, in 2018, our poll showed Beto down by a similar margin in the state. nytimes.com/2026/10/03/us/se…
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Ruth Igielnik retweeted
NEW: Super PACs linked to AI giants OpenAI & Anthropic have blanketed the airwaves with political ads in Congressional races from the Big Apple to Big Sky country, making them among the top outside spenders on Congressional races this year latimes.com/politics/story/2…
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Ruth Igielnik retweeted
A new poll finds a sharp rise in the share of men under 30 who say that religion is “very important” to them. New from me and @RuthIgielnik (gift link): nytimes.com/2026/04/16/us/po…
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Big news! We are now a Times-Times household
Thrilled to be joining the @latimes DC bureau this week to investigate all things Washington! Please send tips my way at [email protected]
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Ruth Igielnik retweeted
Thrilled to be joining the @latimes DC bureau this week to investigate all things Washington! Please send tips my way at [email protected]
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Ruth Igielnik retweeted
After months of holding steady, Trump’s approval rating has slid to the lowest of his second term in recent weeks as voters sour on his handling of the economy, according to a @nytimes analysis of public polling. @RuthIgielnik @tylerpager nytimes.com/2025/12/05/us/po…
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Ruth Igielnik retweeted
NEW: The @MiamiHerald has obtained a list of hundreds of people detained or scheduled to be at Alligator Alcatraz. The government isn't realizing names. Families and attorneys are having trouble finding people at the site We're publishing the list here: miamiherald.com/news/local/i…
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Excellent poll questions to illuminate comfort with levels of deportation. Most Americans want to deport all or some immigrants in the US illegally. But that squishy 50% who say "some " -- they're mostly focused on people who have committed crimes or arrived in the last 4 years
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Just a reminder that all the data FiveThirtyEight collected—polls, election results, and much more—is available for download (for now) on our GitHub page. github.com/fivethirtyeight
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41 percent of Americans favor ending birthright citizenship in our latest New York Times poll. But a majority - 55% - oppose it.
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Abortion ballot initiatives were more popular than Harris as voters ticket-spit. In our surveys all year, Trump has been winning voters who said they wanted abortion to be "mostly legal" (as opposed to "always legal") nytimes.com/2024/11/07/us/el…
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These voters also told us in a survey that they did not expect Trump to enact a national abortion ban. They cared about increased abortion access but did not feel it was under threat. And they cared about other issues more.
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