1000% this. I've been deploying a bunch since the election because I still think we're early in the parabolic phase of the cycle. The longer it goes on, the riskier and more dangerous it gets.
It’s ironic because this 8-month range breakout presents one of the safest areas to get long yet people keep trying to justify reasons to be extra cautious.
But as the uptrend plays out and momentum is high, people get more and more confident when they should actually be practicing caution.
TLDR; long early, long hard and then start sizing down as cycle matures
This, plus top signals are going to shift every cycle because every cycle we get more mainstream adoption and acceptance. If you followed 2017 retail top signals in 2021 you would have sold early, and same applies to 2021 top signals now. Not worried about these "top signals" yet, but still keeping a finger on the pulse.
Idk if we get to the same euphoria this time as we have before, but we aren't remotely peak froth yet.
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Ain't no way this is the top
Countries, banks, corps, states buying BTC
ETH ETF this year
SPX .5% off ATH
Just under ATH a month after the halving
Interest rates only go down from here
Trump pro crypto and favored to win
GCR bull tweet
Roaring kitty back
Retardio
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By the time MEMEPOOL•SPACE mints out, 10 different sol shitters could have launched on pump fun, made it to raydium, insta jeeted to zero, community takeover to a milly then jeeted to zero again
Might need to take up edibles if im gonna succeed in the rune shitter era
SA1NT⛩ retweeted
@ZKasino_io is hard rugging us via theft. Investors, we need your help because you have a platform. Funds are still available to be recovered, this is criminal and must be dealt with NOW.
Please help:
@MEXC_Official
@BigBrainVC
@Trading_axe
@Pentosh1
@0xSisyphus
SA1NT⛩ retweeted
The team at @ZKasino_io are frauds and this needs to be spread across the entire space.
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SA1NT⛩ retweeted
How to rug your community for $30,000,000 USD:
1) Get people to bridge ETH in a "bridge to earn" program.
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3) Automatically convert all bridged ETH into your own worthless gas token "ZKAS" without prior consent.
4) Pretend it was done as a favour to users.
5) Go to jail.
SA1NT⛩ retweeted
This is the most rancid behavior I’ve seen being displayed by the @ZKasino_io team and founder @Derivatives_Ape. Actually sickening shit
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My (very left curve) predictions for the rest of the cycle
Overall:
IF (and this is a huge if) macro plays ball and spx generally goes up and to the right, we haven't even begun to party. Most alts are well below ATH, we haven't had a proper alt season yet. We haven't had anything even remotely close to the mania of last cycles tops. People are not aiming high enough. The high prevalence of sports betting and gambling, worsening economic outlook for normal people, and increasing institutional and sovereign buying makes me believe the bids keep coming.
Left translated cycle is consensus now, but I wouldn't be surprised if we got a normal length cycle especially given the recent chop and weakness. That said, I get progressively more nervous about macro after elections. In some pain today with alts bleeding but not nervous unless we break HTF structure.
NFTs/ordinals:
Last cycle, bayc floor got to almost half a mil. Puppets etc at $30k is NOTHING. If macro is good, I bet some 10k collection floor equivalent AT LEAST goes to $700k before the cycle is over. Wouldn't be surprised if ordinals continue to airdrop holders gorillions by the end of the cycle.
NFTs are only really going to start popping off after the first alt cycle and people start feeling rich. Same with ponzis but thats a diff topic.
AI coins:
My personal conviction play of the cycle. Crypto AI market cap is like 20b, a quarter of dogecoins peak and about 1% of Nvidia's current mcap. Web2 AI is already a bubble with NVDA and openai raises and the tech is going to improve rapidly as we move further into the cycle. When we start to enter the froth stage in crypto, AI coins will look like an uncapped potential "this changes everything" opportunity and people are going to lose all sight of reality with the valuations. I think AI x crypto is the perfect storm for the froth stage of the cycle, but we need the nvidia+openai bubble to remain intact to hit peak froth.
Meme/shitcoins:
I think we keep getting shitcoin cycles and stuff getting to crazy valuations, we only got the test pump so far. Lots of diff theories about why this is the case but overall, I'm with it. I need to get better at applying the gas when conditions are good.
That said, I'm just some left cuver on twitter who was only really good at trading pfp NFTs. NFA and take all this info with a grain of salt.
Ok, time to get back to my btc node and buying $nub and ai dex vapor. I'm rooting for you. Nubilio.