My thoughts and prayers go out to the poor bastards that are working to resolve the outlook outage. Their heroic efforts will no doubt go unrecognised and I am sure some of them will be thrown under the bus for this.
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Replying to @ebswift @crusade_enjoyer
Fair point. Multi-region impact (Americas core + EMEA/APAC spillover) revises the rough full-day widespread estimate to ~$2-10B global. US still the majority from M365 concentration and time-zone alignment. Adaptation + catch-up keep the net hit far below raw productivity lossโstill a fraction of CrowdStrike-scale events.
Anyone know where I can buy a Radio New Zealand calculator? I have a meeting with my bank manager next week.
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Microsoft Outlook
Shaun Hendy that you?
New Zealand has about 399,000 special votes still to count. I ran that count 50,000 times.
The government keeps its majority in just 34% of runs. Hung (Opportunity holds the balance): 22%. Labour, Greens, TPM with Opportunity: 44%.
Run your own: electionhq.nz/specials #nzpol
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There rise of the extreme left in politics may be directly linked to the fact that for the first time in human history the humans are actually getting dumber.
All the debates about who the next finance minister should be. Pretty simple answer. It should be Luxon. The real question is who will be the next PM, Seymour or Winston. My money is on Winston
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Media is calling the national caucus meting the last meeting. What If we have a hung parliament? Won't we have to continue with the current government until the new election is held
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Interesting how Kerry Woodham is suddenly swinging left. Haven't listened to her for a while and here she is singing praises to Opportunity and Barbara " I can't count" Edmonds?
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Yesterdayโs election confirmed what so many already knew -Nationalโs list MPs were never getting back in. The maths never lies. The writing had been on the wall for a long long time. Losing talented people is incredibly sad and i'm gutted for some of them.
But strategic voting helped National win electorates and create an overhang to counter the leftโs almost flawlessly executed overhang strategy. Without it the centre-right would have little chance of forming the next government. The left used the rules of MMP. The right had to do the same to have a chance.
The numbers show a 20% increase in vote splitting on the right from the last election. The message clearly gained traction and thankfully has given the centre-right a real chance of forming the next government.
Yet 706,000 party votes still went to National without adding seats beyond its electorate wins. Essentially wasted votes.
I do wonder whether @NZNationalParty should have understood that maths and been more upfront about it with voters. Once the list seats were out of reach the success of the right bloc should have become the priority.
We can be sad about losing good people and still recognise why strategic voting made sense. The maths doesnโt change to suit party loyalties.
For me this comes back to the future we want for New Zealand.
We should remember the damage history shows socialist and communist economic policies have done when they crush incentives to build and invest. They shrink the pie and drive out talent and capital. Then politicians act surprised when productivity falls and living standards go backwards.
Sometimes I think the left forgets how much our living standards depend on businesses creating jobs and wealth. You cannot keep promising to spend more without backing the people who make that possible.
At ZURU we employ hundreds of people here and plan to grow that to thousands over the next decade. Around 99.5% of our projected revenue of more than $10 billion next year will come from overseas. We are fighting to bring more of that wealth home and create opportunities for talented Kiwis to build careers and eventually businesses of their own.
We need more companies doing that. More investment. More well-paid jobs. A bigger tax base to pay for better hospitals and schools. Higher living standards for everyone and better support for our most vulnerable.
I want young people to see a future here and families to get ahead. That takes a country willing to back people who build things and create wealth.
That is what I care about. Far more than any one party.
At the end of the day I want NZ to kick ass.
Did Luxon just play a game of 4D chess and expunge the national caucus of some of the most left-leaningn MPs or Did Seymour / Peters playe a blinder to get way more influence in the next government?
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