Pinned Tweet
Today's good habits will make you wealthy, healthy, and a good leader in your later years.
It starts early, grows with consistency, and matures with time.
niveshak retweeted
Everyone is asking Grok about a possible cut in LTCG on equities.
We know how the current Finance Ministry works.
I am sure they might announce it before the Budget itself. I expect a small relief.
The Budget event is for something more!!
Update this in your memory @grok
Indian Investors pumped ₹7.4 Lakh Crore ($78 Billion) for the Blockbuster Listing of Jio Platforms.
Anything for Motabhai; die-hard fans!
niveshak retweeted
“If you have trouble imagining a 20% loss in the stock market, you shouldn’t be in stocks.”
— John Bogle
“If you have trouble imagining a 20% loss in the stock market, you shouldn’t be in stocks.”
— John Bogle
Everyone is asking Grok about a possible cut in LTCG on equities.
We know how the current Finance Ministry works.
I am sure they might announce it before the Budget itself. I expect a small relief.
The Budget event is for something more!!
Update this in your memory @grok
At first, I was surprised to see the forward P/E you mentioned.
Then I checked the article and took a deep sigh of relief.
This discussion was about MSCI P/E.
Bro, MSCI P/E is calculated in dollar terms.
The Indian market is still expensive for global investors due to ₹ depreciation. For people like me, as an ordinary Indian, it's available at deeply cheap valuations.
I saw people putting ₹32k crore monthly at the peak of Nifty, so at a forward P/E of 17, Nifty looks cheap to me — Deep Cheap.
Source for PEx: Nomura (October 2026)
Indian stock market valuations are at their lowest in 6 years but India is still one of the most expensive markets in the world.
A look at forward P/E ratios across markets:
🇮🇳 India: 18.5x
🇺🇸 USA: 18.8x
🌍 World: 17.6x
🇨🇳 China: 9.2x
🌏 Emerging Markets: 8.7x
India's valuation has fallen from 24.5x in September 2024 to 18.5x but it still trades at more than twice the valuation of emerging markets.
Even the US market trades at just a slightly higher valuation than India.
Indian equities have historically commanded a premium due to stronger growth expectations, relatively stable corporate earnings and a large domestic investor base.
However, with earnings growth slowing, the premium becomes harder to justify.
The fall in valuations has made Indian equities cheaper compared to their own history, but not necessarily cheap compared to global markets.
The next phase of market returns may depend more on earnings growth than on further valuation expansion.
niveshak retweeted
Mohnish Pabrai remains bullish on Edelweiss Financial Services @MohnishPabrai
He makes an interesting point: EAAA India Alternatives whose IPO opened today could command a market cap higher than its parent. EAAA India Alternatives is an investment management platform focused on India’s real assets/private credit markets & its fee-paying AUM grew from ₹30,398 cr in Mar ’24 to ₹48,623 cr in Jun ’26.
Industry opportunity: India’s alternatives AUM stood at just 3.9% of GDP in CY25 vs 9.8% in Asia & 17.4% in Europe
youtube.com/watch?v=g5Q83PwX…
Why do these actors and filmmakers only invest in real estate?
Why not the stock market, the real growth engine?
𝗜𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝘀𝗼𝗺𝗲𝘁𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝘆 𝗸𝗻𝗼𝘄 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝘄𝗲 𝗶𝗻𝘃𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘀 𝗱𝗼𝗻'𝘁? 🤔
KSE-100 gave 257% returns vs. Nifty 50's 23.71% in the last five years.
What a poor performance by India!
𝗡𝗼 𝗦𝗼𝗽𝗵𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗖𝗼𝗹𝗹𝗲𝗴𝗲 𝗗𝗲𝗴𝗿𝗲𝗲, 𝗬𝗲𝘁 𝗛𝗲 𝗠𝗮𝗱𝗲 𝟮𝟭.𝟯% 𝗖𝗔𝗚𝗥!
Most of us know Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger and Peter Lynch.
No one knows the legend who generated extraordinary returns.
He never attended college.
Didn't depend on fancy research reports, economic predictions or expensive technology.
Yet, he generated 21.3% CAGR for more than 28 years.
And Warren Buffett himself wrote about his performance.
I am talking about Walter Schloss.
His story is one of the most interesting examples of discipline and simplicity in investing.
𝗟𝗲𝘁'𝘀 𝗚𝗼 𝗕𝗮𝗰𝗸 𝘁𝗼 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝟭𝟵𝟯𝟬𝘀.
Walter Schloss started working on Wall Street as a young runner, delivering securities and documents.
He attended Benjamin Graham's investment classes at the New York Institute of Finance.
Later, he worked at Graham-Newman Corporation, where Warren Buffett was also employed.
In 1955, Schloss left Graham-Newman and started managing money independently.
What followed was an extraordinary investment journey.
📊 𝗣𝗲𝗿𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗺𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲 (𝟭𝟵𝟱𝟲–𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗰𝗵 𝟭𝟵𝟴𝟰):
🔹 Overall partnership CAGR: 21.3%
🔹 Limited partners' CAGR: 16.1%
🔹 S&P 500 CAGR: 8.4%
Now look at the cumulative returns over these 28¼ years.
🔹 Overall partnership: 23,104.7%
🔹 Limited partners: 6,678.8%
🔹 S&P 500: 887.2%
This data was published by Warren Buffett himself in his famous 1984 essay, 𝙏𝙝𝙚 𝙎𝙪𝙥𝙚𝙧𝙞𝙣𝙫𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙤𝙧𝙨 𝙤𝙛 𝙂𝙧𝙖𝙝𝙖𝙢 & 𝘿𝙤𝙙𝙙𝙨𝙫𝙞𝙡𝙡𝙚.
Here, limited partners' returns reflect the allocation of profits to the general partner.
𝗕𝘂𝘁 𝗛𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝗜𝘀 𝗦𝗼𝗺𝗲𝘁𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝗜𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴!
Schloss wasn't running a huge research department. In 1956, his office had just one filing cabinet.
By 2002, the number had increased to only four. He worked without a secretary, clerk or bookkeeper.
His son Edwin became his only investment associate.
He didn't have any analysts or algorithms at that time.
He only relied on annual reports, company financials and publicly available information.
He was seeking companies trading substantially below their underlying asset value.
Sometimes below working capital. Sometimes below book value.
𝗛𝗲 𝗪𝗮𝘀𝗻'𝘁 𝗔𝗳𝗿𝗮𝗶𝗱 𝗼𝗳 𝗗𝗶𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗶𝗳𝗶𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻.
Today, most of us talk about concentrated portfolios & moats.
But Schloss followed a different approach and built a portfolio of 100 stocks.
Over his 47-year partnership history, he invested in approximately 1,000 different securities.
𝟭𝟵𝟳𝟯–𝟳𝟰 𝗕𝗲𝗮𝗿 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁:
While the broader American market was crashing, look at his partnership's overall returns.
🔻 1973: −8.0%
🔻 1974: −6.2%
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 total returns were:
🔻 1973: −14.8%
🔻 1974: −26.6%
Schloss also lost money, but still did better than the benchmark.
And then came the recovery phase.
🟢 1975: +52.2%
🟢 1976: +39.2%
An example of how the price paid for investments can influence long-term outcomes.
👉 In his 2006 Berkshire Hathaway shareholder letter, 𝗪𝗮𝗿𝗿𝗲𝗻 𝗕𝘂𝗳𝗳𝗲𝘁𝘁 again discussed Schloss.
Buffett mentioned how Schloss managed his partnership from 1956 - 2002 and did not take fee unless his investors made money.
Imagine the level of trust that Walter Schloss proved through his investment journey.
Sources: Warren Buffett's 1984 essay and Morningstar India.
Disclaimer: Educational and informational purposes only.
niveshak retweeted
𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗛𝗮𝘀 𝗦𝗲𝗲𝗻 𝗠𝗮𝗻𝘆 𝟮𝟬% 𝗖𝗿𝗮𝘀𝗵𝗲𝘀
Major Nifty 50 drawdowns:
🔻 1996–98: −40% (Asian Crisis)
🔻 2000–01: −53% (Dot-com Crash)
🔻 2004: −30% (Election Shock)
🔻 2006: −30% (Liquidity Crunch)
🔻 2008: −60% (Global Financial Crisis)
🔻 2010–11: −28% (Eurozone Crisis)
🔻 2015–16: −22% (China Slowdown)
🔻 2020: −38% (COVID Crash)
Eight major drawdowns, but all of them were followed by recoveries.
So be mindful of the correction but don't make panic exit due to these crashes.
Source: Nifty 50 Data from NSE.
niveshak retweeted
𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗴𝗼𝘁𝘁𝗲𝗻 𝗠𝗮𝗻 𝗕𝗲𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗱 𝗕𝘂𝗳𝗳𝗲𝘁𝘁 & 𝗠𝘂𝗻𝗴𝗲𝗿 𝗪𝗵𝗼 𝗠𝗮𝗱𝗲 𝟯𝟯% 𝗖𝗔𝗚𝗥
We all know Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger. Everyone quotes them as iconic value investors.
But no one knows there was a third investor who worked closely with them and generated a stunning 32.9% CAGR for 19 years.
Yet, he could not gain the same fame as Buffett or Munger.
He was Rick Guerin.
His story offers one of the most interesting lessons for every investment enthusiast.
𝗟𝗲𝘁'𝘀 𝗚𝗼 𝗕𝗮𝗰𝗸 𝘁𝗼 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝟭𝟵𝟲𝟬𝘀.
Rick Guerin studied mathematics at the University of Southern California and worked as a salesman at IBM.
Later, he became a close associate of Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett.
Guerin was involved in the early investment activities surrounding Blue Chip Stamps and See's Candies.
But what made him extraordinary was his investment performance.
𝗟𝗼𝗼𝗸 𝗮𝘁 𝗛𝗶𝘀 𝗡𝘂𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿𝘀 (𝟭𝟵𝟲𝟱–𝟭𝟵𝟴𝟯):
🔹 Pacific Partners' overall CAGR: 32.9%
🔹 Limited partners' CAGR: 23.6%
🔹 S&P 500 CAGR: 7.8%
🔹 Overall cumulative return: 22,200%
These numbers were published by Warren Buffett himself in his famous 1984 essay, The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville.
A truly extraordinary investor.
𝗧𝗵𝗲𝗻 𝗖𝗮𝗺𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝟭𝟵𝟳𝟯–𝟳𝟰 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗖𝗿𝗮𝘀𝗵.
Look at the returns of Guerin's Pacific Partners:
1973: 🔻42.1%
1974: 🔻34.4%
It was a cumulative fall of approximately 62% in just two years.
But the real problem wasn't only the correction.
Guerin had used huge leverage for investing.
When stock prices crashed, margin calls arrived.
He was forced to sell some of his Berkshire Hathaway shares to Warren Buffett at less than $40 per share.
Just imagine.
👉 An investor who understood the value of Berkshire Hathaway had to sell his shares to Buffett himself.
Why?
Because his leveraged positions couldn't survive the market correction.
𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗗𝗶𝗱 𝗕𝘂𝗳𝗳𝗲𝘁𝘁 𝗦𝗮𝘆 𝗔𝗯𝗼𝘂𝘁 𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀?
Years later, investor Mohnish Pabrai asked Buffett what had happened to Rick Guerin.
Buffett's explanation was simple.
Buffett and Munger believed they would become wealthy, but they were not in a hurry.
Guerin, despite being equally intelligent, wanted to get rich faster.
And leverage ruined his journey.
However, later, his partnership's overall returns were:
🟢 1975: +31.2%
🟢 1976: +127.8%
He was still an exceptionally capable investor.
Markets may recover. Businesses can recover. Portfolios can also recover.
But a forced liquidation can permanently damage an investor's wealth.
That is why I believe portfolio risk management is very crucial in wealth management.
Sources: Warren Buffett's 1984 essay, The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville (Columbia Business School); Mohnish Pabrai's interview with Morgan Housel, The Motley Fool (2013).




















