Impressed by GenCast, the ML-based weather forecasting model nature.com/articles/s41...
Curious @GoogleDeepMind - Bc it penalizes deviations from the truth, could a complementary risk-optimized model improve its ability to capture uncertainty and better represent extreme events?
📢Call for ABSTRACTS for @EuroGeosciences
Submit your #interdisciplinary contributions that address societal responses to extreme weather events 🌪️🌏🥵⛈️🔥
➡️Deadline: 15 January 2025
➡️Conference: 27 April - 2 May 2025, Vienna
➡️tinyurl.com/eejef6vk
#EGU25
Simona Meiler retweeted
This work resulted from an amazing interdisciplinary collaboration of our #TISP survey project and @ETH climate researchers @SimonaMeiler @KropfChahan @sam_luethi @DavidBresch – thank you so much!🤝
Here’s the #preprint: osf.io/preprints/osf/mq9x6
Simona Meiler retweeted
Do people attribute extreme weather events to #climate change? Is attribution linked to the severity of events? Is it related to #policy support? Does it differ between countries and types of extreme weather? 🌏
We tested this with the #CLIMADA risk model and a global #survey 🔍
Excited to share our new preprint on extreme weather & climate policy support! 🌍🔥 Over 70K people in 68 countries were surveyed. We found that belief in climate change’s impact on extreme weather boosts climate policy support - but living in affected areas doesn’t always do so.
This Post is from an account that no longer exists. Learn more
Still deciding on your #EGU24 schedule of the day? Come to ITS4.8/CL0.1.16 “Advances in physical climate risk assessment for the financial and insurance sectors” - I’ll be presenting how to quantify and navigate future TC 🌪️risk uncertainties at 9:05 AM meetingorganizer.copernicus.…
Looking for a simple task to start the new year with? Submit an abstract to our @EuroGeosciences session: meetingorganizer.copernicus.…
We welcome #interdisciplinary contributions that address societal responses to extreme weather events 🌪️🥵🔥⛈️
@colognav @JoshEttinger @RmnHoffmann
Simona Meiler retweeted
Looking to tick one simple task off your to-do list before finishing up for the year? Submit an abstract to our #EGU24 session: meetingorganizer.copernicus.…
ALT Advertisement of EGU24 session: Future Changes in Weather and Climate Hazards around the World Invited Speaker: Giorgia Di Capua Conveners: Vikki Thompson, Dann Mitchell, Kai Kornhuber, Simona Meiler Droughts, heatwaves, flooding, wildfire, tropical cyclones... the risks of these are all set to change with climate change. This session will showcase research progress investigating different natural hazards and their projected changes in the future. Abstract Submission open until 10 January 2024. More details in link in tweet.
Where extreme weather meets emotions. 🌪️💖 Calling all minds at the crossroads of natural and social sciences - submit your abstracts to #EGU24 @EuroGeosciences
This Post is from an account that no longer exists. Learn more
From heatwaves to hurricanes, our #EGU24 session tackles Future Changes in Weather and Climate Hazards around the World 🌍🔥🌊 Abstracts welcome here: meetingorganizer.copernicus.…
Thinking of attending #egu24? We are organising a session on Future Changes in Climate Hazards. Submit an abstract here: meetingorganizer.copernicus.…
@ClimateDann @KKornhuber @SimonaMeiler
ALT Poster advertising EGU24 session: Future Changes in Weather and Climate Hazards around the World. More details available on the link in the tweet.
Which TC risk model input factor drives the uncertainty in future TC risk change most?
📢 New paper published @CommsEarth @SpringerNature
A systematic uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of future TC risk change throughout the entire risk model.
nature.com/articles/s43247-0…
1/6
⏩ The analogous study using an alternative TC dataset, STORM @Bloemendaal_N, tara.tcd.ie/handle/2262/1032… provides a valuable, additional perspective.
A synthesis study of uncertainty and sensitivity analysis across more TC hazard models is coming up.
5/6
A big thank you 🙏 goes to my co-authors: Alessio Ciullo, @KropfChahan, Kerry Emanuel, @DavidBresch
@usys_ethzh
Please share and comment 🩵
6/6
Simona Meiler retweeted
How many people could die due to heat during an extreme summer?🥵🥵
Our study on rapidly increasing risk of summers with very high heat-related mortality levels in 748 locations across the globe was published today in Nature communications @NatureComms nature.com/articles/s41467-0…
When natural and social sciences meet. First results from a very cool study on the relationship between historical extreme weather impacts and climate change emotions led by @colognav & @nielsmede in collaboration with @sam_luethi @KropfChahan 🥵⛈️🌪️🌡️😰
This Post is from an account that no longer exists. Learn more
That's exciting! Catastrophe risk science has its own journal. When are you submitting your first manuscript?
This Post is from an account that no longer exists. Learn more
Here I'd like to highlight 3 key points of this study (researchsquare.com/article/r…)
These results should also be understood as a representation of the maturity of TC hazard modelling as a field. In contrast to the other key components - exposure and vulnerability - hazard simulations are much more advanced.
Feel free to share and comment! ...and read the full #preprint for more results.
A big thank you 🙏 goes to my co-authors: @Alessio_Ciullo @DavidBresch @KropfChahan #KerryEmanuel