Measuring football, play by play, with 500+ years of NFL experience behind the model. SūmerPass is live. A research platform made for diehards, by diehards.
Joined September 2022
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SūmerPass is live. A football research platform made for diehards, by diehards.
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SūmerSports retweeted
Very fun Stats & Scheme coming out tomorrow with the topic of the week and then matchup breakdowns for Bears-Patriots, Lions-Packers, Bengals-Ravens and Chiefs-Seahawks
Subscribe here: sumersports.com/stats-scheme…
C.J. Stroud is playing the best football of his career six weeks into the 2026 season.
He hasn't just returned to his rookie-year form, he's leveled up 🧵
Stroud has recaptured what made him great as a rookie:
- Excelling from a clean pocket
- Throwing deep and connecting (14.6% deep target rate ranks 8th)
- Targeting and producing in the middle of the field (+0.41 EPA per play ranks 11th)
- Limiting turnovers
Quarterbacks who avoid sacks under pressure the most (min. 100 dropbacks):
Dak Prescott: 7.0%
Brock Purdy: 8.2%
Kirk Cousins: 9.2%
Bo Nix: 9.3%
Patrick Mahomes: 9.7%
Prescott is on pace to match Josh Allen (2024) for the lowest pressure-to-sack ratio since 2016.
Man vs. Zone YPRR
Zay Flowers is the only WR that averages at least 3 yards per route run against both man and zone coverage
SūmerSports retweeted
Highest % of team total receiving yards through 6 weeks (since 2016), per @SumerSports:
1. Jaxon Smith-Njigba '26: 48.8%
2. Antonio Brown '17: 46.0%
3. D.J. More '23: 45.3%
4. Ja'Marr Chase '23: 45.2%
5. Jaxon Smith-Njigba '25: 44.7%
SūmerSports retweeted
Rams offense on deep throws (20+ air yard attempts) through 6 weeks in ‘25 vs. ‘26, per @SumerSports:
*Deep throw %: 13.5% (7th) -> 10.4% (21st)
*TD/INT: 2/0 -> 1/3
*Completion %: 53.6 (3rd) -> 26.9 (26th)
*EPA/att: 1.12 (3rd) -> -0.18 (27th)
*Success Rate: 57.1 -> 26.9
SūmerSports retweeted
Atlanta Falcons defense blitz/pressure numbers and ranks, per @SumerSports:
*Pressure rate: 44.4% (4th)
*Blitz %: 23.7% (26th)
*4-man rush %: 75.6% (3rd)
*% zone coverage behind a blitz: 58.1% (17th)
SūmerSports retweeted
QB Total EPA leaders heading into Week 7, per @SumerSports:
1. Josh Allen: 59.8
2. Brock Purdy: 57.6
3. Jared Goff: 52.8 (5 games played)
4. Trevor Lawrence: 47.4
5. Lamar Jackson: 36.2 (4 games played)
SūmerSports retweeted
Matthew Stafford through 6 games in 2025 vs. 2026, per @SumerSports:
*Under center dropback %: 37.3% -> 27.2%
*Play action %: 30.5% -> 24.5%
*INT%: 0.97% (2) -> 2.44% (6)
*Shotgun EPA/dropback: 0.25 -> 0.03
*EPA/dropback vs. man coverage: 0.27 -> -0.13
SūmerSports retweeted
Carnell Tate's 26.7% target share through 6 weeks ranks 12th among receivers, per @SumerSports
His target share this year is the 5th most for a rookie WR through 6 weeks of a season since 2022
George Karlaftis signed a huge extension with Kansas City. His pressure numbers have always been high, but they haven't resulted in many sacks.
So what matters more: pressures or sacks?
SūmerSports retweeted
Spencer Fano didn't allow a sack or a QB hit vs. Baltimore...
but the data tells a different story:
- HIGHEST PRESSURE RATE ALLOWED (13.2%)
- 5 PRESSURES on 38 pass-block snaps
of all tackles with 20+ pass-block snaps in Week 6.
Watch them below.
Nobody’s winning without extra rushers more than George Karlaftis.
Through Week 6, he’s pressured the QB on 22% of non-blitz rushes, the best among qualified edge rushers and about 9 points above the league average (12.9%).
A pressure doesn't need to result in a sack to have a significant impact:
youtu.be/3CNYZ0VuZCY?si=D7t3…
SūmerSports retweeted
When #1 caught this pass, our models expected an average player in his position at the moment of the catch to get 32 YAC (factoring in the defender's positions as well).
He got 17.
@SumerSports
