Props Prophet ๐ฎ retweeted
$100 to a random LIKE if we SWEEP! ๐ฐ
๐๐
๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ง๐๐๐ฒ ๐
๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐๐ซ๐:
- Zay Flowers O 79.5 Receiving Yards
- Patrick Mahomes O 12.5 Rush Yards
DROP A ๐ IF TAILING
Props Prophet ๐ฎ retweeted
Replying to @NFL
FREE PLAYS TODAY ๐
Props Prophet ๐ฎ retweeted
๐ NFL Sunday Play #2:
๐๐๐ญ๐ซ๐ข๐๐ค ๐๐๐ก๐จ๐ฆ๐๐ฌ ๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ก ๐๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ (๐๐ซ๐ข๐ณ๐๐ฉ๐ข๐๐ค๐ฌ)
- Mahomes has cleared this line in 4/6 games this season already, and 5/6 games when rushing 2+ attempts, averaging 14 yards on the ground.
- Almost ALL of these yards are from scrambles, when kneels are removed from the equation, he clears this on just about ONE scramble per game.
- He sees the perfect matchup against this Broncos defense who have allowed 5/6 QBโs faced so far to exceed this line and allow ~26 rush yards to opposing QBโs.
- Based on this matchup and Mahomes scramble numbers this season, we think he could cash this on the FIRST DRIVE!
DROP A ๐ IF TAILING
Props Prophet ๐ฎ retweeted
๐ NFL Sunday Play #1:
๐๐๐ฒ ๐
๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ๐๐ซ๐ฌ ๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ (-๐๐๐ ๐
๐๐ง๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ)
- With Lamar Jackson back at QB after three weeks on injury, Flowers is a strong candidate for taking the WR1 spot overall this week in a favorable matchup against Buffalo.
- Flowers has cleared this line in 3/3 games this season with Lamar at QB, averaging 117 yards on 7.3 targets per game.
- Buffalo has proven one of the weakest pass defenses in the league, allowing 2nd MOST passing yards at 285 per game as well as massive performances to opposing WR1โs:
Tre Trucker: 5/97/2
Puca Nacua: 17/138/1
Amon-Ra St Brown: 9/142/2
- With a tight spread (-3.5) and Baltimore on the road trying to make a push with Lamar finally back, this game script has passing for Baltimore all over it. Flowers should see plenty of volume to get this done.
DROP A ๐ IF TAILING
Props Prophet ๐ฎ retweeted
$100 to a random LIKE if we SWEEP! ๐ฐ
๐๐ก๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฒ ๐๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ญ ๐
๐จ๐จ๐ญ๐๐๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐
๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐๐ซ๐:
- Josh Jacobs O 79.5 Rush+Rec Yards
- Jalen Coker O 59.5 Receiving Yards
DROP A ๐ IF TAILING
Props Prophet ๐ฎ retweeted
๐ NBA Thursday Play of the Day:
๐๐๐ฆ๐ข๐๐ง ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐๐ซ๐ ๐ ๐.๐ ๐๐ก๐ซ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ซ๐ฌ (-๐๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ๐ก๐๐ญ๐)
- On opening night in Portland, Lillard hit 6/10 three point attempts for 60% from the arc, and 25 total points. Safe to say he puts on a show for the home crowd.
- Lillard is averaging 9.3 three point attempts per game, and has attempted 8+ in each game this season. This is an extremely high floor for volume.
- With 8+ attempts, Lillard has exceeded this line in 70% of his last 30 games, averaging closer to four threes made.
- Meanwhile, Memphis has allowed three straight guards to exceed this line on MUCH less volume- Lavine 3/10, Podz 2/8, Peterson 3/5.
DROP A ๐ IF TAILING
Props Prophet ๐ฎ retweeted
๐ Thursday Night Football Play #2:
๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ง ๐๐จ๐ค๐๐ซ ๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ (-๐๐๐ ๐
๐๐ง๐๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ)
- Coker has been an ELITE target this season for yards after catch, with nearly 50% of his yards coming YAC (116).
- Despite a tough matchup last week where Carolinaโs offense could not get anything going, Coker has seen 9+ targets in 3/5 games this season, bringing his floor up significantly.
- In games with just 5+ targets, Coker has exceeded this line in six straight games, averaging 96.4 yards.
- Green Bay is allowing the 6th most YAC this season with 844 total. This will make Coker a threat today in the open field.
DROP A ๐ IF TAILING
Props Prophet ๐ฎ retweeted
๐ Thursday Night Football Play #1:
๐๐จ๐ฌ๐ก ๐๐๐๐จ๐๐ฌ ๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ก + ๐๐๐๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ (-๐๐๐ ๐๐๐ญ๐๐๐)
- Jacobs is back and IMMEDIATELY took back the lead backfield role, posting 91 total yards and a touchdown on 11 rush attempts and 7 targets in his season debut.
- He has the most favorable matchup against the Panthers, one of the leagueโs WORST run defenses allowing 153 yards per game on the ground.
- Carolina just allowed 250 yards and 3 touchdowns to Tampa Bayโs three-man backfield rotation, including two of them to exceed this line straight up (Irving 110 yards, Gainwell 88 yards).
- With Green Bay as slight home favorites in a get-back spot after last weekโs loss, they should be utilizing Jacobs heavily to slow the pace.
- The game script, projected volume in both ground game and targets, and excellent matchup all point to this being a SMASH play!
DROP A ๐ IF TAILING
Props Prophet ๐ฎ retweeted
๐๐ฒ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ ๐๐๐ฑ๐๐ฒ ๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐จ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ โ
๐ฐ
Maxey TAKES OVER with 15 fourth quarter points to CASH US!
We move to 3-0 on NBA ๐
DROP A ๐ IF YOU TAILED
๐ NBA Wednesday Play #4:
๐๐ฒ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ ๐๐๐ฑ๐๐ฒ ๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐จ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ (-๐๐๐ ๐
๐๐ง๐๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ)
- Maxey is off to a BRILLIANT start this season, averaging nearly 29 points per game on 57% true shooting percentage.
- Averaging a consistent 22 FGA per game, Maxey has exceeded this line in 94% of games dating back to the beginning of last season with 20+ FGA.
- Pacers defense is susceptible to opposing PGโs, allowing Rollins to drop 19 points on just 14 FGA and Kyrie 24 points on just 15 FGA.
- With Philadelphia being close road favorites at -5.5, this game is projected to stay close, pointing to higher usage and volume for Maxey to get this done.
DROP A ๐ IF TAILING
Props Prophet ๐ฎ retweeted
๐๐๐ฌ๐๐๐ฅ ๐๐ข๐๐ค๐๐ฆ ๐ ๐.๐ ๐๐๐๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ฌ โ
๐ฐ
ANOTHER EASY CASH! This line was too soft, community ATE on this one!
We move to 2-0 on NBA! ๐
DROP A ๐ IF YOU TAILED
๐ NBA Wednesday Play #2:
๐๐๐ฌ๐๐๐ฅ ๐๐ข๐๐ค๐๐ฆ ๐ ๐.๐ ๐๐๐๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ฌ (-๐๐๐ ๐
๐๐ง๐๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ)
- Siakam is showing ELITE rebounding volume this season, averaging 7.8 boards on 12 potential per game.
- In games with just 5+ potential boards, Siakam is over in 3/3 games this season averaging 9.3 rebounds.
- Meanwhile, Philadelphia is allowing the HIGHEST opponent defensive rebound percentage this season at 82%, creating a perfect opportunity for each Pacer.
- Philadelphia is also allowing the MOST rebounds per game a 39.8, and has already allowed 3/3 PFโs in similar situations to CRUSH this line:
John Collins: 11 rebounds
Kyle Kuzma: 12 rebounds
Evan Mobley: 8 rebounds
DROP A ๐ IF TAILING
Props Prophet ๐ฎ retweeted
๐. ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐จ๐ค๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ฆ๐ฉ๐จ ๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐๐๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ฌ โ
๐ฐ
FIRST HALF CASH! Giannis is absolutely CLEANING the glass! We start the evening off 1-0 on NBA ๐ฅ
DROP A ๐ IF YOU TAILED
๐ NBA Wednesday Play #3:
๐๐ข๐๐ง๐ง๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐จ๐ค๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ฆ๐ฉ๐จ ๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐๐๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ฌ (-๐๐๐ ๐
๐๐ง๐๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ)
- Giannis is showing solid rebounding potential this season so far, averaging 9.5 boards on 17.25 potential per game.
- In 2/4 close matchups so far this season where Giannis saw 30+ minutes and 32%+ usage rate, he cleared this line easily with 12 and 14 boards.
- Atlanta is a top 10 team in opponent rebounds allowed, giving up just over 55 per game.
- Atlanta is also middle of the pack in shooting efficiency, with 54.1% effective FG rate. This should create plenty of rebounding opportunities for Giannis today, he just needs to convert.
DROP A ๐ IF TAILING
Props Prophet ๐ฎ retweeted
$100 to a random LIKE if we SWEEP! ๐ฐ
๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐๐๐ฒ ๐
๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐๐ซ๐:
- G. Antetokounmpo O 10.5 Rebounds
- Tyrese Maxey O 22.5 Points
- Pascal Siakam O 6.5 Rebounds
- Jamal Murray O 9.5 Reb+Ast
DROP A ๐ IF TAILING
Props Prophet ๐ฎ retweeted
๐ NBA Wednesday Play #4:
๐๐ฒ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ ๐๐๐ฑ๐๐ฒ ๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐จ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ (-๐๐๐ ๐
๐๐ง๐๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ)
- Maxey is off to a BRILLIANT start this season, averaging nearly 29 points per game on 57% true shooting percentage.
- Averaging a consistent 22 FGA per game, Maxey has exceeded this line in 94% of games dating back to the beginning of last season with 20+ FGA.
- Pacers defense is susceptible to opposing PGโs, allowing Rollins to drop 19 points on just 14 FGA and Kyrie 24 points on just 15 FGA.
- With Philadelphia being close road favorites at -5.5, this game is projected to stay close, pointing to higher usage and volume for Maxey to get this done.
DROP A ๐ IF TAILING
Props Prophet ๐ฎ retweeted
๐ NBA Wednesday Play #3:
๐๐ข๐๐ง๐ง๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐จ๐ค๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ฆ๐ฉ๐จ ๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐๐๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ฌ (-๐๐๐ ๐
๐๐ง๐๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ)
- Giannis is showing solid rebounding potential this season so far, averaging 9.5 boards on 17.25 potential per game.
- In 2/4 close matchups so far this season where Giannis saw 30+ minutes and 32%+ usage rate, he cleared this line easily with 12 and 14 boards.
- Atlanta is a top 10 team in opponent rebounds allowed, giving up just over 55 per game.
- Atlanta is also middle of the pack in shooting efficiency, with 54.1% effective FG rate. This should create plenty of rebounding opportunities for Giannis today, he just needs to convert.
DROP A ๐ IF TAILING
Props Prophet ๐ฎ retweeted
๐ NBA Wednesday Play #2:
๐๐๐ฌ๐๐๐ฅ ๐๐ข๐๐ค๐๐ฆ ๐ ๐.๐ ๐๐๐๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ฌ (-๐๐๐ ๐
๐๐ง๐๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ)
- Siakam is showing ELITE rebounding volume this season, averaging 7.8 boards on 12 potential per game.
- In games with just 5+ potential boards, Siakam is over in 3/3 games this season averaging 9.3 rebounds.
- Meanwhile, Philadelphia is allowing the HIGHEST opponent defensive rebound percentage this season at 82%, creating a perfect opportunity for each Pacer.
- Philadelphia is also allowing the MOST rebounds per game a 39.8, and has already allowed 3/3 PFโs in similar situations to CRUSH this line:
John Collins: 11 rebounds
Kyle Kuzma: 12 rebounds
Evan Mobley: 8 rebounds
DROP A ๐ IF TAILING
Props Prophet ๐ฎ retweeted
๐ NBA Wednesday Play #1:
๐๐๐ฆ๐๐ฅ ๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ซ๐๐ฒ ๐ ๐.๐ ๐๐๐+๐๐ฌ๐ญ (๐๐ซ๐ข๐ณ๐๐๐ข๐๐ค๐ฌ)
- Murray is averaging 12.0 rebounds & assists through three games this season, exceeding this line in 2/3 starts already with EASE.
- Averaging 39 minutes and seeing high quality volume on the glass, with 14 and 17 rebound chances in last two games.
- Against this exact Pelicans matchup on Oct 24, Murray saw a season high 19 potential assists. While only converting 6 of them, this is promising volume.
- Pelicans near bottom of the league defense has already allowed 11 and 14 rebounds+assists to primary creators George and Haliburton.
DROP A ๐ IF TAILING
Props Prophet ๐ฎ retweeted
๐ NFL Monday Play of the Day:
๐๐ก๐ซ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐ฅ๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ ๐.๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ (-๐๐๐ ๐
๐๐ง๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ)
- This is the CLEAR BUY for tonightโs MNF game.
- Olave has exceeded this line in all 3/3 games this season averaging 9.0 catches on 12.0 targets for a 75% catch rate on a WR1 share. Seven receptions is a DOWN week.
- Shough has thrown 132 over three weeks, with Olave as the first read. Juwan Johnson can steal red zone looks, but he does not take the 10-13 target floor away.
- Falcons are the perfect defense to target, allowing 263 pass yards per game for the 3rd MOST in the league. Top corner AJ Terrell is still out, leaving a huge gap in defense for New Orleans to exploit.
DROP A ๐ IF TAILING
Props Prophet ๐ฎ retweeted
๐ NFL Sunday Touchdown Scorers:
- Aaron Jones Sr. vs. #PhinsUp (-135)
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba vs. #BoltUp (-115)
- Brock Bowers vs. #ChiefsKingdom (+175)
- Bucky Irving vs. #GoPackGo (+180)
- Tucker Kraft @ #WeAreTheKrewe (+275)
DROP A ๐ IF TAILING
Props Prophet ๐ฎ retweeted
$100 to a random LIKE if we SWEEP! ๐ฐ
๐๐
๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ง๐๐๐ฒ ๐
๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐๐ซ๐:
- Lamar Jackson U 18.5 Completions
- CeeDee Lamb O 75.5 Receiving Yards
- Christian McCaffrey O 39.5 Receiving Yards
DROP A ๐ IF TAILING
Props Prophet ๐ฎ retweeted
๐ NFL Sunday Play #1:
๐๐ก๐ซ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐๐ง ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ซ๐๐ฒ ๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ (-๐๐๐ ๐
๐๐ง๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ)
Collab with @FrannysPlays ๐ฒ
- Finally a game where Christian McCaffrey should actually be NEEDED in the passing game. After getting the job done in Australia against a tough Rams team, San Francisco followed it up with B2B games against Miami and Arizona. Even in those EASY spots, McCaffrey still managed 43 & 41 receiving yards. Now we get a game lined at only 2.5 points where the 49ers should need him for all four quarters.
- The usage is also trending EXACTLY where we want it. McCaffrey played just 55% and 52% of the snaps through the first two weeks before taking a MASSIVE jump to 83% in Week 3. To me, that makes it pretty clear the first couple weeks were about knocking the rust off and slowly ramping him back up, not San Francisco planning on using some long-term committee.
- When seeing 75%+ of the snap share, McCaffrey has cleared this line in 14/L18 games. It gets even better when San Francisco win by 5 or fewer, CMC is OVER this line in 7 STRAIGHT while averaging 66.5 receiving yards per game. Thatโs the exact type of script the books are expecting here with SF sitting as only a 2.5-point favorites.
- Denver also just got COOKED by Kyren Williams out of the backfield last week. Kyren caught 6 passes for 70 receiving yards, his career-high, against this Broncos defense. Now they have to deal with arguably the best receiving back of this generation whose snap share is finally back above 80%.
- I was initially leaning toward 5+ receptions, but McCaffrey absolutely does NOT need five catches to get us 40 yards. Heโs caught exactly 4 balls in each of the last two weeks and still cleared this number in BOTH. Give me his receiving yards in what should finally be a game where San Francisco needs every part of the CMC skill set.
Shoutout @FrannysPlays for the writeup, go show some love and lock in with him!
DROP A ๐ IF TAILING




















