Ph.D. in AI. Sr. Foresight Analyst, Horizons. Coder, numbers whiz, foresight expert. Sworn to use Evil powers only for Good. He/they. @wikisteff@mastodon.social
Ottawa, Canada
Joined December 2009
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Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
Jobs for every month of 2025 have been revised lower
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
No-one is predicting a US recession in 2026 despite this simple indicator having a 100% track record of success. This time may well be different, but you've got to have a bloody good reason to ignore this. Are you feeling confident?
Société Générale's Albert Edwards points to a labor market chart with a flawless track record of predicting a recession since 1950. Is the US economy ignoring history, or is this time different? bit.ly/49cvvRp
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
The Briefing: By a 2-to-1 margin, Albertans support remaining in Canada over separation.
patreon.com/posts/briefing-b…
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
U.S. imports are now down by -21.1% from their peak ... only other times we've seen worse declines were during the pandemic and global financial crisis
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
Un de mes graphes préférés est arrivé pour 2025! Chaque point est une heure de production d’un pays: en abscisse la production, en ordonnée son intensité carbone. Chaque pays a une couleur différente. Bravo la France (en bleu)! Merci Thomas’s projects. bit.ly/45uDkiY
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
The US continues to lose manufacturing jobs—payrolls are down 75k over the last year, & another 8k jobs were lost in December
Transportation (especially auto manufacturing), wood, and electronics/electrical manufacturing are the biggest losers, but few subsectors are doing well
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
Released this morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ labor share of income for Q3 2025 is the lowest on record.
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
It turns out that my 2 TB thumb drive is composed of 1.9m 1 MB blocks and exfat formatting will allocate one file per block, meaning I had about a 70x storage overhead. I have literally never encountered this problem before, but then again, I've never built a recursive filesystem with over 200 million files which essentially is a decompression bomb.
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
It's not just that total manufacturing employment is shrinking. The number of manufacturing sub-sectors that are adding jobs is rapidly shrinking. Of the 72 different types of manufacturing tracked by the BLS, just 38.2% are still adding jobs. A year ago it was 47.2%
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
$PLTR Alex Karp Total Estimated Sales Since January 2025: Over 10 million shares, valued at approximately $2 billion+.
😂
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
Sigh, hate to always be sounding like a broken record, but it bears repeating at this point:
If it feels like your government is trying to kill you, it's probably because your government is trying to kill you.
BREAKING: In a serious blow to US pandemic flu preparedness, HHS has cancelled a contract with Moderna to test and license prototype vaccines for #H5N1 #birdflu and other potential pandemic viruses.
In a pandemic, mRNA is the fastest way to vaccine doses. statnews.com/2025/05/28/mode…
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
Why is America losing its allure to foreign researchers and science students? The most straightforward reason is money, or the looming lack of it as a result of Trump administration funding cuts econ.st/43uptr0
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
The recent rise in long-term unemployment is concentrated in the 15-24-years age group, accounting for more than a fifth of the total long-term unemployed. This is becoming a real tragedy for Canada's youth. #cdnecon
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
Those of us who called Trump a fascist from the start in mainstream outlets ended up with our articles hidden by paywalls. History blocked. This is what my 2016 Election Day article looks like now:
Better late than never. But why on earth did it take until now for all these people with the power to shift public perception to come out and say what should have been said eight years ago?
bit.ly/4fdxtBH
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
Oh yeah.
And there are people stupid enough to call this bit 'the pandemic'.
😂
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
But the most recent trough?
It's worse than SEVEN of the EIGHT *peaks* pre-pandemic.
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
And meanwhile, the troughs never drop as low as before.
In fact, the BEST absence rate of the last two years is worse than the worst of three of the 8 years leading up to the pandemic...
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
Since then... chaos.
Peaks of sickness absence in April, January, March, July, December, and when's the next one going to peak?
And troughs in March, August, May, September...
You know what these all correlate with?
WAVES AND TROUGHS OF FECKING COVID INFECTIONS.
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
Pre-covid, this variation is your classic northern hemisphere seasonal infection cycle.
It's annual.
Peak in January most of the time, sometimes a month earlier, sometimes a month later.
Trough in May most of the time, sometimes a month earlier or later.
