PMC COVID-19 Dashboard, Dec 16, 2024 🧵1 of 8 🔹1 in 64 (1.6%) actively infectious in the U.S. 🔹750,000 new daily infections and rising 🔹Highest % increase in transmission in nearly 3 years 🔹10th wave is the "silent surge," coming on late out of nowhere The video will walk you through each of the graphs on the dashboard and covered in this thread. Info for new readers: For those unfamiliar with the PMC model, find full weekly reports for the past 14+ months at pmc19.com/data The models combine data from IHME, Biobot, and CDC to use wastewater to estimate case levels (r = .93 to .96) and forecast levels the next month based on typical levels for that date and recent patterns of changes in transmission the past 4 weeks. Our work has been cited in top scientific journals and media outlets, which are fully sourced in a detailed technical appendix at pmc19.com/data/PMC_COVID_For… Examples include JAMA Onc, JAMA-NO, BMC Public Health, Time, People, TODAY, the Washington Post, the Institute for New Economic Thinking, Salon, Forbes, the New Republic, Fox, CBS, and NBC. See pgs 11-13 at the above link. We will have a pre-print out in the next month documenting very compelling evidence for the validity of using wastewater to estimate case rates. Forecasting is challenging in the context of the current viral evolution, but the real-time estimates of cases are impressively accurate to the best we can evaluate it.