
Science Lead @temple. Biomed Scientist in #longevity. Mentor & Investor in Health startups. Past CTO @BioVivaScience, Researcher @CASMIORG, Founders Health.
Oxford, England
Joined May 2008
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A weekly jab in the belly is generating more revenue than the entire AI industry.
Ozempic + Mounjaro: $71B in 2025.
OpenAI + Anthropic: $29B.
And they've barely started. ~2% of the 800 million eligible patients can currently access them.
h/t @DrSamuelBHume
🤖 Made with AI
Millions of people take Ozempic or Mounjaro, and many wonder if these drugs might also protect memory. So far, the biggest test says no. In 3,808 people with early Alzheimer's, the drug in Ozempic did not slow the disease.
The idea came from health records. A 2024 Case Western study found that people with type 2 diabetes on semaglutide, the drug in Ozempic and Wegovy, were diagnosed with Alzheimer's about a third as often as similar people on insulin.
Novo Nordisk, the maker of Ozempic, then ran a proper trial. In two studies, people took semaglutide or a placebo for two years. Their memory and daily life declined at the same pace.
These results answer different questions. Health records can be skewed because people on insulin are often sicker to begin with, while the trials tested people who already had Alzheimer's. Mounjaro has no Alzheimer's trial results yet.
The bottom line: these drugs still help with weight, blood sugar, and in the case of Ozempic, heart attacks and strokes. But for memory, the largest trials so far came up empty.
Sources and Notes
1. THE HEALTH-RECORDS STUDY
- Xu R and colleagues, Case Western Reserve University. Seven emulated target trials in 1,094,761 US adults with type 2 diabetes and no prior Alzheimer's diagnosis, followed for 3 years. Semaglutide versus insulin: hazard ratio 0.33 (95% CI 0.21 to 0.51) for a first Alzheimer's diagnosis. Versus other GLP-1 drugs: 0.59 (0.37 to 0.95). Observational, so it shows a link, not cause.
doi.org/10.1002/alz.14313
2. THE TRIALS (evoke and evoke+)
- 3,808 people aged 55 to 85 with amyloid-confirmed mild cognitive impairment or mild Alzheimer's dementia, randomized to oral semaglutide 14 mg or placebo for up to 156 weeks at 566 sites in 40 countries. Most did not have diabetes.
- Change in CDR-SB at week 104, semaglutide versus placebo: evoke 2.3 versus 2.3 (difference -0.08, 95% CI -0.35 to 0.20); evoke+ 2.2 versus 2.1 (difference +0.10, -0.17 to 0.38). The authors conclude it was not efficacious.
doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(2…
3. THE POOLED ANALYSIS
- Meta-analysis of seven randomized trials, 4,132 participants with Alzheimer's or mild cognitive impairment, about 92% of them from evoke and evoke+: no cognitive benefit and no slowing on CDR-SB.
doi.org/10.1002/trc2.70334
- The liraglutide ELAD trial (204 people, 52 weeks) also missed its primary outcome.
doi.org/10.1038/s41591-025-0…
4. WHY THE TWO KINDS OF EVIDENCE CAN DISAGREE
- The records study asked whether people with diabetes on the drug were diagnosed less often. The trials asked whether the drug slows Alzheimer's once it has begun, mostly in people without diabetes. The records study matched patients on measured characteristics, but unmeasured differences between people prescribed insulin and people prescribed semaglutide can remain. No randomized trial has tested whether semaglutide prevents Alzheimer's.
A personalized cancer vaccine just delivered strong results in a large trial, yet Moderna's stock still fell more than 17% the same day.
Scientists sequence each patient's melanoma after surgery, create an mRNA vaccine from the mutations, and combine it with Keytruda. In a phase 3 trial of 1,137 patients, the risk of recurrence or death dropped 42%. After two years, 82% of patients were alive with no recurrence, compared with 70% in the Keytruda plus placebo group.
The catch is that the data leaked two days before the presentation, and some oncologists say the bar is higher than it appears. In a 2023 trial, Keytruda alone before and after surgery cut the risk of recurrence or worsening by a similar amount. The patients and setup were different, but the vaccine now has to show it adds more than a well-established drug on its own.
It is not approved yet, it is not clear whether it helps people live longer, and the full data will be available tomorrow (Saturday) at the ESMO cancer meeting in Madrid.
BREAKING: $MRNA has crashed 25% today as its cancer vaccine data leaked online before Saturday's presentation.
The leaked data reportedly shows a 42% lower risk of recurrence or death vs Keytruda alone, but the stock is still crashing.
Just yesterday, the stock hit its highest level in almost 5 years.
At 35, you may feel young, but the arteries feeding your heart may already be changing almost twice as fast as they will at 55.
That comes from a study of more than 25,000 microscope slides from 970 adults ages 21 to 70. Researchers at Sanford Burnham Prebys and the NIH used an AI model to measure how 40 tissues change with age.
The coronary arteries changed fastest in the 30s. Pathologists' notes also showed early plaque rising most sharply between the 20s and 30s.
The bigger lesson: organs do not age on the same schedule. The uterus and vagina changed most in the 50s, around menopause.
This was an average across people, since each donor was seen only once, after death. Brain arteries were not included.
Your body does not age all at once. Your arteries start earlier than you think
Sources and Notes
1. THE PAPER
- Yadav, Sinha and colleagues at Sanford Burnham Prebys, the National Cancer Institute and the NICHD, Nature Aging, published 31 August 2026. They built PathStAR, which scores how tissue structure changes with age from routine pathology slides, without being trained to predict age.
doi.org/10.1038/s43587-026-0…
- Free full text. The image uses Fig. 4d (coronary artery against tibial nerve), CC BY 4.0, figure credited in part to BioRender (Alvarez, K.).
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/article…
· · · · ·
2. THE DONORS
- 25,306 post-mortem biopsy slides from 40 tissues in 970 donors aged 21 to 70, from the US GTEx tissue bank. 16,808 slides came from men and 8,498 from women, so about a third from women. Most samples come from donors over 45.
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/4267…
· · · · ·
3. WHAT THEY FOUND
- Vascular tissue, including the tibial and coronary arteries, had its highest structural aging rate in the 30s. In Fig. 4d the coronary rate at age 35 is about 0.24, almost twice its rate at 55 (about 0.13). The curves cover ages 30 to 60 and 15 of the 40 tissues.
- The pattern held after removing donors with systemic diseases. In the pathology notes, early plaque rose most steeply from the 20s to the 30s, then plateaued.
- The uterus and vagina changed fastest in the early and middle 50s, around menopause. The ovary had two peaks, at 35 to 40 and at 55 to 60.
- A 2025 Cell study of 516 samples from 13 tissues, which measured proteins and also examined tissue histology, found blood vessels among the tissues that age early.
doi.org/10.1016/j.cell.2025.…
· · · · ·
4. LIMITS
- Each donor was sampled once, after death, so these are averages across people rather than one person followed over time.
- The score measures change in structure. The authors say some change may be adaptation or neutral, and the paper doesn't test how well the arteries work.
- Ages are pooled in 10-year windows, and GTEx donors vary in health, ventilator use and time to sampling. Post-mortem factors explained under 10% of the rates in almost all tissues.
- Brain arteries weren't studied. Two authors, Yadav and Sinha, are named inventors on a related US provisional patent application. Funding came from a Sanford Burnham Prebys start-up fund and the NIH Intramural Research Program.
Americans are flying to Shanghai for a lung cancer pill that the FDA approved 15 months ago.
Max Doppelt did it for his mother. Her lung cancer had spread to her brain. The drug most likely to help her, sunvozertinib, had been sold in China since 2023 but was unavailable in the US. So he flew over and came home with 26 boxes. Nineteen months later, she is alive and still working. He says at least 30 Americans have made the same trip.
In the trial behind the US approval, the pill shrank tumors in 46 out of every 100 patients whose cancer had worsened after chemotherapy.
The holdup is business, not medicine. Dizal, the Shanghai company that makes it, had no US sales network, according to US oncologists in May. AstraZeneca licensed the drug in July for $600 million and says US sales will start this quarter.
An @FDA approval helps American patients only when a company actually sells the drug here.
In January 2025 my mom’s lung cancer spread to her brain. The drug with the best chance of helping her was approved in China but not here.
A doctor told me, almost as an aside, that if she were Chinese she could buy it at a pharmacy.
So I flew to Shanghai and came home with 26 boxes in my luggage. That was 19 months ago. My mom is still here, still working, and in her words has had an amazing three years.
The drug was approved in China in 2023. The FDA approved it in July 2025. It still is not for sale here. I know of at least 30 Americans who have made the same trip.
I have been scared to tell this story because I worried it could cost my mom access to the medicine keeping her alive. But the problem matters more than my silence. These drugs need to be developed and available here, and that means FDA reform.
Art Allen at KFF Health News told our story this week. It also ran in The Washington Post.
kffhealthnews.org/health-ind…
Sources and Notes
1. THE DRUG
- KFF Health News (20 Oct 2026) names the drug Max brought back from Shanghai: sunvozertinib (Zegfrovy), made by Dizal. Max told KFF he knows of at least 30 Americans who have made the trip.
kffhealthnews.org/health-ind…
- China approved it on 23 Aug 2023 for lung cancer with EGFR exon 20 insertion mutations after platinum chemotherapy.
biospace.com/dizal-s-sunvoze…
- FDA accelerated approval, 2 Jul 2025: confirmed response rate 46% (95% CI 35 to 57) in 85 patients on 200 mg, median response 11.1 months (WU-KONG1B).
fda.gov/drugs/resources-info…
2. WHY IT ISN'T SOLD HERE YET
- Ou, Nagasaka and colleagues (May 2026) describe it as approved but largely unavailable in the US, citing no US commercial presence, China-based manufacturing and tariffs.
dovepress.com/sunvozertinib-…
- AstraZeneca licensed worldwide rights in July 2026 ($600M upfront, up to $900M in milestones; closed 1 Sep) and says it will launch in the US in Q4 2026. An AstraZeneca spokesperson told KFF availability is expected by the start of 2027.
astrazeneca.com/media-centre…
3. BRINGING DRUGS HOME
- FDA's personal importation policy allows discretion for up to a 3-month supply of a drug for a serious condition when no effective treatment is available in the US, with a US doctor named. It isn't a license.
fda.gov/industry/import-basi…
4. LIMITS
- The approval is accelerated, based on tumor response in a single-arm trial. A phase 3 first-line trial (WU-KONG28, NEJM) showed progression-free survival of 10.3 vs 7.5 months against chemotherapy.
doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa260446…
Most of the cholesterol in your blood test never reaches your brain. The brain makes its own and holds about a quarter of all the cholesterol in your body.
That matters because this post is not really about a blood number. It is about where brain cholesterol goes and what happens when that system breaks.
In a Scripps-led study, researchers switched off single genes in millions of mouse brain cells, and an OpenAI model helped interpret the results. When DCTN1 was switched off, neurons increased the genes they use to make cholesterol.
DCTN1 is the gene disrupted in Perry syndrome, a rare inherited brain disease with parkinsonism, and the model pointed to a simple explanation: cholesterol delivery inside those neurons may have failed, so the cells tried to make more.
That fits older brain biology. Astrocytes make cholesterol for neurons and deliver it through APOE. In people of European ancestry, one copy of APOE4 roughly triples the risk of Alzheimer’s disease, while two copies raise it about 15-fold.
The DCTN1 idea is still only a preprint, with no lab test yet. But if it holds up, the takeaway is clear: in the brain, cholesterol is not just about how much there is. It is about where it goes.
GPT-Rosalind surfaced a new lead for drug discovery: could restoring cholesterol transport protect neurons from degeneration?
DCTN1 is a gene linked to Perry syndrome, a rare neurodegenerative disorder. In mouse-brain data, disrupting it increased expression of genes involved in making cholesterol. GPT-Rosalind suggested a possible explanation: cholesterol may not be reaching where neurons need it.
That gives scientists a specific mechanism to test and, if confirmed, a direction for developing new treatments for neurodegenerative disorders.
With @perturbai_tx and @scrippsresearch, a team of thousands of GPT-Rosalind agents worked in parallel, connecting gene-expression results from millions of mouse brain cells with scientific literature in just 32 minutes. We’re now expanding this collaboration to identify new drug targets.
openai.com/index/scaling-ai-…
Sources and Notes
1. THE TWO PAPERS
- Bilal, Mehra, Rogers and colleagues, Cleveland Clinic and IBM Research, Nature Communications, August 2026. An AI read 9,608 full overnight sleep studies from 9,297 sleep clinic patients and sorted them into five groups, then followed them in medical records. The image is their Figure 2A, CC BY 4.0, with plain labels and notes added.
doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-7…
- Thapa, Mignot, Zou and colleagues, Stanford, Nature Medicine. SleepFM learned from about 585,000 hours of sleep recordings and was tested on 5,019 Stanford sleep clinic patients.
doi.org/10.1038/s41591-025-0…
- Rachel Rowe's Nature News and Views on both, 12 October 2026.
doi.org/10.1038/d41586-026-0…
· · · · ·
2. WHAT THE AI READ
- Cleveland used 14 channels from in-lab sleep studies, including brain waves (EEG), heart rhythm (ECG), oxygen, airflow and breathing effort. Blanking the brain-wave or heart channels moved many patients into different groups.
· · · · ·
3. THE CLEVELAND NUMBERS
- 7,043 patients and 544 deaths in the death analysis. After adjusting for age, sex, BMI, other illnesses and the breathing-pause count (apnea-hypopnea index), the highest-risk group died at 2.38 times the rate of the lowest (95% CI 1.73 to 3.28). Leaving out patients prescribed CPAP, it was 1.76 (1.12 to 2.78).
- Compared with people with normal counts, people with mild, moderate or severe apnea by that count didn't die more often. Mild (0.71) and moderate (0.52) groups had lower death rates, and severe was 0.77 (0.58 to 1.02).
- The 6 in 100 and 18 in 100 by year 6 are read from Figure 2A, whose curves are weighted so the groups match on age, sex and other factors. Median follow-up was 4.4 years, so the later part of the curves rests on fewer people.
- In the Sleep Heart Health Study, a community group recorded at home, the highest-risk group died at 1.58 times the rate (1.07 to 2.32).
· · · · ·
4. THE STANFORD NUMBERS
- The C-index asks, for two patients where one died sooner, how often the model ranks that one higher. 0.5 is a coin toss. SleepFM, which saw the night plus age and sex, scored 0.84 for death (0.81 to 0.87). A small neural network given only age, sex, BMI and race or ethnicity scored 0.79 (0.75 to 0.82).
- For stroke, the four-fact model scored about the same as SleepFM's 0.78 (Supplementary Figure 11).
· · · · ·
5. LIMITS
- Both main groups were people sent to sleep clinics, who are sicker than the general public. Neither paper tested a watch, ring or headband, and no trial has tested whether acting on these scores helps.
One night of sleep can hint at how long you might live.
When doctors suspect sleep apnea, they send you for a sleep test. You spend the night wired up in a clinic, and the main score is simple: how many times an hour you stop breathing.
At Cleveland Clinic, that number did not predict who was more likely to die. An AI that read the rest of the night did. Using brain waves, heartbeat and breathing, it sorted about 9,300 patients into five risk groups.
Six years later, about 18 in 100 in the highest-risk group had died, versus 6 in 100 in the lowest. Even among people the same age and weight, with the same number of breathing stops, the highest-risk group still died at more than twice the rate.
Age, sex and weight do much of the work. At Stanford, a similar AI looked at pairs of patients where one died first and picked the right one 84 times out of 100. A simple model using only age, sex, weight and race got 79.
Both studies looked at people referred to sleep clinics, and neither tested a smartwatch or ring.
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If you wake up at night to pee and wonder when it is too much, one big Finnish survey puts the line at two.
This post has a million views and no numbers. In adults aged 18 to 79, one trip rarely bothered people, and quality of life dropped meaningfully from two on. Twice is common after 70. Roughly a third to over half of older adults do it, and up to about 1 in 6 adults aged 20 to 40.
Sometimes the cause is a blocked airway. In sleep apnea, breathing in against a closed throat is thought to stretch the heart, which releases a hormone that makes the kidneys pass more salt and water. In a small before-and-after study, 40 people with apnea who stuck with CPAP for three months went from 2.1 trips a night to 1.2.
Two or more trips is linked to about 27% higher risk of death in observational studies, or 1.6 extra deaths per 100 people over five years at 60. It is likely a marker of other illness.
If that is you, keep a three-day bladder diary for your doctor, and mention if you snore or wake up unrested.
86.7% skin cancer cure rate? Not quite. That headline comes from 13 spots out of 15 at one clinic in Boise, Idaho.
In a 2022 trial, two researchers there brushed vitamin C dissolved in DMSO, a solvent that soaks through skin, onto basal cell cancers twice a day. At 8 weeks, biopsies found no cancer left in 13 of 15, while a prescription cream cleared 8 of 14. In a second, not yet peer reviewed study, 15 of 27 squamous cell cancers confined to the skin's top layer cleared. That's the 56%.
Basal cell is the most common cancer in America, but it's also among the most curable. In a UK trial of 501 patients, surgery still worked for 98% of those followed to 5 years. With 15 and 14 spots, vitamin C's edge could be luck.
The squamous study only reports to 12 weeks, far too soon to know whether cancers come back. If a bigger trial holds up, a simple brush-on could spare some people surgery.
Until then, if you have a diagnosed spot, ask your dermatologist about treatments with at least 5 years of results.
Rectal cancer treatment can be brutal. But for a small group of patients, the FDA just approved a much lighter option.
Once rectal cancer has grown into nearby tissue or lymph nodes, treatment often means chemo, pelvic radiation and then surgery. Some people end up with a permanent bag.
In 2022, a Memorial Sloan Kettering team gave the immunotherapy drug Jemperli to 12 patients whose tumors had a DNA repair fault called mismatch repair deficiency. All 12 showed no sign of cancer when the team reported, and none needed surgery.
Yesterday, the @FDA approved Jemperli for the roughly 3% of these tumors with that fault. In a larger trial, about half to two-thirds of patients reached a year with no detectable cancer and no operation, depending on who was doing the counting.
The fault often runs in families. If you or a relative has colon or rectal cancer, ask whether the biopsy was tested for it.
FDA has granted accelerated approval of an immunotherapy for adults with previously untreated stage II or III locally advanced rectal cancer whose tumors are dMMR or MSI-H.
In a phase 2 study, almost three-fourths of patients did not need surgery, radiotherapy, or chemotherapy after a median follow-up of more than 2 years. For eligible patients, treatment may help avoid chemotherapy, radiation and surgery and their lasting effects.
This is the 11th approval under the Commissioner’s National Priority Voucher pilot program.
If antibiotics fail, the backup may be a virus. A San Francisco company says its AI redesigned one to kill bacteria, and a doctor gave it to a patient.
The virus is a phage. Felix d'Herelle named them in 1917, and doctors in Soviet Georgia kept using them after the West switched to antibiotics in the 1940s. The hard part is the match. Each phage kills only certain strains, so teams search collections for one that fits.
Radical Numerics says a cocktail of its redesigned phages killed the patient's resistant bacteria in the lab. A doctor then gave it under compassionate use, the route for unapproved treatments when options run out. The company calls it the first AI-designed virus given to a person.
It has not said whether the patient improved. If redesigned phages work in trials, treatment could be written for each infection instead of hunted for.
About 695,000 Americans died of heart disease last year. One of the biggest inherited cholesterol risks behind it is hiding in plain sight, on a blood test almost nobody gets.
It is Lp(a), a cholesterol particle your genes largely set for life. About 1 in 5 people have a high level, and genetic data suggest its heart risk, particle for particle, is nearly seven times that of LDL, the "bad cholesterol" on a routine blood test.
At the University of California's hospitals, only 0.3% of 5.6 million adults had it measured between 2012 and 2021. Even among patients with coronary heart disease, just 2.9% were tested.
Diet and exercise barely move it. The first big trial of a drug designed to lower it missed its main heart endpoint, with full results due on 7 November.
The current guidance is simple: test Lp(a) once in your life. If it is high, treat that as a warning to be much more aggressive about the risks you can change, especially LDL.
No drug is approved to lower Lp(a) yet. Five approved drugs lower it as a side effect, by about 20 to 37%, and the drugs built for it cut it by 70 to 100% in trials. I track them all in one place, with brand names for the US, UK, EU and India, and I'll update it after Novartis presents the full trial results on 7 November.
docs.google.com/spreadsheets…
If you've ever wondered whether eating less slows aging, eight people sealed inside a glass dome found out the hard way.
In 1991, they locked themselves into Biosphere 2—a three-acre greenhouse in the Arizona desert—for two years. The farm couldn't grow enough food, so they went hungry. Their doctor, Roy Walford, was a UCLA aging researcher who had made mice live up to 65% longer by underfeeding them, and he tracked everyone's blood. Within six months, cholesterol had fallen by a third, and blood pressure and blood sugar dropped too.
Almost no one can eat that little for years. Drugs like Ozempic and Mounjaro can do some of the work for you. People on Ozempic ate about a third less at an all-you-can-eat lunch, and Berkeley scientists showed this year that it slowed aging and extended life in old female mice, much as cutting calories does.
No trial has shown it slows aging in people yet. If one does, the oldest anti-aging result in the lab may come from a weekly dose of GLP-1.
In 1991 eight people were sealed inside three acres of glass in the Arizona desert to prove that a carefully designed farm could feed humans without the outside world, and the design had almost no room in it for animals. Two years later the only thing inside that had reliably fed them was a handful of goats.
Biosphere 2 cost a hundred and fifty million dollars. A rainforest, an ocean, a savannah and a farm under one roof, with the door welded shut for two years and nothing allowed in or out. The farm was the heart of it, and the farm was built on the modern idea: crops first, grown intensively, with livestock as an afterthought at the edges. A few African pygmy goats for milk, a flock of chickens, and four small feral pigs chosen because they could live on scraps.
The pigs did not last the year. In a sealed box short of calories a pig is a competitor, and the crew killed and ate them. The chickens barely laid, because the glass cut the light and there was nothing to feed them that would make an egg. That left the goats, and for two years the goats were the only source of fat in a world designed around vegetables.
The accounts the crew wrote afterwards return to them again and again. The half glass of milk a day was the thing people lived for. When a kid was born it was eaten and the meal was written up like a feast. The men lost nearly a fifth of their body weight, the women a tenth, and the food they dreamed of was never the sweet potatoes they had in abundance. It was the animal they had been given too few of.
The plants were also taking the air. To make the crops grow the soil had been enriched with compost, and the microbes in that soil breathed oxygen faster than anyone had calculated. The level fell from twenty-one per cent to fourteen, the air of a high mountain, until the crew could not climb a staircase without resting and oxygen had to be trucked in from outside. The design that put plants first had removed the thing everyone needed most.
Nobody has ever run the experiment the other way, with a herd at the centre and the crops at the edge. It would not have needed a doctor to explain the results.
They were given three acres and told to feed themselves on plants. They ate the pigs, worshipped the goats, and suffocated.
The hair-loss pill all over your feed is a 47-year-old blood pressure drug.
It is minoxidil, the stuff in Rogaine. Veradermics made a slow-release tablet, and in a trial of 536 men it grew about four times as much new hair as a placebo in six months. The catch: extra body hair in 9% of men on the higher dose.
Dermatologists already prescribe plain minoxidil tablets off-label, and no trial has put the new pill up against them. The women's trial reports next year.
If you are losing hair, ask your dermatologist about the old tablet now instead of waiting for the new one.




















