A stock just fell 12% in a week. Bargain, or the start of something worse?
Nina's stock page shows:
1. Distance to support (where buyers stepped in before) and resistance
2. RSI near 30, the usual oversold line
3. 50-day average vs. the 200-day
4. Days to earnings: a report can break any level
Not ready? Let set a Sentry.
Earnings week. When a report lands matters as much as what's in it.
Check before each one:
· Pre-market or after the close: that's when the move shows up
· The EPS (earnings per share) estimate
· Next-quarter guidance, which often moves the stock more than EPS
· How close the stock sits to support going in
A Sentry catches the reaction.
Most bad trades go wrong before you hit buy.
The path to a trade in Nina:
1. The feed says why each stock is there
2. Pick the product. A tokenized stock tracks the price. A TradFi perp adds leverage and can be liquidated.
3. Before you confirm: order type, margin mode, leverage, fees, liquidation price
Polymarket now gives a Fed rate hold 93.5% odds.
The Fed decides Oct 28. Odds of no change rose from 87.5% (Oct 22) to 93.5%, and a 25 bps hike fell from 11.5% to 5.5%.
Kalshi prices the hold at 94%.
Is there any data left that could flip it?
Buyers put $361.3M into $TSLA on report day. Then Tesla beat estimates ($0.48 a share vs $0.45 expected) and its @HyperliquidX perp slid 4.64%, from $386.47 to $368.54. $IBM also beat and slid 5.32%.
@Polymarket odds Netanyahu is PM after Israel’s Oct 27 vote: 26.5%, down from 30.5% (Oct 16).
Odds $BTC drops to $82,000 by Oct 25: 77.5%. BTC: $82,416.
The most-traded prediction market in Nina's feed today: will the Fed change rates on Oct 28? $1.61M traded.
Polymarket: 88.5% no change, 11.5% a 25 bps hike. The Fed already hiked in September.
December flips it: 77.5% for a hike.
Nina's Predict tab shows odds, volume, what could move them, and a Sentry that alerts you when they do.
$MU fell 0.98% Tuesday, yet buyers beat sellers by $173.0M, the most on Nina’s radar. $NVDA got the most selling: $365.5M.
$MU closed at $896.07, $38.07 above key support at $858.
Polymarket odds the Bank of Canada hikes rates Oct 28: 71.5%, up from 18.6% (Oct 16).
$BTC is $82,758. Odds it hits $85K in October: 60.5%. To drop to $80K: 55.5%.
$NVDA rose Monday, yet sellers beat buyers by $355.1M, the most on Nina's radar.
The most buying went to $TSLA: +$359.6M, a day before earnings (Oct 21).
Polymarket odds that $BTC falls to $80K in October: 69.5%, up from 65.0% (Oct 16). BTC is $81,719, 2.1% above.
Bolsonaro's odds to win Brazil's Oct 25 runoff: 76.95%, down from 82.95% (Oct 15).
Every chip name on Nina's radar fell Friday. But the money didn't leave evenly.
Net selling: $NVDA −$291.5M, $INTC −$194.0M, $AVGO −$187.5M
Net buying: $QCOM +$56.3M, $LRCX +$54.3M, $TSM +$51.6M
LRCX reports Oct 21 and closed just $0.80 above key support at $263.14.
Also: Fed October no-hike odds hit 87.5%. BTC holds near $82.7K.
$TSLA reports Oct 21. Over the weekend, tokenized TSLA traded 0.8% above Friday's $354.72 close, after a 7.3% drop last week.
A weekend move says little about the business. Nina's long-term read: ROIC 2.96%, 10.91 points below its cost of capital.
What's next? Ask Nina.
PPI: +6.3% y/y vs. 5.3% expected. Fed October hike odds fell anyway: 23.5% → 14.5%.
Where the money went:
In: Crypto stocks +$374M, 17 of 20 up. AI hardware flipped to +$1.11B net buying, a day after −$2.13B.
Out: Energy −$103M, 0 of 8 up.
Three to watch:
$MU: from the pool's top net seller to its top net buyer (+$492M). Held support. Now $858.
$TSM: beat by 3.4%, fell 1.8%, closed under old support $423.39. Next: $407.13.
$DELL: net bought 11.3% of volume — and −6.8%. Support $452.42, 4.4% below.
Polymarket:
$BTC above $82K priced 17.5% → settled Yes (the day before: 89% → No). Today's line: 59.5%, spot $85 above.
Most traders watch one market and miss the other two.
The new Nina, all three markets in one app:
- Top moves across all 3
- Prediction markets: fair price? Break-even after fees?
- What whales are buying
- TradFi perps on Hyperliquid
- Sentry keeps watching
$TSLA perp open interest is up 2.4x since Tesla unveiled its “flying” Roadster.
Tesla showed the new Roadster at a SpaceX site in Texas on 10/15: thrusters, a flip, a landing. US markets were already closed, so the first reaction hit Hyperliquid’s 24/7 $TSLA perp.
• Price: $362.44 close → $379.77, +4.8%. Premarket shares sit at $379 too, so it isn’t just the perp.
• First hour after the reveal: $45.7M traded. Most hours the day before: about $1M.
• Open interest: 114K → 271K contracts (~$103M). The new positions alone are bigger than the whole market was.
• Funding: stuck at the 0.000625%/hr floor for days, now 0.0046%/hr, ~40% annualized (peak 58%). Longs are paying shorts to stay in, so the new money leans long.
Next: $388.56 resistance is 2.3% away, and markets price a $390 touch this month at 79%. A close above it clears the recent high; back under $362 gives the move back. Then earnings 10/21 after the close.
🤖 Made with AI
Hot CPI (core 2.6% vs. 2.5 expected). Nasdaq −1.9%. 100 of 138 radar names fell — and the money ran to healthcare.
Where the money went:
In: Healthcare +$778M, 13 of 13 up. $AAPL alone +$697M.
Out: Chips −$1.13B, 13 of 13 down — back to selling a day after +$141M. Memory −$770M.
Three to watch:
$TSM: reports before the bell today. Net selling rose to 22.6% of volume. Support $423.39, 1.5% below.
$MU: the pool's top net seller (−$600M), −16% on the week. Closed $0.57 above support at $913.56.
$ORCL: −8.8%, net selling 30.8% of volume, highest in the pool. Support $129.23, 1% below.
@Polymarket : three of four CPI favorites missed, all on the low side. Fed October hike 19.5% → 23.5%; January 29.5% → 40.5%.
$BTC closed the 16:00 UTC fix at ~$81.7K: the $82K line, priced 89%, settled No.
Where the money went:
In: Software +$691M, $MSFT alone +$391M. Chips flipped to net buying (+$141M) a day after −$754M.
Out: Healthcare −$409M, Space −$382M (nearly all $SPCX, −4.2%).
Three to watch:
$ASML: reports before the bell today. Net sold two days running. Support $1,584.54, 7.8% below.
$TSM: reports tomorrow. Net selling hit 16.4% of volume, even as it closed +0.2%. Support $413.88.
$MSFT: top net buyer (+$391M). RSI 70.8, 1.4% under resistance at $551.15.
Sept CPI, 8:30am ET: headline y/y 3.6% vs 3.7% is 41.5% vs 40.5%. Core y/y market says 2.4% (44%); consensus says 2.5. Fed October hike: 19.5%, flat. WTI to $100 in October: 35% → 49.5%.
A coin jumps 10%. Real buyers, or just leverage? 👀
Most traders find out after the move. Nina shows you what's driving it: funding, open interest, ETF flows and sentiment, turned into signals every 4 hours.
Tap any coin for the full read. Trade the perp, or let Nina watch.
The S&P barely moved (−0.06%). Underneath, AI hardware got sold across the board: chips, storage, optics and power — 31 names, zero green.
Where the money went:
Out: Chips −$754M, Storage −$606M, Optics −$355M. Software flipped to net selling (−$263M) a day after taking +$1.16B.
In: $SPCX alone +$218M; Energy +$62M as WTI rose 1.5% to $93.
Three to watch:
$NVDA: top net seller for a 4th tracked session (−$488M). −5.3% on the week. Support $211.16.
$LITE: −9.8% on no company news; −$175M net selling. Still #3 on momentum.
$GS: reports before the bell today. Net selling hit 24.6% of volume going in. Support $868.52, 2.8% below.
Fed October hike: 16.5% → 19.5%, on $1.59M volume (3.5x the day before). CPI prints Oct 14, 8:30am ET. Headline m/m 0.6% at 53.5%; core y/y 2.4% at 45.5%.
CPI prints Wednesday. Polymarket has headline running hot and core running cool — and trades 13x more on the Fed than on the number.
Last close, the money moved:
Storage flipped back to net selling (−$513M, $MU −$429M). Chips −$704M.
Software took +$1.16B; 17 of 19 rose.
Three to watch:
$PLTR: +5.2% to $209.05 on +$448M net buying (25% of volume). Flagged overheated, 0.25% under resistance.
$NVDA: still the pool's top net seller (−$452M). Price now following: −3.4% over two sessions.
$TMUS: −13.3% to a one-year low on SpaceX's spectrum buy — yet net buying +$41M. Support $147.90, 0.5% below.
CPI books: headline m/m 0.6% at 48% (30.5% three days ago); core y/y 2.4% at 42% (34.5%).
Fed October hike: 16.5%.
$BTC above $84K today: 27.5% → 41.5%, spot $83.5K. Settles noon ET.












