Dad x5, creativity maximalist, bitcoiner. Conjecture Institute. The Sovereign Child - free pdf - https://xitter.cf/t.co/b50YBqBq5V

Massachusetts
Joined October 2008
It’s a terrible prediction. People today have far more access to criticism of the dominant narrative. Yes, it means more kooks get their views out, but it also means people are more difficult to control and propagandize. Anyone who really wants to know what’s going on has never had it better.
I’m always wowed by this Sagan prediction
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Freedom isn’t incompatible with human nature. It’s incompatible with compulsory school.
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Including kids, hence a true commitment to the West includes allowing kids authorship of their own lives now, not after some training or initiation period.
The West, or perhaps only the Anglosphere, is the historically unique idea that individuals exist not for the sake of their ruler, their class, their society, their ancestors, their gods, or any other such superstition, but for their own sake.
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Taking Children Seriously rightly holds that raising children without coercion is possible and desirable. I argue that fixating on “You shall not coerce” can be corrosive. Better to seek fun as a family, solve problems together, and care—with noncoercion as a by-product.
Beyond Avoiding Coercion ~Conjecture Institute Fellow @CABedardPhysics CHAPTERS 00:00 Introduction 00:48 What is Taking Children Seriously? 01:54 Between neglect and control 03:01 Helping a child explore safely 04:14 When avoiding coercion becomes self-condemnation 08:07 Good parenting goes beyond avoiding coercion 09:09 Have fun and solve problems as a family 11:32 Children choosing to contribute 12:26 Q&A: responsibility and helping others 14:57 Q&A: where is the boundary of coercion? 18:31 Q&A: resources and solving family problems
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I’m even worse - I welcome cognitive biases, such as wishful thinking. Thinking must start from somewhere, and my own preferences are a reasonable “anchor.” Eliminating biases is eliminating thought. Better to accept the biases and eliminate error.
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“The world may never know the names of countless ordinary heroes” We are unimaginably fortunate to be on this side of the Enlightenment. It’s definitely not done, and we owe it to these heroes and to our progeny to expand it.
On January 8, 1888, 19-year-old Kate Kampen gave birth to her son, Henry Royal Kampen, alone in a freezing sod cabin on the Dakota prairie. Her husband, Wilhelm, had left the previous day to travel 23 miles to Parker for coal and food, unaware that their baby would arrive while he was gone. With their supplies nearly exhausted, the coal bin empty, and no doctor or midwife nearby, Kate faced an unimaginable situation. She wrapped her newborn in every scrap of cloth she could find, climbed into bed, and held him against her bare skin, using her own body heat to keep him alive. She had no way of knowing that an even greater danger was approaching. On January 12, the devastating Children’s Blizzard swept across the Great Plains, bringing ferocious winds, blinding snow, and temperatures plunging far below zero. Hundreds of people were caught in the storm, and 235 lives were lost. Wilhelm was stranded in the open prairie when the blizzard struck. After his horses collapsed, he stumbled toward shelter and eventually crawled into a barn, where he survived for three days by huddling among pigs for warmth. Meanwhile, Kate remained in the cabin, holding Henry close through the freezing nights, with no fire, no help, and no certainty that her husband would ever return. For days, her own warmth and determination became her newborn’s only protection against the deadly cold. When the storm finally passed, Wilhelm made his way home, frostbitten and barely able to stand, but alive. He built a fire, and the cabin slowly warmed again. Kate and Henry had survived against extraordinary odds. The couple went on to raise seven children, build a life on the prairie, and Kate lived into her nineties. Her story is a powerful reminder that courage does not always announce itself with grand gestures. Sometimes, it is a frightened young mother lying in the darkness, refusing to let go of her child. The world may never know the names of countless ordinary heroes, but their extraordinary acts of love and survival deserve to be remembered.
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If defending the West makes even a small part of you cringe (it does to me), then there’s work to do. Conquer the cringe.
🛡️Defend the West Conference🛡️ WHEN: 1/13/2027 WHERE: Online Over 300 people have registered so far. Speakers include: @DavidM_Friedman @sapinker @SRCHicks @yaronbrook @alananewhouse @johanknorberg @DeirdreMcClosk @michaelshermer @ToKTeacher @jasoncrawford Nadine Strossen Save your spot (link below)
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I’d love an example of a psychologist/psychiatrist or other expert acknowledge the obvious - kids use screens because they’re goddamned amazing! Before we invoke brain diseases, can we consider for a minute that screens open up the entire world of knowledge, entertainment, and a huge amount of creative expression? Imagine interpreting kids’ widespread obsession with such magical devices as a form of illness? Degradation of society? Seriously? If anyone has a mental disorder, it’s the experts who can’t see the usefulness and amazingness of screens. I’m of course in favor of kids having a full, rich life that includes more than screens. But if the alarmists want that so badly, then build a world that is more oriented towards kids. Right now, it’s an adult-designed world where kids can’t escape adult supervision and roam free. Instead, adults have tasked themselves with additional supervisory duties, including their kids’ “mental health.” Imagine having someone trying to optimize your mental health? Make me puke. Just leave me alone to pursue my own interests and I’ll be just fine thank you. (And also, please show me a child expert, besides the standout Peter Gray, who doesn’t pathologize all kids based on the very few horror stories that they encounter in their personal practice.) nytimes.com/2026/10/09/opini…
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College increasingly a place you go to get confused, the more elite the worse the confusion.
A senior at Harvard observes “a narrative emerging among young people that more than just consent is required to make a sex act ethical.” “In the Cornell Daily Sun, a student says fraternities function as ‘a market, where women are seen as commodities.’” “A Dartmouth contributor lambasts frat culture where brothers ‘humiliate and degrade’ and that teaches ‘men to treat women and each other like subhuman objects.’” “The emerging picture is of a sexual ethic that cannot be satisfied simply by one liberal-autonomous agent assenting to the action of another. The new ethic requires upholding the dignity and respect of the human being involved. Respecting women is incompatible with drug-fueled orgies where the ‘shop’ is ‘open,’ regardless of how consensual said orgy may or may not be.”
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Oh no, more wealth extraction!
We announced an agreement to acquire a nationwide low-band spectrum license portfolio that will pave the way for @Starlink to become a major mobile carrier in the US. With this new spectrum and our Gen2 constellation, Starlink Mobile can ensure Americans have access to high-speed mobile broadband no matter where they are → spacex.com/updates#starlink-…
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Odd how the latest thing is whether or not one admits it's a genocide. I wonder what the thing will be next year. Either way, I'll still be supporting Israel.
Oct 7 was clarifying for me. As @DouglasKMurray said it was like a flare went up and you could see where everyone was standing.
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Conjecture Institute is rolling, quick 8 min explainer.
Conjecture Institute Update Cofounder @DKedmey explains applied optimism and our four pillars — Conjecture Forum, Conjecture University, Conjecture Press, and Conjecture Studios — and shares our plans for 2027. CHAPTERS 00:00 Introduction: Applied Optimism 00:47 Thank you to Zcash 01:17 The four pillars of Conjecture Institute 01:54 Conjecture Forum and conferences 02:34 Conjecture University and courses 04:22 Research, Fellows, and Spotlight Articles 05:56 Conjecture Press and Studios 06:59 Plans for 2027 07:20 Vision for a modern Institute for Advanced Studies 07:49 Thanks to the donors and team 08:23 The West can win
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Book > minivan >> film
People who have seen The Odyssey on film, how does it rank compared to the book and the minivan?
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Which nation is fighting jihadism with more bravery and resolve?
All of us in the free world benefit from Israelis' bravery and resolve in the fight against jihadism. We should be grateful, inspired and forthright in our support.
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Aaron Stupple retweeted
Wonderful to see @arjunkhemani continuing to push the frontier and impress.
My conversation with @aubreydegrey, a biomedical gerontologist, founder of the LEV Foundation, and author of Ending Aging. Timestamps: 0:00 - SENS vs. the Hallmarks of Aging 2:47 - The Robust Mouse Rejuvenation experiment 5:48 - Is SENS falsifiable? 7:12 - Breaking down extracellular matrix damage 10:28 - VEGF and extending lifespan in mice 11:37 - Why longevity studies rarely get replicated 13:05 - Michael Levin, bioelectricity & aging as information loss 15:03 - Is partial reprogramming overhyped? 17:32 - The most neglected areas of longevity research 18:56 - Longevity escape velocity explained 20:28 - Will people alive today live long enough? 23:42 - How far are we from dramatically extending mouse lifespan? 24:54 - What happens to society if we solve aging? 27:20 - How longevity could reshape the global economy 28:44 - Does mortality give life meaning? 30:00 - Aubrey on the “pro-aging trance” 31:34 - What Aubrey would do after solving aging
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The opportunity costs of not taking your own freedom seriously is enormous.
when i was a teen i was a little emo, and i think it was because i felt like i didnt control anything important about my life. looking back with knowledge now, there were a nearly infinite number of higher agency paths i could have taken. my life was always more free than i knew
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Disproportionality.
A passenger on the Dubai–Tel Aviv flight recounts: “We are currently in Saudi Arabia. One of the crew members attacked the pilot with a knife and disabled the aircraft’s systems. Yaniv (pictured?) and another passenger stormed the cockpit and subdued the attacker. Luckily, there were two more pilots on board. They were the ones who managed to land the plane.” Well, yes. Overall, the probability that a plane full of Israelis will contain a trained assault team, two additional pilots, and, statistically, at least one cardiac surgeon, psychologist, lawyer, and diamond dealer is substantially higher than 50%.
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This episode is a colossal demonstration of the value of individualism over collectivism. I am responsible for my child, and I do my best to give them the best. And I expect everyone else to do the same. The alternative, collectivism, means that everyone is responsible for everyone else’s problems, as described by some central planner. Not only does this produce a mess, it CANNOT do otherwise, because no central planner can know how people should live their lives. One of the many layers of irony in this story is that this collectivist nonsense is not only taught, it is indeed practiced, perhaps nowhere more extremely, than in schools, institutions supposedly dedicated to propagating the values of the West. The West, which is able to spend $52k per public school student precisely because it identified the value of individualism. It’s worse than pissing it away, it is poisoning the well.
💔 “Why should my child be the one that’s rescued?” 💔 Why should I love my child more than I love every stranger’s child? Why should I try to do the best I can for my children even though there are parents who want to but can’t—and parents like NHJ who can but don’t want to?
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Aaron Stupple retweeted
who should rule?
Today is Ask a Stupid Question Day.
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Aaron Stupple retweeted
We have all the components for a Wonderist art movement just waiting to be painted. Where are the Thomas Morans of takeoffs? Where is the Boca Chica School??
i cannot believe this is a real photo
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