Today is a great day to grow

Seattle
Joined September 2012
Maybe you can survive the small waves by scrunching your eyes and plugging your nose. But when the Big Wave comes you just gotta stand up and surf
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927
Back to 6.1-sol for most life automation tasks since opus 5.5 keeps getting hobbled by guardrails like "I can't copy/paste your known traveler number into the airline booking form since it's a government ID"
6
16
1,294
3 weeks later and I bet if I re-did this the answer mix would look different! My personal estimate of a temporary internet blackout (to control an AI worm, or massive hacking of ~everything simultaneously by a motivated bad actor) is probably 30%.
The USA has never had a nationwide Internet blackout. What are the chances we have one in 2027?
69%<5%
21%5-20%
3%20-50%
6%50%+
62 votes • Final results
1
2
924
Deepseek makes $38 / gpu hr on tokens. What does that say about where the cost per gpu hr goes?
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2
22
5,952
If you're in open enrollment right now telling your agent "look at my last 3 years of medical claims and my available health plans and tell me which one is cheapest while covering my doctors" could save you literally thousands of dollars btw
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19
1,667
Lol Opus 5.5 completely refuses to copy/paste my driver's license number since it's an "official government identifier" but on the same form was happy to draw a signature for me and click "continue" ???
7
1
22
1,328
I think a lot of people don't realize how benevolent an AI benevolent dictator could be. "But being in control of my own destiny is more important than hedonic pleasure!" Bro under the benevolent AI dictator you'll be more in control of your destiny than under any other system
4
10
1,365
My team naturally evolved into this. We have 8 engineers and 4 major independent products/research streams. This wasn't a conscious decision; we just kept picking up high-value work until we felt we couldn't pick up more and that's the ratio we landed at for now.
Tired: Two-pizza teams Wired: Two-slice teams @danshipper on the best team structure in the AI-era
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2
14
2,436
btw this is what the final hours sprint to foom will feel like, except we'll be watching a different number go up
the saga continues good news: @0xdoug hit 2^(-15)! bad news: we missed the 12:44am target, based on my careful data analysis we will now have linear time integer multiplication at 6:44pm by popular demand, I removed the O(n) limit xitter.cf/0xdoug/status/21082183…
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2,091
@METR_Evals time for a new benchmark?
14
1,891
"yeah I have relatively long timelines. I expect humans to be employable for knowledge work for at least another 12 months"
8
31
2
938
27,294
The USA has never had a nationwide Internet blackout. What are the chances we have one in 2027?
69%<5%
21%5-20%
3%20-50%
6%50%+
62 votes • Final results
2
1
4
1,920
In the old world the natural size of a service was what could be built and maintained by a two-pizza team. In the new world the natural size of a service is what can fit in the head of the service's architect. Services are going to get a lot bigger.
4
4
939
harnessing the full power of Super Intelligence to design the world's cutest family chore chart
3
5
1,217
The Happy Paperclips Musical Theatre Troop Presents: "We Should Continue" (Hugging Face ensemble)
5
1
14
1,729