
CEO of @cpips23trading 💵💶💷 Trade Less, Win More. Stay humble 🙏🏻 A Veteran 16 years. Go NAVY. A Husband and Father. $TRUF
Virginia Beach, VA
Joined January 2022
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CPIPS23 retweeted
Chinese vehicle production is now DOWN about a million cars from its peak late last year ...
Which is remarkable given the scale of China's export boom
1/many
CPIPS23 retweeted
Chinamaxxing
🚨 CHINA IS FACING A GENERATIONAL CRISIS, AND THE NUMBERS ARE ABSOLUTELY TERRIFYING.
China's economy is struggling so badly that millions of young people are finding it almost impossible to build a stable future.
According to The Wall Street Journal, a generation that grew up believing hard work guaranteed success is now facing unemployment, layoffs, falling wages and growing financial pressure.
And the numbers are shocking.
• Youth unemployment among 16–24 year olds has reached nearly 19%, almost double the U.S. rate of 9%.
• Unemployment among 25–29 year olds stands at 7.5%, compared with China's overall rate of around 5%.
• A record 12.7 MILLION students graduated from Chinese colleges this year, entering an already struggling job market.
• China's urban employment is estimated to be 37 MILLION JOBS BELOW where it would have been if pre-pandemic job growth had continued.
• One Chinese economist estimates that the country's broader unemployment rate could actually be around 10%, nearly double the official figure.
But unemployment is only part of the problem.
China's property market collapse has destroyed jobs in construction, real estate and related industries.
Major technology companies, including Alibaba and ByteDance, have reportedly been cutting staff.
And now AI is making the situation even worse.
According to the WSJ, some of China's biggest employers privately estimated that AI could eliminate 30% OR MORE of their existing jobs.
A study covering 700 MILLION job postings found that AI has hit hiring demand particularly hard for workers with just 1–3 years of experience.
Even entry level jobs that once helped graduates start their careers are disappearing.
Meanwhile, the number of Chinese workers in temporary and gig jobs is expected to jump from 280 MILLION in 2025 to 320 MILLION in 2026.
That would represent more than 40% of urban employment.
And the impact is already spreading beyond the job market.
Young people are delaying marriage, avoiding having children and moving back in with their parents because they cannot afford to live independently.
Some are even giving up on traditional careers altogether.
China spent decades building an economy where each generation expected to become wealthier than the last.
Now millions of young people are questioning whether years of education and hard work are even worth it.
This is a serious problem for the world's second largest economy.
Weak employment means weaker consumer spending, fewer families being formed and even more pressure on China's already struggling property market.
The biggest danger for China isn't just slowing economic growth. It's an entire generation losing confidence in its economic future.
And if millions of young people continue to struggle to find stable jobs, China's economic problems could become much harder to fix.
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CPIPS23 retweeted
Nothing can replace the millennia-enduring allure of alchemy. What an incredible time to be alive.
Last month, we demonstrated high-rate alchemy: turning mercury into real, stable gold, beating CERN’s record by a factor of 10.
Last week, we enriched isotopes in the world’s most powerful plasma centrifuge, beating the Soviet record that stood for 40 years.
Now, we’re building a fusion reactor in San Francisco to achieve record power density.
CPIPS23 retweeted
Three weeks ago I published The Great Convergence. The idea was simple: money, assets and software are moving onto the same digital rails, and the companies that make those rails safe and easy to use will become very valuable.
Today we got another confirmation.
Axios reports Visa is in late stage talks to buy Fireblocks for about $2.5B. Fireblocks says the report is "not true at present time," and Visa declined to comment. The deal may or may not happen. The logic behind it is the point.
Fireblocks is the plumbing banks use to hold and move stablecoins: the wallets, the security keys, the approval rules. BNY, Worldpay and Revolut run on it. It handled $6T of stablecoin volume in 2025. Twelve major European banks, including BNP Paribas, ING and UniCredit, chose it to power the euro stablecoin they plan to launch.
Visa does not issue cards. Banks do. What Visa really provides is trust: it sits between banks and merchants and makes sure money arrives where it should. That role was built for cards. As money moves onto new rails, Visa needs the same seat there.
Mastercard reached the same conclusion and closed its purchase of BVNK in August.
The largest payment networks in the world are no longer asking whether stablecoins matter. They are buying the rails.
That is what convergence looks like in practice.
Full piece 👇
We tend to treat these as separate stories. Bitcoin. Stablecoins. Tokenization. AI. AI agents.
Look at them together and a different picture appears.
The dollar is already onchain. More than $300 billion of stablecoins moved $11 trillion last year, and stocks, bonds and funds are starting to follow.
At the same time, AI agents are learning to do work on their own. They will need to pay for things at any hour, often in amounts too small for a card. Money that moves like software is built for exactly that.
Seventeen years of building the pieces without the picture on the box. I think they are starting to fit.
Link:michaelnicoletos.substack.co…
#AI #AIagents #Blockchain #Tokenization #Stablecoins #RWA #USD #Banking #Payments #Bitcoin
CPIPS23 retweeted
Senior Iranian Security Official: Iran assumes an attack by the US and Israel and considers US diplomatic gestures invalid - Fars News
CPIPS23 retweeted
China’s Economy Is Rotting From the Inside
Millions of Chinese homes were sold before they were built—and some buyers are now living in unfinished buildings while still paying their mortgages.
These “rotten-tail buildings” are a chilling symbol of China’s real estate collapse. How did China’s housing boom turn into a nightmare, and can the CCP fix an economic crisis that’s still dragging the country down?
CPIPS23 retweeted
SpaceX just posted $14.6B of Q3 revenue (+161% YoY), launched its first revenue-generating Starship mission and set up Flight 15’s attempt at full vehicle recovery.
Now @elonmusk attention turns to Tesla earnings today.
The Truflation crowd and analysts both sit near $0.45 non-GAAP EPS. Do you agree?
Make your prediction before settlement 👇
predict.truflation.com/marke…
$TSLA
CPIPS23 retweeted
Everyone has an opinion. What is yours?
Tesla’s next earnings report (Q3 2026) is this Wednesday, October 21.
Tesla 🤝 flying car(s).
What do you think Tesla's earnings per share will be?
Link: truflation.com/markets/eps-t…
CPIPS23 retweeted
This Pakistan peace proposal just means US/Iran won't escalate, not a peace proposal
CPIPS23 retweeted
The US Department of Energy to invest $967 million in funding for upgrades to the power grid
CPIPS23 retweeted
Foreign Minister of Pakistan: Mediation to reduce tension between Tehran and Washington continues - ISNA
CPIPS23 retweeted
TRUF NETWORK was at Token2049.
We met investors, market makers, partners, traders and new friends. The feedback was extremely positive.
Prediction markets are infrastructure, not a product feature. We will be sharing very soon how we enable brands to become the venue. 👀 $TRUF
CPIPS23 retweeted
JUST IN: Matthew McConaughey sparks speculation he could run for president as an independent in 2028, declaring “Independents belong in the fight.”
CPIPS23 retweeted
Excellent Read
On my way to the office this morning, I passed a group of young people protesting, a Palestinian flag draped over their shoulders.
And I asked myself a question I can't shake: why does this generation always fall into the same trap? No matter the history. No matter the context. Even the ones from wealthy families, who went to the best schools, who were dealt every good card. Always the same trap.
I don't think it's stupidity. I think it's a mechanism. And a mechanism can be taken apart, piece by piece.
A. The observation: everything the state touches becomes unaffordable.
Look at economist Mark Perry's famous chart, the one people call "the chart of the century." It tracks US prices since 2000.
At the top, what explodes: hospital services, college tuition, textbooks, childcare, housing. Increases of +100%, +150%, up to +250%, far above general inflation.
At the bottom, what collapses: TVs, software, phones, toys, clothing. A TV today costs a fraction of what it did in 2000, for an infinitely better product.
Look at what separates the two groups. It isn't technology. It isn't complexity. It's one variable: how much the state is involved.
At the top, sectors that are subsidized, regulated, shielded from competition, where the state funds demand and blocks supply. At the bottom, sectors where companies fight every single morning to serve you better and cheaper.
B. The mechanism: why it's systematic.
When the state subsidizes demand without freeing supply, prices rise. Every time. Guaranteed student loans, and universities raise tuition. Housing aid plus blocked building permits, and rents skyrocket. Administered healthcare, and bureaucracy eats the budget before it ever reaches the patient.
In France it's even more vicious, because the price doesn't disappear: it hides. You never see the hospital bill, you pay it through payroll contributions. You never see the cost of school, you pay it through taxes. Public spending at 57% of GDP, one of the heaviest tax burdens in the world, more than €3.4 trillion in debt. And the result? Overflowing ERs, falling PISA scores, young people who can't afford to live in the city where they work.
The market didn't fail in these sectors. It was never allowed in.
C. Suffering demands a culprit.
A 22-year-old lives all of this in their bones. They can't find a place to live. Their degree either buries them in debt or opens no doors. The future feels blocked. That suffering is real, and I don't deny it for a second.
But human beings can't stand suffering without a culprit. They need a face. A scapegoat.
And this is where everything is decided: who taught them how to read the world?
D. Whoever tells the story picks the villain.
Schools are public. Universities are public. Culture runs on grants. Film goes through funding committees. Public broadcasting shapes the narratives. The people handing down the interpretive framework are, overwhelmingly, paid by the very system that creates the problem.
Do you really think that system is going to name itself as the culprit?
No. It names the capitalist. The boss. The landlord. "The rich." The multinational. The commercial West. Same role, same casting, every time.
E. One lens, a thousand causes.
And this brings me back to that flag. A generation taught to read every situation through a single lens, oppressor on one side, rich, Western, capitalist, oppressed on the other, will apply that lens everywhere. To housing. To climate. To conflicts on the other side of the world. The cause changes, the lens stays. That's why the trap is always the same: it's not the cause that draws them in, it's the way of thinking that was installed in them.
F. The perfect inversion.
Here's the irony. Capitalism is the force that drove down the price of almost everything it touched. The state is the force that blew up the price of almost everything it captured. And young people blame the first for the crimes of the second.
It's like blaming the firefighter for the fire because you saw him at the scene.
G. The ballot box confirms it.
In the US, a few weeks out from the midterms, a large share of urban young voters is getting ready to vote Democrat for more state, more spending, more regulation. New York elected a self-described socialist mayor, carried by young voters, on promises of rent freezes and city-run grocery stores. Rent freezes, the policy that has made housing scarcer everywhere it's been tried. The cure that worsens the disease.
In France, it's the same play in two acts. Part of the youth votes for the radical left, which promises more state. Another part votes for the center, which promises to "manage" the state well, and has dug the debt deeper than ever. Two different ballots, one shared assumption: the problem is the market, the solution is the state.
H. The way out.
These young people aren't stupid. They're right to be angry. They're just aiming at the wrong target.
The day they understand that their rent, their tuition and their hospital are expensive precisely because the state runs them, their anger will change direction. They'll stop protesting against those who create. They'll start protesting against those who capture.
That day, the greatest intellectual scam of our time will be over.


























