A few of my thoughts on hard-to-understand issues. The only reason I write is to help awaken everyone from their slumber.

Sydney, Australia
Joined December 2008
Great chat with @DeSpencer_ thank you for having me on . Folks should keep an eye out for my new essay on how US transitions to gold back bonds , revaluing its reserves and resetting UST & US debt - due out in the next few days
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I spent 35 years building banking systems for banks worldwide, including central banks. I know how banks decide where their money goes. When you build systems, you have to make them work, so you have to know how they work. The Basel Committee de-industrialised the countries that adopted its rules. It's that simple: I explain the whole complicated mechanism in my essay. They simply regulated it away because that was the most profitable thing to do. It was implemented in such a systemic global way, and nobody seemed to notice Capital is what a bank must hold before it can lend, the way a manufacturer or miner must hold supplies before it can sell. No miner doubles their costs to serve one group of customers. But that's what the banking system does to miners and manufacturers. Since 1988, the Basel rules have required banks to hold twice the capital against a factory loan as against a home loan, and under Basel III the gap reaches five times. So banks lend less to industry and more against houses. It should be stopped tomorrow. Manufacturing's share of GDP fell in ten of the eleven countries I examined. In Australia it fell from 13.7% to 5.4%. Every other country that followed fell as well. The only truly crafty ones were the Koreans, who did a good job of offsetting it. Regulators were warned in writing that the rule would steer credit, and they adopted it anyway. No parliament voted for it, and it's simply too dumb to keep doing, but we do . Not today; there is no justification. Yet from India, across Europe, across the US, including Australia, sanctions against industrial capacity. Financialization has gone too far it needs to be reviewed . The charge is manslaughter by gross negligence. The mechanism is proven. Same Rules, Different Ruins:ctindale.substack.com/p/same…
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I don’t care how he did it or whether it’s applicable to a Tesla in the future, he just had a car driven upside down using a fan suction system and then it did a 200ft kick flip for a horizontally landing that had perfect forward momentum . It heralds a lot more to come .
BREAKING: Tesla's Roadster flips off a ramp and hovers back to the ground. "Flying cars are real."
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This guy burnt his ex’s house to the ground , killing all her pets and didn’t get a prison sentence ? What is happening is a disconnection between those who govern and normal folk . They apply their own standards and ideology independently of public expectation . smh.com.au/national/nsw/how-…
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1/ In Jul 1988 the Basel Committee published capital rules giving home loans a 50% risk weight and company loans 100%. With an 8% minimum, banks needed $4 per $100 lent on a house and $8 per $100 lent to a firm: twice the capital.
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11/ The tests: at the adoption dates in Germany the mortgage share of lending turned upward and the gap between business and mortgage lending narrowed; in India lending moved from industry to housing. They do not show that the weights caused factory decline.
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12/ The harm was foreseeable, and it was foreseen. "The mechanism is proven. The malice is not." "The Basel Committee de-industrialised the countries that adopted its rules." Read the essay: ctindale.substack.com/p/same…
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You might remember a while back I wrote some essays on enterprise inertia , the inertia that is required for society , business and people individually to make a major change , a company might still want to keep your accounting system and accountant not move to AI etc . You like your cleaner you don’t want to change to a robot . You’d rather drive your own car .
💣 اعتراف صادم من سام ألتمان: "توقعاتي كانت خاطئة تماماً.. رغم تطوير الذكاء الاصطناعي، لم يتغير العالم قيد أنملة، ونحن نواجه التزامات مالية بـ 100 تريليون دولار، ونواجه قضايا من كل اتجاه. بصراحة، قد نكون في ورطة حقيقية!" 📉🤯 ​الرجل الذي روّج طويلاً لفكرة أن "الذكاء الاصطناعي سيسرق كل الوظائف ويعيد تشكيل العالم بين عشية وضحاها" يرفع الراية البيضاء ويعترف بالحقيقة المرة: ​وهم التغيير السريع: "كنت أعتقد أن إطلاق GPT-4 سيقلب قطاع البرمجيات رأساً على عقب في لمح البصر.. لكن الواقع كان مختلفاً تماماً، لقد أخطأت في تقدير سرعة تغير المجتمع." ​القصور الذاتي للبشر (Inertia): استخف ألتمان بمدى "كسل" الاقتصاد والمجتمع البشري. مهما كان الذكاء الاصطناعي خارقاً، فالناس يستيقظون ويؤدون أعمالهم بالطريقة نفسها، ويشترون من الشركات القديمة ذاتها. المجتمع لا يتحرك بالسرعة والرشاقة التي يتخيلها مهندسو التقنية. ​تغيير السلوك البشري: "كنت أظن أننا إن صنعنا أداة مذهلة، سيقفز الجميع لاستخدامها فوراً".. لكن تبين أن تغيير العادات اليومية أو القواعد المؤسسية البالية أصعب بمئة مرة من بناء الذكاء الاصطناعي نفسه. ​التقنية سابقة لعصرها: التكنولوجيا هي الأقوى في تاريخ البشرية بلا منازع، لكن "العنصر البشري والنظم الاجتماعية" عاجزون عن مواكبة هذا التسارع. ​الخلاصة المرة: بناء نموذج خارق أسهل بكثير من محاولة إقناع البشر بتغيير طرق حياتهم القديمة! 💀 ​احفظ التغريدة بـ Bookmark 🔖 وشاركنا: هل تعتقد أن البشرية حقاً مقاومة للتغيير إلى هذا الحد، أم أن ثورة الذكاء الاصطناعي لم تضرب بقوة كافية بعد؟ 🧵👇
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
التغريدة تحرف تصريحات سام ألتمان وتضيف تفاصيل غير موجودة. قال ألتمان في مقابلته مع ديفيد سينرا إنه أخطأ في سرعة تبني الذكاء الاصطناعي بسبب inertia الاقتصاد واعتبر ذلك إيجابياً لانتقال أسلس، دون ذكر التزامات بـ100 تريليون دولار أو ورطة أو قضايا. davidsenra.com/episode/sam-al… calcalistech.com/ctechnews/arti… techspot.com/news/113607-we…
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Seriously : what is going on .
Preview of the upcoming $TSLA + $SPCX merger 🥹
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If we have transshipment of Chinese goods into the U.S. then whatever headlines say about China’s appetite for U.S. debt, you are going to have to get matching ‘transshipment’ of U.S. Treasury holdings. Ironically, both seem to be via Canada here to some degree.
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🇦🇺Craig Tindale retweeted
If we have transshipment of Chinese goods into the U.S. then whatever headlines say about China’s appetite for U.S. debt, you are going to have to get matching ‘transshipment’ of U.S. Treasury holdings. Ironically, both seem to be via Canada here to some degree.
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