🚨NBA player props. Losing bettor for 10 years until I tracked every bet. 📈+594u over two seasons, all public. Free daily play below ⬇️
Sydney, Australia
Joined March 2009
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I lost money betting for 10 years.
Then I put my last $500 in, tracked every single bet and got meticulous with my process.
Two NBA seasons later: +594 units, every bet tracked.
Every day this NBA season I'm giving away one free play, with the full reasoning and a recommended unit size. Get it here: winible.com/s/7q4xpn60
This TNF game could get out of hand 🔥
Me and @MailManLockz mapped out three different ways Patriots @ Bears plays out, and built a parlay for each one.
Full episode below 👇
youtu.be/yl_nbdQhVlE?si=eEUF…
Oh we cooking with this one. Fav play on the slate by a mile. Does extra confidence mean its more likely to win? Absolutely not. But we're getting a great price. We're getting a lower line than we expected, and he's projected to play 30+ minutes in a matchup where he's performed extremely well in the past.
NBA Thursday POTD 🏀
Christian Braun O 14.5 PR (+100)
Cooked with @daft_previews 🐐
Love this spot for Braun in the Nuggets season opener on the road in OKC. First, the value we are getting on this spot is great, especially at the price. Last regular season with Jokic, Murray, and Gordon all active, this line consistently closed around the 16.5 to 17.5 range, despite how poor/banged up Braun was. With 25+ minutes and the big 3 active, he covered this line in 13/21 games, averaging 17.7 PR per game.
Braun’s minutes will be needed again in this matchup, with him drawing the SGA assignment. The Nuggets traded Peyton Watson this offseason and brought in Demar as his “replacement” to give the bench a higher-usage scorer capable of running a 2-man game with Joker. Denver has no one else currently on this roster equipped to cover SGA for extended runs, especially not in the reserves.
In Denver's 2 regular-season games vs. OKC last season, where Braun was active, he led the team in matchup minutes vs. SGA with over 17; no other Nugget cracked 5. He should get an extended run once again in this one, and has been a minutes wagon for Denver in the regular season.
OKC seems to have upheld their status as a rebound funnel for guards, with Harper, Fox, and Castle all pulling down 7 rebounds a piece in their matchup on opening night. Last season, Braun logged 8 and 9 rebounds, respectively, in his 2 games against OKC.
OKC should concede 3PTAs to Braun, as he is by far their weakest perimeter scorer. All 13 of his 3PTAs vs. the Thunder last season were deemed “open” to “wide-open” per NBA advanced analytics.
Assuming Braun gets the volume, he only needs a couple to fall to make this line look silly!
Daft Previews retweeted
THIS NBA PROP WENT 10 FOR 10 LAST SEASON 💥
Payton Pritchard, rebounds + assists ladder, Celtics @ Pistons:
8+ / 10+ / 12+ / 14+ / 16+
Natalie Nakase has more highlights than Paige in the 4th quarter.
Great game - Paige Bueckers under 28.5 PRA salutes 🫡
Daft Previews retweeted
WHAT. A. THURSDAY.
+1500💎✅
Daft and I crafted this beauty in the TNF Preview 👇
Thursday Night Football Preview Live on the Daft Previews Youtube Channel 🏈
Been joining him every week, and it's been a blast!
Check it out and show some love 👇
youtu.be/hzjNCGhXZEA?si=lfFn…
Daft Previews retweeted
Thursday Night Football Preview Live on the Daft Previews Youtube Channel 🏈
Been joining him every week, and it's been a blast!
Check it out and show some love 👇
youtu.be/hzjNCGhXZEA?si=lfFn…
No No. 1 seed has ever been eliminated in the first round of the WNBA playoffs, but it looks like shit will change today! NY Liberty clapping them cheeks.
Where did the Lynx go wrong? Or is this simply a roster and size mismatch no scheme can overcome?
Do you actually want to improve as a sportsbettor?
If so, drop some topics for me to build some educational content on or suggest some 'sharp' bettors for me to interview who would be willing to drop some free game to the public.
Daft Previews retweeted
NFL Week 2 Sunday Preview is LIVE on Daft’s YouTube 🏈
Make sure y’all show some love 🤝
Another great video and conversation with the man @daft_previews 👇
youtu.be/5Q2-PPDJlc8?is=Dim8…
Daft Previews retweeted
NFL Sunday Week 1 Preview live on @daft_previews YouTube 🏈
Talked over 3 of my favorite spots for this Sunday and some leans as well!
Check it out & show some love 👇
youtu.be/AUfsHHiTs8E?is=sUih…
I'm going to be posting on x more frequently. My hesitation in the past has been that I see the same trends when it comes to sports betting:
- There are sports bettors who get a ton of attention and bet ridiculous negative-EV plays, parlays, and lottery tickets.
- There are some very sharp sports bettors out there who do everything the right way.
The issue I'm seeing with the latter group is that they don't get the reach or the views, and that's quite upsetting for a lot of them. I don't necessarily want to fall into either bucket. Any tips from the Kings of X?
I'm planning on making more educational evergreen content on YouTube around sports betting. If I made a video called "How I Made $100,000 Betting on Parlays on the NBA," would you watch it?
If you want to hear the most casual takes regarding the NFL, come and watch me. If you want to hear from someone who seriously knows ball, come check out The Mailman twice a week on my YouTube channel. Let's go!
Was a pleasure joining the legend @daft_previews on his TNF preview show!
Will be joining the channel twice a week for the entire season, make sure you tap in 👇
youtu.be/-35QNQB4xl0
Daft Previews retweeted
@daft_previews gave out these leans, I may have alt lined one and changed one prop. I dont normally pay for picks, but his insight and analysis is very helpful. He uses tools that cost money and spends his valuable time researching. I spend probably 2-4 hours per day researching.
Mitchell Robinson doesn't need to be invited twice. Brunson draws the defence, the paint opens up, and Robinson crashes in to finish whatever's left. It's not pretty. It doesn't need to be.
The Hawks paint defence is 24th in the league over their last five games — they've been leaving the back door open all month. Robinson has cleared this line in 8 consecutive games in directly comparable conditions, averaging 8.1 points against bottom-half put-back defences at full Knicks strength.
Tonight the full lineup is on the floor. Brunson does his thing. Robinson shows up uninvited to the easy ones.
The line is 4.5. His average in these spots is 8.1.
🏀 Mitchell Robinson O4.5 Points
Golden State shoots threes like they're allergic to the paint, and every missed three is a gift Lopez unwraps from the same spot every single time.
Porzingis stays at the elbows and above the break all night — too polite to crash the glass — which means Lopez turns around into clean rebounding position repeatedly with nobody competing.
Play-in basketball. High stakes, short rotations, and teams leaning on their veterans. There aren't many players older than Brook Lopez in this league — and in games that matter, the old ones tend to stay on the floor.
He did it in 23 minutes three days ago against the exact same team. Tonight he gets 29.
🏀 Brook Lopez O5.5 Rebounds
Portland's paint defence has been letting centres in all season like a nightclub with no age restriction. Gobert walked in and took 33. Lopez helped himself to 27. Zubac grabbed 26. Tonight Mark Williams gets his turn.
The setup is perfect. Booker, Green, and Brooks draw all the defensive attention on the perimeter, the paint opens up, and Donovan Clingan's drop coverage turns every pick-and-roll into a free pass to the basket. Williams doesn't have to force anything — Portland just keeps leaving the door unlocked.
With all three perimeter weapons active and playing 22+ minutes, Williams has cleared this line in all five games this season averaging 23.6 combined points and rebounds. Tonight's number is 18.5. That's a five point cushion in the exact conditions we're walking into.
Portland have been inviting big men in all season. Williams is just the next one through the door.
🏀 Mark Williams O18.5 Points + Rebounds
