📈 FT Independent Trader & Investor | Quantitative Methods | Founder of Algo Succession concepts.
The Moon
Joined August 2022
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This is exactly what you’re experiencing.
The sectors that provided price stability during the last two completed cycles are now the cycles on the chopping block for this cycle. DRAM, SMH, XLK, XLC.
All other sectors are down 12-20+% since the 8/10/26 cycle alert. This is the final blow, and then we go long until the spring for the denial rally.
Peter Schiff’s nightmare
Last month, we demonstrated high-rate alchemy: turning mercury into real, stable gold, beating CERN’s record by a factor of 10.
Last week, we enriched isotopes in the world’s most powerful plasma centrifuge, beating the Soviet record that stood for 40 years.
Now, we’re building a fusion reactor in San Francisco to achieve record power density.
8/10 alert, Cycle 1, Predicted Bottom -2.36%, achieved 9/1✅
9/11 alert, Cycle 2, Predicted Bottom -3.82%, achieved 9/16✅
10/13 alert, Cycle 3, Predicted Bottom -5.00%, Status = Active
Total Correction % for Fall = 6.18%
Total Correction % forecasted for 2026 = 11.18%
We’ve got about 10-11% in corrections left for this year for $SPY . Either one big correction, or two 5-6% corrections.
We don’t have quantitative exhaustion yet, so most likely we will end up going on a nice “denial rally” towards 776-826 EOY.
By then, everyone who’s bearish will transition from their “denial” stage of grief, towards acceptance. And at that point, bears will be bullish again.
My thesis is it’ll take 2 months (Sep 1) to get the quantitative data ready for quantitative exhaustion, leading to 10-11% in corrections heading into November. Once quantitative exhaustion is triggered, it takes about a month to complete the correction, and another month to recover at new ATH’s.
Until then, market will likely grind higher July and August. Monthly quantitative data will be ripe for correction conditions, and then we let it happen.