Building knowledge venture @CarnegieChina. Previously in Chicago and DC @macropolochina | @KelloggSchool | @eurasiagroup | @theatlantic | @uschinabusiness

Singapore
Joined June 2011
Hot off the press - AI Talent v3.0 is now live. A trilogy six years in the making, it is now the only longitudinal study of its kind in the public domain. Plenty to dig into, including some quite surprising findings. Here's just one snapshot of headline figures, much more at the link below @CarnegieChina
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Huh, Billy Evans apparently studied at Fudan University 2013-2014. Anyone knew him at that time?
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Damien Ma retweeted
Don't even try to be a leader of a BRIC country if you can't bring home a fourth term. Different political systems, same presidents
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As the Fifth Plenum of the 20th Central Committee gets under way in Beijing, the sequence is reversed from 2016. Then, party governance came first and purges followed. This time, senior officers were already under investigation before it even opened. Read more by @damienics: carnegieendowment.org/china/…
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Don't even try to be a leader of a BRIC country if you can't bring home a fourth term. Different political systems, same presidents
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Damien Ma retweeted
I found footage of 20yo Dario Amodei speaking against the Iraq War in 2003. 18 years before Anthropic even existed
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Damien Ma retweeted
End of history update: Secretary of the Suzhou Municipal Committee, met with Chinese freestyle skiing athlete Eileen Gu, who came to Suzhou to attend the Vogue Fashion Power event
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Damien Ma retweeted
We believe voice is the most natural way to interact with intelligence, so we created Dessa, the most authentic full-duplex speech model ever built. Talking with it feels like talking with a person…full of emotion, nuance, pauses, and a natural cadence. block.xyz/dessa
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Damien Ma retweeted
Weekend reading The Spring and Autumn of Chinese Politics The weathervane of Chinese politics shifts the most in the spring and autumn. Generally speaking, spring is when major policies are decided, usually at the National People’s Congress (NPC), while autumn is when politics are front and center, typically at the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) Central Committee plenary sessions, or plenums. The Fifth Plenum of the 20th Central Committee, slated for October 26, is one of these occasions. It will likely be an unusually potent barometer of the direction of Chinese politics because this Fifth Plenum essentially kicks off the political transition that culminates in the selection of new top leaders of the CCP at the 21st Party Congress in October 2027. The coming year, then, is as close to a “campaign season” as the Chinese system has, with a hefty dose of Leninist characteristics. Personnel movements will intensify, party discipline will tighten, and political jostling and horse trading will take place. Much of that process, as is well known by now, will be predictably opaque. Outcomes may be difficult to see immediately, but the absence of observable evidence does not mean evidence of absence when it comes to Chinese politics. Personnel matters, in fact, tend to matter more than other indicators for assessing how the CCP top brass is thinking about its future... Full piece at link below @CarnegieChina
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Weekend reading The Spring and Autumn of Chinese Politics The weathervane of Chinese politics shifts the most in the spring and autumn. Generally speaking, spring is when major policies are decided, usually at the National People’s Congress (NPC), while autumn is when politics are front and center, typically at the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) Central Committee plenary sessions, or plenums. The Fifth Plenum of the 20th Central Committee, slated for October 26, is one of these occasions. It will likely be an unusually potent barometer of the direction of Chinese politics because this Fifth Plenum essentially kicks off the political transition that culminates in the selection of new top leaders of the CCP at the 21st Party Congress in October 2027. The coming year, then, is as close to a “campaign season” as the Chinese system has, with a hefty dose of Leninist characteristics. Personnel movements will intensify, party discipline will tighten, and political jostling and horse trading will take place. Much of that process, as is well known by now, will be predictably opaque. Outcomes may be difficult to see immediately, but the absence of observable evidence does not mean evidence of absence when it comes to Chinese politics. Personnel matters, in fact, tend to matter more than other indicators for assessing how the CCP top brass is thinking about its future... Full piece at link below @CarnegieChina
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定于一尊, one supreme authority, is finally quantified. I analyzed all People's Daily articles mentioning 讲话 (speech) since 1989, and found when Xi speaks, it's usually important (重要讲话). And he is increasingly the only important voice on the Politburo Standing Committee.
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Damien Ma retweeted
What's more important than the U.S. midterms? China's major political transition, or "Selection 2027". It kicks off with the upcoming plenum through next October. My primer on Chinese campaign season with Leninist characteristics @CarnegieChina carnegieendowment.org/china/…
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Is the U.S.-China “AI race” really a race? Damien Ma (@damienics) of (@CarnegieChina) says it’s a long-term competition. In 2022, 46% of top AI talent worked in the United States and 27% in China. By 2025: 34% in the United States, 41% in China. Why does that shift matter? ▶️ Watch: ncuscr.org/video/ai-talent-r… #AI #USChina
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Damien Ma retweeted
No actual knowledge gain for the wonk/analyst and the informed cognoscenti on chips - but that's never been the New Yorker's schtick. You've just gotta marvel at the superb story-telling and beautifully wrought sentences such as this: "The Apollo mission’s chips were less powerful than those currently inside a digital pregnancy test. We squander moon-landing capability to display a plus sign." newyorker.com/magazine/2026/…
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Damien Ma retweeted
and costs less than many Substacks
It is hilarious that super intelligence costs the same as Netflix
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and costs less than many Substacks
It is hilarious that super intelligence costs the same as Netflix
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Damien Ma retweeted
It is hilarious that super intelligence costs the same as Netflix
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Damien Ma retweeted
Much more impressive version of the math card game "24" my mom used to play with me when I was a kid. Each person holds half the deck, puts out 2 random cards at a time, and you must use all four cards to calculate 24. The competition is about who gets to 24 the fastest. The winner has no cards left and the loser holds all the cards because they were too slow in calculating.
Most impressive thing I’ve ever seen. I would like to invest my entire net worth in Cognition now
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