Economist for fun, Sãopaulino for living. @federalreserve, @warwickuni PhD, @FEARPUSP alumni. Views are my own.
Washington, DC
Joined May 2009
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Updated "Pandemic priors", now with a test for the optimal level of shrinkage for the pandemic period! An easy and flexible way of estimating Bayesian VARs taking into account the pandemic period. Implementation available in @MATLAB and
@JuliaLanguage
drive.google.com/file/d/1T0-…
Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia retweeted
How do you measure deregulation before it even happens? In this #IFDPPaper, the authors use AI to build a news-based index of U.S. deregulation spanning from 1960 to present. Newspaper coverage leads the Federal Register by nearly one year. (1/2) federalreserve.gov/econres/i…
How do you measure deregulation before it even happens?
A thread on a new paper with @IacoIacoviel using AI to track 65 years of U.S. regulation and deregulation policy
6/7. Profits vs. Competition
The nature of deregulation changes over time. Since 1980, the focus has shifted away from consumer price reductions and toward corporate profitability. Modern regulatory relief often impacts incumbent efficiency more than competitive entry.
7/7: You can read the full paper and access the data here:
federalreserve.gov/econres/i…
matteoiacoviello.com/deregul…
Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia retweeted
Congratulations to Lovisa Reiche! The winner of #SNDE2025 Young Scholar Award!
Her paper will be presented today (Saturday March 22nd) in Session Empirical Macro 3 & Inflation 3! – at San Antonio, TX
Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia retweeted
How does #inflation affect #banking? Join us tomorrow - Saturday - 8am at #ASSA2025 where Philip Lane will chair a session including three papers that give a high frequency, a historical, and a cross-country perspective on this question. @Diana__Bonfim
Thrilled to see my paper "Forecast revisions as instruments for news shocks" published at the Journal of Monetary Economics!
sciencedirect.com/science/ar…
In a nutshell:
(1/3)
Professional forecast revisions provide signals about how agents update their outlook perceptions. These forecast revisions convey rich information about future productivity that can be used to identify the economic effects of technological news shocks.
(2/3)
Happy to see the Handbook in print!
📣 NEW: Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Macroeconomic Forecasting by Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão
Chapter 14 is #OpenAccess at: doi.org/10.4337/978103531005…
More info: e-elgar.com/shop/isbn/978103…
#MacroeconomicForecasting #Econometrics @AndrewBMartinez
ALT Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Macroeconomic Forecasting advert, including the following quote: ‘This Handbook is a must-read for academics and practitioners alike. It surveys the most recent developments in the theory and practice of macroeconomic forecasting. All chapters are written by eminent and experienced scholars, and contain up-to-date methods and applications. This is a highly commendable book!’ – Philip Hans Franses, Erasmus University Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia retweeted
😎Submit your papers to the 32nd Symposium of the Society for Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, March 21-22, 2025, at University of Texas at San Antonio
Deadline: November 15
#EconTwitter #Econometrics
Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia retweeted
The third edition of the University of East Anglia Time Series Workshop is going to take place in person on May 22nd-23rd, 2025. The deadline for full paper submissions is March 15th. More info here: uea.ac.uk/web/about/school-o…
#Econtwitter
@UEA_Economics
@UEAResearch
Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia retweeted
😀 To submit a paper, please complete this Google form:
lnkd.in/eyteQjUA
and follow up by sending the paper to [email protected]
The submission deadline is Monday, October 28, 2024.
#EconTwitter #PhDstudents #youngresearchers #SubmitYourPapers
Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia retweeted
New #FEDSNote looking at inflation across advanced economies. 6-month (annualized) inflation shows that price pressures have resurfaced of late.
federalreserve.gov/econres/n…
