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Joined February 2024
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Today’s Playstyle Trends
Example: 🏴 Kilmarnock are playing Celtic, a high possession team.
Over 2.5 goals has hit in 12/12 of Kilmarnock’s matches vs high possession teams across this season and last.
Today’s most valuable play for every match. Gold indicates a DG Elite Edge.
*Odds were recorded late Saturday when today’s slate was updated and may have changed since.
🍀 Good luck and see you guys after the international break 👋
Today’s H2H data (home venue only)
🇩🇪 Bayern’s last 7 visits to Mainz have all seen over 2.5 goals, with over 3.5 hitting in 6/7 (85.7%).
🎯 Today’s top Projected xGOT
Months ago, I found that shots on target were one of the strongest indicators of high-scoring matchups.
Now I’ve found an even stronger signal: Expected Goals on Target (xGOT) 🎯
Across the top 10 total-xGOT matches in both 2025 and 2026:
✅ O2.5: 100%
✅ O3.5: 100%
✅ BTTS: 100%
Last season’s total-xGOT leaders included Bayern, Young Boys, Stuttgart and NEC, four of the best teams to follow for goals.
xG measures chance quality. xGOT measures the quality of shots that actually test the goalkeeper.
Find every team’s xGOT statistics on our Team Data page —> datagaffer.com
🇩🇪 Hoffenheim face Crystal Palace, who rank near the bottom for possession.
Since last season, over 2.5 goals has hit in all 10 of Hoffenheim’s matches against low-possession teams.
Average: 4.30 goals per match.
After BTTS went 1/9 yesterday, it goes 9/9 today. It always comes back to the mean.
Surely someone did a BTTS parlay?
DataGaffer isn’t primarily a player prop model, but we still offer some useful tools.
🇫🇷 Mbappé’s shots on target line is 2.5. He has stayed under it in his last three matches. Does he break that trend today?
🏴 Bowen’s shots line is 3.5, which he has cleared in five of his last 10. West Ham face Cardiff, who allow 17.57 shots per away match, third-worst in the Championship.
Even the team I play on in real life is high pace 🤣
#bulldogssc #notahypocrite
Thanks for that second half Madrid 👍
Goals galore today and a solid day for our Pace Scores ✅
That 🇳🇴 Brann match was one of the best games I’ve watched this season. Attack after attack, playing to win rather than protect a result.
That’s football. Not whatever this Arsenal match is.
⚔️ Today’s H2H data (last 6)
🇲🇽 Cruz Azul and Leon have seen BTTS and Over 2.5 hit in 6 of there last 6 matchups
Today’s best goal environments using our playstyle indexes
datagaffer.com/pace_history.…
