Danny (@dgb49) header
Danny (@dgb49) profile picture

1312, Giants fan, antifascist, metalhead, comics nerd

California
Joined November 2008
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Finally have a bluesky. @dgb49.bsky.social
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Put in the archive request, and when I get it downloaded I'll be deleting my Twitter account. If you want to follow me, I'll be here:
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Establishment Democrats love this chart. They point to that 12% average increase in the incomes of households at the 10th percentile between 2019 and 2024 as DEFINITIVE PROOF that Biden “delivered” for working people, and that working people have nothing to complain about. They, of course, never stop to ask themselves what that 12% increase actually amounts to for an actual person. A household at the 10th-percentile earned a little under $15,000 a year in 2019. Assuming they actually experienced a 12 percent increase in their income over the next five years—and that’s an unfounded assumption considering the 12-percent figure is just an average—that means they were making around $1,800 more annually by 2024, or a grand total of $16,800. That was never enough for a single person—let alone a 2- or 3- or 4-person household—to live on. With that in mind, how do you think that person feels when they go to the grocery store and find everything from bread and butter to milk and meat has become more expensive? When seemingly any small trip to the grocery store now runs them $50 or more? When their rent has gone up 10 or 20 or 30 percent? This graph has little or nothing to do with reality.
Bizarre take from Bernie
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If only Democrats had some model from our past for how to win popular support and beat back right-wing authoritarianism.
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The Democrats used to have a President called FDR who was elected four times in massive landslides with a program of economic populism and massive investment in infrastructure and social programs. The Party elites today barely know who he was and despise everything he stood for.
Celinda Lake, a Democratic pollster, on talking to voter focus groups: “Everybody knows what Trump economics is -- China; tariffs; tax cuts. Then you go to them and ask, ‘What are Democratic economics?,’ and someone will make a joke about welfare and half the people can't name anything. It's nothing like the Republican brand.”
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Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin ended up being so close that Harris might well have won the election if she had leaned into Walz-style populism instead of Cheney-style conservatism.
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9 of the last 10 elections have been change elections. Voters hate a system where they don't get much from what they vote for.
In the end, it came down to 2 big factors: 1) Inflation. People are angry about high prices. The situation has improved a lot since 2022, but this chart (below) was top of mind for many. 2) Change. Americans want change, especially from neoliberalism. That's the one thread that explains how voters could go big for Obama, then Trump '16, Biden '20, and now big for Trump in 2024. There's an outcry for a dramatic shift, esp. economic.
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Reposting this because I'm trying to break free from Elon's hellsite post-election.
Finally have a bluesky. @dgb49.bsky.social
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This is chilling
This quoted post is unavailable.
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I don't think it's a big mystery why Dem voters apparently weren't inspired into action by "Trump is a fascist" messaging. Does this look like the rhetoric of someone who genuinely believes that a fascist dictator has now seized control and ended democracy in America?
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my kingdom for a politician who is brave enough to say the basic and factual statement "immigration is good"
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If you look at the ballot amendments by state—Missouri, Florida (failed because it got 57% and not 60%, but 57%!), Kentucky, etc—this is not a uniformly right-wing country. It's a country that hates Democrats, but it doesn't hate left policy, it just hates the Democratic Party.
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Idk what's happening but if Harris loses its because once again democrats intentionally demobilized their base in favor of flattering corporate and genocidal power brokers.
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I'm thinking a lot about what @AOC warned her fellow Democrats in December 2020: "If these people’s lives don’t actually feel different...we’re done. You know how many Trumps there are in waiting?”
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kinda wild that stuff like universal healthcare or debt forgiveness were just totally off the table this election. not even up for discussion. feel like the last few elections were were at least talking about stuff like that
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I am shocked that this remains a befuddling thing for DC democrats and pundits. For fuck’s sake, in the last two years of the Biden administration, we took away expansions of the child tax credit, Medicaid, and unemployment insurance; we let the Fed raise interest rates on everything from cars, to homes, to credit cards; and then (!) we largely stood by while dominant firms raised the cost of rent, groceries, and everything else. Why would voters think the economy is anything BUT “not so good/poor”?!?
Roughly *67%* of voters rated the economy as "not so good/poor," per Washington Post exit polls A shockingly poor number amid a hot labor market, booming stocks, much lower inflation, growing GDP But widespread voter dissatisfaction w/ the economy been clear for years
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i don't pretend to understand the mind of the average voter, but the economy is in shambles and Biden and crew keep saying everything is great! the stock market is up! real people are earning less and working more. Trump won't make it better, but his lies convinced enough people.
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