Politics and sports mostly. He/him 🏳️‍🌈🇺🇦🇵🇸⏸️ alt is @dongersss

Joined March 2017
Dingers retweeted
A liberal third-party group goes up in Mississippi with what I’m told is a real buy — attacking Cindy Hyde-Smith from the right via her primary opponent.
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Netanyahu’s bloc did not have a majority in a non-14/Direct poll since early 2023 and got no appreciable bump from the Iran war
I'm very surprised that there's so little discussion of the fact that Netanyahu's bloc has ~zero chance of getting a majority in the elections on Tuesday.
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Replying to @LombardIsKing_
Wdym? He’s saying it’s not a high leverage situation, that it’s risky to use with nobody on base
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The call was also quite close one way or another
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I basically only care about NYT/Siena polls, I think the rest are fudging it one way or another
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Was this his inspiration for the logo?
Brad Bradford emerges with his wife, mother and one of his daughters. He wishes Chow well and says he wants her to succeed. “We all love this city. We know it can be better.” He urges the crowd to give her a round of applause.
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Dingers retweeted
It’s over: Mayor Olivia Chow will be re-elected in Toronto over challenger Brad Bradford. A 13 point drubbing, a majority for the Mayor, and a continuation of politics.
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It’s Over Overford
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CRUISING FOR A BOOSIN’
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Lula pulled off a political comeback that Nixon would never even dream of: he went from being in prison to being elected president in less than 3 years
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🇧🇷🗳️ Et voilà, c'est fait : @datafolha annonce la réélection de @LulaOficial pour un quatrième mandat. Un incroyable retournement de situation trois semaines après un premier tour désastreux !
🇧🇷🗳️ Sur les trois quarts des bureaux de vote dépouillés, Lula dépasse les 51% des voix. Il y a 4 ans au même stade du dépouillement, Lula n'avait que 50,2% des voix. On attend plus désormais que la projection du vainqueur par @Datafolha pour aller se coucher.
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Dingers retweeted
Update on the Brazilian election: I personally am convinced that Lula will win the election. My own projection is barely even moving as more results come in, with Lula steadily being projected to win about 51.7% of the vote.
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Regardless of who wins in Brazil it does seem like the left shouldn’t have nominated an 80 year old and the right shouldn’t have nominated the son of the guy who lost last time and went to jail
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(I would’ve voted Lula ofc) Lula should maybe also pledge to step down after a couple years and let his VP take over if he wins
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Dingers retweeted
Update with 10.20% of results taken into account.
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Libs have to feel good at winning all the by-elections but Yorkton—Mellville at this point. So when is Carney gonna call them…
The Liberal lead has widened to 16 points in our latest Abacus Data poll. Liberals: 48% (+2) Conservatives: 32% (-2) NDP: 9% Bloc: 6% Greens: 3% The Liberals are now polling at their highest level in more than a decade. abacusdata.ca/liberals-reach…
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The prospect of a snap election is obviously tempting but if you win all 5 competitive by-elections you have 178 seats in the house, a pretty comfortable majority. It’d just be a gamble on lengthening the term which I think would be unwise
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Every leftist understands why James Talarico has better odds against Ken Paxton than he would against John Cornyn, but as soon as you suggest that the same dynamics might exist for democratic candidates as well they have an aneurysm.
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2022 polling had more variance. This time pollsters are clinging on to Bolsonaro+1 for dear life. The error could go either direction, ofc
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