update on my San Francisco #COVID19 plot... I still look back on June 2021 and wonder when or if we'll get back to those levels. I am still acting as if I do not want to be sick. Testing rates are much lower so relative height of peaks can't be treated too precisely.

So much for modeling.... I guessed 3 out of 4 possible words matching the known information. Wordle 1,024 X/6 ⬛⬛⬛🟩🟨 ⬛⬛🟨🟩🟩 🟨⬛⬛🟩🟩 ⬛🟩🟩🟩🟩 ⬛🟩🟩🟩🟩 ⬛🟩🟩🟩🟩

Ranking of #Wordle letters, from available words, based on # with at least one instance of the letter.

Best Wordle first guesses, according to my algorithm using available Worldle solutions. 1 point for letter being in a word, 1 point for correct position, special treatmenr for duplicates.

Virus refuses to follow preferred narrative. Is it the new status quo that in addition to existing illnesses, we'll just have to accept being potentially seriously ill an additional 1-2 times per year, with unknown persistent impact?

San Francisco COVID19 test positivity.... total cases are dropping (still 4x higher than June 2021), but # of tests are dropping just as quickly. Positivity is around 13x higher than in June 2021, higher than a 1.5 year period from mid-2020. Lots of confounders...

San Francisco COVID19 data update... Cases were dropping dramatically but now have apparently bottomed out. Blue curve lags 1 year, to allow comparison w/ last year. I'm not sure how testing numbers compare to last year (surely lower).

#SanFrancisco #COVID19 cases per week... holiday spike was initially concerning but abated quicker than the spike a year ago. Cases are dropping now but remain 10x higher than June 2021.

#SanFrancisco #COVID19 cases.... and away we go. Crosses are shifted a year for comparison: around 2.5x last year with a similar rate of increase, perhaps. Data from: data.sfgov.org/COVID-19/COVI…

I've not been on twitter for a week now, but returned to update my COVID19 data prior to Christmas season. Things are considerably worse than 2021, sadly, with evident spikes coincident with Halloween, with Thanksgiving pending. I'm skipping my usual 1st-week-Dec conference.

San Francisco COVID19 cases are increasing again, just in time for the holidays, and the new vaccine is being ignored. The truth is often inconvenient.

I added a tent for @Muttville into my #RGTCycling bike race simulator ride.

San Francisco #COVID19 weekly cases... case positivity is 10x June 2021 value, consistent with total case numbers.

San Francisco #COVID19 test positivity is 10x the level from June 2021, 6x the SF 0.8% target, and at or above level of 3/5 prior peaks. #postPandemic

#SanFrancisco #COVID19: @violetblue predicted #DreamForce super-spreader. Coincidentally, there's a plateau coincident. More testing? Human contact baseline is high. Cases are 8x Jun '21. I got Moderna bivalent 8 days ago. Felt crappy one day, low energy bike/run 1 week.