IPO is too late. @wlthxyz

All Street
Joined February 2017
We are what we repeatedly do. Excellence, then, is not an act, but a habit.
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Agility's SPAC filing put its books in public: $1.78M of 2025 sales and a $138.1M net loss, plus "substantial doubt" about continuing without the deal. Full deep dive on our YouTube channel. Not financial advice. Private company shares are high risk and illiquid.
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Source: Agility S-4/A, SEC, 30 Sep 2026.
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Unitree raised about $910M at 150.80 yuan a share, closed day one at 845, and three weeks later was at 513.93. Full deep dive on our YouTube channel. Not financial advice. Private company shares are high risk and illiquid.
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Source: TechNode, 20 Aug 2026; The Robot Report, 9 Sep 2026.
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Unitree closed up 460% on its first day in Shanghai, while its US rivals took very different roads to the money. Full deep dive on our YouTube channel. Not financial advice. Private company shares are high risk and illiquid.
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Source: The Robot Report, 9 Sep 2026; TechNode, 20 Aug 2026; Figure, 16 Sep 2025.
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Up to 1.3B SpaceX shares unlocked on Thu 22 Oct, two trading days after Q3 results. It's set by a lock-up timetable in the prospectus: 911.5M in Aug, five 7% steps, then 28% now. Musk's 6.4B stay locked until 12 Jun 2027. Unlocked doesn't mean sold.
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OpenAI raised $122B at a $730B pre-money valuation. Add the cash and it's $852B post-money. The new investors' slice is $122B / $852B, about 14.3%, not 16.7%. Now it's reportedly in talks at about $1.4T pre-money. Always ask: pre or post?
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Nscale's investors valued it at $14.6B in March. Its NYSE IPO ask is about $30B, per Bloomberg. Now some investors say buyers will pay $16-19B. CoreWeave fell 25% last week. A private price isn't a public price until the market tests it.
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Filed in June. Still secret. Anthropic's IPO could value it at up to $2 trillion, Reuters reports, but its S-1 is a confidential draft. Reuters saw 261 pages, about 80 on risk. Big investors got Q3 numbers on 14 Oct. The public S-1 must land 15 days before the roadshow.
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$47 billion. Then zero. WeWork was once the most valuable US startup. In 2019 its IPO was pulled and a rescue valued it at under $8B. In June 2024 every old share was cancelled for nothing. Markdowns, illiquidity, dilution, lock-ups: that is private-share risk.
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SpaceX priced at $135, closed day one at $160.95 and was around $165 by early October. Anthropic wants to match or beat that size. Full deep dive: youtube.com/watch?v=s827fltR… Not financial advice. Private company shares are high risk and illiquid.
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Anthropic's run-rate: about $4B in July 2025, over $65B by late July 2026. Q3 revenue: $16.8B. Full deep dive: youtube.com/watch?v=s827fltR… Not financial advice. Private company shares are high risk and illiquid.
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$90 billion and still no IPO. Anduril's staff can now sell at that price. But headlines price preferred shares, and one study found they averaged 48% above fair value. OpenAI did the same in August, buying back $7B from staff. That's a tender offer.
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Anthropic showed Wall Street its latest numbers. Reports put a possible listing around $2 trillion. Full deep dive: youtube.com/watch?v=s827fltR… Not financial advice. Private company shares are high risk and illiquid.
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The investors you'll never see on the cap table. In an SPV, many investors pool into one vehicle that counts as one shareholder. The twist: some are boxes inside boxes, with fees at each layer. What would you check first?
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This $965B company has no stock ticker. Anthropic went from $380B to $965B in one private round, and the public can't buy until it lists. The twist: some companies never do. Which private company are you watching?
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Anthropic: confidential S-1 filed, no IPO date, no ticker yet. On WLTH you can get in from $20, with Slices backed 1:1 by real Anthropic equity held in an SPV. Private-market investment. Capital is at risk and values can fall as well as rise. This is not investment advice.
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California-based quantum computing startup PsiQuantum received a conditional $150 million loan commitment from the US Department of Defense’s Office of Strategic Capital. Should the Pentagon be funding quantum startups directly? Disclosure: I work at WLTH.
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