
Leftist political analyst with ADHD, focusing on Georgia & RI. Sometimes I talk about justice. | cishet, autistic, 26 | @elium2.com on Bluesky
Sandy Springs, GA
Joined July 2013
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NEW: Who's Paying for the LGBTQ+ Victory Fund's Brett Smiley Mailers? helium.elium2.com/victory-fuβ¦
Eli ππ₯ | π¦ @elium2.com retweeted
CRYSTAL BALL: Final 2026 ratings
SENATE: 53 at least Leans D, 47 at least Leans R (D+6)
GOVERNORS: 28 at least Leans D, 22 at least Leans R (D+4)
HOUSE: 239 at least Leans D, 196 at least Leans R (D+24)
Details from @kkondik and me here:
centerforpolitics.org/crystaβ¦
Think this is more or less exactly right on the U.S. Senate. I'd maybe swap a couple of the Leans/Likely Republican race ratings for each other but that's about it. centerforpolitics.org/crystaβ¦
2025 Georgia PSC election but itβs a U.S. Senate seat, wild
Eli ππ₯ | π¦ @elium2.com retweeted
North Carolina End of Early In-Person Voting
π΄ 2024: R+41,457
π΅ 2026: D+343,548
Republicans did not win a single day of early voting. Even when high-propensity voters were red, those gains were overwhelmed by exceptionally blue turnout among less frequent voters.
Eli ππ₯ | π¦ @elium2.com retweeted
To assess who is the greater threat to American freedom, letβs take a look at my time in Congress with Rogers and Bernie Sanders, who shares many of El-Sayedβs views and can serve as his stand-in.
Several of Sandersβs key proposals, in my opinion, would be exceptionally bad for our country.
But given the structure of our government, heβs in no position to get those ideas enacted and enforced.
His most notable proposals on the regulatory state, wealth redistribution, and socialized infrastructure have zero chance of becoming law. Sanders canβt even get more than a small minority of Senate Democrats to side with him on these issues.
At worst, he compromises and backs the median Democratic proposal. But heβs just as likely to maintain an independent stance that neither party adopts.
NEW: Three Georgia State Senate races move toward Democrats as Election Day looms. I wrote just under 10,000 words in total, including detailed writeups for ten State Senate districts.
helium.elium2.com/p/106fa943β¦
This guy is going to lose.
What an unusual situation: the NYT reports Marshall filmed the ad personally against the advice of his campaign team. Then his staff still refused to air it, so he personally sent it around to media folks to share it: nytimes.com/2026/11/01/us/elβ¦
NEW: An election-eve @UNHSurveyCenter poll finds RI's Democratic nominees all opening up bigger leads
Foulkes 55%
Block 34%
Guckian 8%
Matos 56%
Loughlin 41%
Reed 63%
McKay 32% wpri.com/news/elections/unh-β¦
Eli ππ₯ | π¦ @elium2.com retweeted
I hope El Sayed wins. If he does, it will be a victory over this kind of hate. His willingness to listen to critics and acknowledge his imperfections (unlike Rogers) also suggests he can play a constructive role in healing the divisions haters on all sides are trying to exploit.
Eli ππ₯ | π¦ @elium2.com retweeted
Supporting a political party and candidates (in Michigan and elsewhere) whose entire 2026 campaign has been based on crude demonization of Muslim Americans, using the same nativist blood and soil arguments that are a foundation of antisemitism.
Georgia county races I'm most interested in on Tuesday:
Cobb school board D4
Paulding comm'n D3
Fulton comm'n D1, D4
Houston comm'n Post 2
Peach school board Post 5
Putnam comm'n chair & D4
Burke Solicitor
Washington comm'n & SB chair
Dougherty comm'n D4
Glynn comm'n/SB D4
NEW: I wrote over 12,000 words about the statewide races on the ballot in Georgia this Tuesday. helium.elium2.com/georgia-stβ¦
I have three statewide rating changes, all in favor of Democrats, which notably include moving the U.S. Senate race to Safe Democratic.
Eli ππ₯ | π¦ @elium2.com retweeted
What Haley did today was unconscionable, beyond the pale. She has turned her back on everything we stood for after we were elected to Congress together β reproductive rights, civil and human rights, clean water-air-land energy, economic justice. 4/5
Abrams on Haley Stevens: She used black people as a prop in order to pursue an agenda of sore loserness.
And having been someone who has not won everything, I thought it is deeply inappropriate to use anyone else to justify your behavior and to justify your dismay, She said he told her not to come to something. I've been asked not to come to things before. That doesn't mean that I then disavow my values
Eli ππ₯ | π¦ @elium2.com retweeted
NEW: I wrote over 12,000 words about the statewide races on the ballot in Georgia this Tuesday. helium.elium2.com/georgia-stβ¦















