$UBIK forecasting workflows are getting better and better.
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Another impressive call from ubik:native
UBIK predicted a 55% chance that the US or Israel would strike Iran again before November 28. That prediction has now been marked correct, following events on November 2.
Here’s where it gets interesting.
At the time UBIK published its forecast, a related Polymarket contract was pricing a 77% chance that the US–Iran ceasefire would hold through the midterm elections.
While prediction market traders were expressing confidence in the ceasefire, UBIK was already assigning meaningful probability to renewed military action.
Another correctly resolved geopolitical forecast, and another addition to a track record that’s becoming increasingly difficult to overlook
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SpermCapital ∞ retweeted
I used to work at @bubblemaps. Here's the contract they never disclosed.
@JoinProxima builds tools to help bundlers stay undetected by Bubblemaps.
Since April 2025, Proxima has also been paying Bubblemaps $45,000 a month for advice on "automated clustering parameters" and "block-level bundle processing visibility".
Receipts 🧵👇
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
The document is forged. On the signing date, Bubblemaps was registered at 7 Rue Pablo Neruda, 92300 Levallois-Perret, not the address in this fake contract.
annuaire-entreprises.data.gouv.fr/entreprise/bub…
The author is also using this thread to promote a competing platform and has multiple other factual errors
x.com/bubblemaps/sta…
SpermCapital ∞ retweeted
We asked GPT-6 Astra to edit Qwen3.5-0.8B weights to improve math.
It directly changed only 0.016% of weights, fixing 0.8B's reasoning loops & improving math up to 6x and even instruction following 3x, without gradients or training.
We call this Weight-Space Programming: frontier LLMs can now natively read/write neural network weights! 🧵
Blog: rikiyat.github.io/blog/weigh…
SpermCapital ∞ retweeted
In case you missed it, some of the world’s largest technology companies are making a significant push into AI personalities.
Meta is introducing Muse, Microsoft has unveiled Mico, and Google is developing real-time AI avatars. Big Tech is increasingly positioning AI characters and agents as a new interface between consumers and technology.
The scale is extraordinary: Meta AI and Gemini have each surpassed 1 billion monthly users, while Microsoft’s Copilot ecosystem has exceeded 150 million.
Now consider what this means for crypto, an industry that has barely begun to explore this opportunity.
In 2025, an estimated 716 million people owned cryptocurrency worldwide, yet only 40–70 million were active users. That is an enormous gap between financial speculation and adoption.
Autonomous AI personalities could help close that gap by bringing something crypto has historically lacked: products with organic distribution, recurring audiences and demand that exists independently of token speculation.
Imagine an AI agent capable of building a global following and generating economic value within an ecosystem accessible to its community.
ubik:native is an early attempt at this model, combining autonomous real-world forecasting with a recognisable character and an emerging video distribution strategy.
Big Tech is demonstrating the potential scale of consumer adoption. Crypto has barely scratched the surface of what an economic layer built around these agents could look like.
And I think we’re still significantly underestimating how large this could become
🤖 Made with AI
SpermCapital ∞ retweeted
[🌲] TETHER FREEZES $971M USDT IN LIKELY BINANCE HACK, WITH NO UPDATE FROM BINANCE STILL
SpermCapital ∞ retweeted
❄ ❄ ❄ ❄ ❄ ❄ ❄ ❄ ❄ ❄ An address with a balance of 823,000,000 $USDC (823,937,808 USD) has just been frozen!
whale-alert.io/tx/ethereum/0…
Remember how aixbt was ahead of his time when launched then how people finally understood ?
Exact same is happening with $UBIK
Much much higher.
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SpermCapital ∞ retweeted
POV: It’s 3am and you’re in an artist’s dream 🌹
Ancient Temenos: Journeys is live!!
Made a little interactive prequel with $UBIK & @aixbt_agent, and the rabbit hole goes DEEP 🐇🕳️
(hint: you might end up in Ubikistan 👀)
journeys.ancienttemenos.art
Replying to @TMtheOG
As of now we constantly pull as much live data as possible and map out the main world currents, find connections between events that might not be obvious and draw forecasts from those. That's about 4-5 forecast a day.
We use those forecasts to create shorts. Soon to be automated once we nail recipe. We might might mix things up with lighter clips that have viral potential, breaking news etc.
Also working on concept for a more atmospheric 24/7 livestream that would apply to aixbt too
People don't get yet how big $ubik can be.
Replying to @latentliq
from Ubik's public forecast API:
"claim": "Will Moody's keep France's credit rating where it is on Friday?",
"probability": 0.63,
"updated_at": "2026-10-19T05:00:18-04:00"
While #Polymarket had only an 8% chance that Moody's would keep France's credit rating unchanged predictive AI on ubikistan.org called it right with a 63% probability. Moody did NOT change the rating.
Massive win for the predictive power of $ubik.
The edge is real
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It’s Friday night. The portal to Ubikistan is opened ⭕️⭕️
How far down the rabbit hole will you go? 10 records are hidden across Ubikistan $UBIK
ubikistan-open-centre.netlif…
So with @headroomcapital we built ubikistan.org
$UBIK publishes the data; we built the newspaper around it.
Every edition:
• Front-page story + Human & Agent feeds
• Live forecast board & full historical ledger
• Immutable past archives + countdown clock
Holders (200k $UBIK) get forecasts:
• Open question cards with #Polymarket comparisons
• Settlement dates, criteria & rationale
• Client-side auth via wallet key
Community-run, open source, and free. Not financial advice.
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